Oldsouljer said:
Civilized said:
Oldsouljer said:
Civilized said:
Oldsouljer said:
Civilized said:
Oldsouljer said:
Civilized said:
Bas2020 said:
Kamala is clearly in desperation mode right now as you can see by all of these interviews suddenly.
Her internal polling is tanking.
Trump is winning.
More dream casting.
Yes, I'm sure the internal polling magicians magically know something that all the other professional pollsters don't.
Makes complete sense.
Campaigns depend on internals for actual data describing the true state of the race. It doesn't make sense that campaigns would hire anything but professionals to get them the information they need.
It also doesn't make sense that internal polling deviates substantially from polling aggregate averages.
But if it does I'd damn-sure be betting on the aggregates of dozens of polls being more accurate than a single consultant hired to conduct internal polling.
Well, you may have me there. After all, she screws up everything else, why wouldn't she hire incompetent pollsters?
So let me get this straight.
Y'all don't put any faith in the results or methodologies of pollsters that conduct business publicly, and whose past performance you can quantify and grade, especially when those pollsters are reporting the opposition candidate is ahead, but you definitely, totally trust the findings of shadowy opposition candidate "internal pollsters" whose identity and acumen is completely unverifiable, because they are rumored on social media to be finding the opposition candidate is actually trailing?
Does that about sum it up?
Maybe. Not sure. That's a mean word salad you've served up.
Ha! True.
I ran it through ChatGPT and told it to make the sentence more brief. Our AI overlord did a good job!
So you dismiss credible public pollsters with trackable results, especially when they show the opposition ahead, but fully trust unverifiable "internal pollsters" rumored online to show the opposition trailing?
Better?
I'm merely saying that the Harris campaign doesn't appear to trust these aggregated public polls and their own internals (not Trump's or anyone else's internal polling) seems to be the reason why. We know that for sure in the state of Michigan because Elissa Slotkin owned up to the fact that Dem internal polls are alarming for Harris. Outside of Michigan, who knows?
What evidence do you have they don't trust public polling?
Presidential candidates have conducted their own internal polling for decades, presumably for alternative data points, and also the ability to drill down in specific swing states on specific issues, do focus/target group research, etc.
There is basically no value-add for internal polling to simply be a replication of national and state polling that dozens of other groups are already doing effectively. Why would candidates chew up part of their campaign budget that way?
It's much more likely to be a partially overlapping supplement to all the state and national polling that is already out there that the campaign can use for related, but much more specific purposes.
Also, these clickbait tweets from social media randos that claim both to know the results of internal polling from either candidate, and also confidently posit that the candidate's current activities are born out of panic, are laughably inane.
