AlleyPack said:
I had a random thought/question the other day.
I got to thinking about how, several years ago, my local store used to always have Eagle Rare in stock. I could go in and grab a bottle at any time, no problem.
Now, of course, it's allocated and hard to find in N.C.
So my question -- is there any way to foresee or speculate what currently-widely-available bottles might one day become allocated and scarce, like has happened to ER?
Maybe. Anything associated with Buffalo Trace is going to be scarce, despite the fact that they are making more of it than ever before. Pretty much anything that wins an award or that gets talked about by certain people like Fred Minnick sees a bump in sales. Any Kentucky made bourbon with any kind of good age on it is a candidate to go scarce, but I think at this point most of those things have seen a bump at some point in time. McKenna 10 used to be an unknown, it won an award, disappeared, and came back $20 higher and allocated. Wild Turkey stuff used to fly under the radar, but not anymore. Something like Evan Williams Single Barrel is probably one of the last things from the big makers that hasn't seen some hype yet. The truth is, most scarcity in the bourbon world is either the result of purposefully limited production (Pappy, etc), or by people hoarding things. There's no reason that Buffalo Trace should be hard to find, they make a **** ton of it, yet there are people standing in line to buy it, and bunkering it like it's going to disappear.
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