Harris 2024

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Bas2020
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10:30a, 8/9/24
This story will blow up quickly and likely bring out folks on both sides of the aisle telling Walz to step down

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Gulfstream4
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In reply to Bas2020 • 10:37a, 8/9/24
Bas2020 said:
This story will blow up quickly and likely bring out folks on both sides of the aisle telling Walz to step down



I don't know man, the democrats Will celebrate this guy even more. Mrs. Harris better watch out or he replaces her at the top of the ticket.
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Bas2020
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10:53a, 8/9/24
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GuerrillaPack
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10:53a, 8/9/24
https://instagr.am/p/C-c9WV9g333
"Ye are not of the world, but I have chosen you out of the world, therefore the world hateth you." - John 15:19
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Bas2020
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11:36a, 8/9/24
Looks like Harris has dropped 4 points in just the last 3 days... Stock market volatility combined with the awful selection of Timmy "Tampon" Walz has Harris dropping big time even in heavy DEM+ favored polls.



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Civilized
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In reply to Bas2020 • 11:57a, 8/9/24
Bas2020 said:
Looks like Harris has dropped 4 points in just the last 3 days... Stock market volatility combined with the awful selection of Timmy "Tampon" Walz has Harris dropping big time even in heavy DEM+ favored polls.


Yeah, not so much what the polling aggregates are showing. Harris' lead has nominally increased over the last three days but broadly the race is still basically a toss-up.



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packgrad
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12:16p, 8/9/24
Progressive American's dad.

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Werewolf
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In reply to TheStorm • 12:24p, 8/9/24
TheStorm said:
TheStorm said:
Werewolf said:
LOL, don't stroke out on us here! :-)

Strokes kill.

There have been others...GP for sure....and then others too that have simply been playing it closer to the vest.

It appears you now accept that there was election fraud. Actually this is a global problem with 71 countries with stolen presidential elections over the last several years.

4 actors have played Joe Biden. I am not sure who controls each of the 4...

Big Mike is real....or you continue to disagree?

Anyway, this isn't about ole Were, it's about waking up the #Sheeple and identifying the #criminals and #compromiised .....it takes time
I've felt there was election fraud last time around from the very beginning - but that's because I was up watching on TV from 10:30 PM past 3:00 AM (and I've watched every other national election live in the past as well) - and not because of anything you've posted. Sorry to disappoint you there.

Yes, I did get the first two cycles of Pfizer (pretty sure Trump did as well ), but as soon as they started politicizing the jabs that was the signal to me that something was wrong and have chosen not to participate further... again - BEFORE you were here (no pun intended).

I didn't even realize that covid was still even "a thing" anymore, but apparently it is with both Harris and Biden "having" it reasonably recently.

No, I still don't subscribe to your "guy in a mask" theory, or "Big Mike"... ask me again next week again though, why don't you?
Let's see... what else? Yes, I personally experienced the weird "fluttering" sensation in my chest for 15-20 seconds at a time starting probably 2-3 months after completing my Pfizer cycle... that's been a long time ago now, already but I'd say it maybe happened 4-5 times total spread out over the next 2-3 months after the first event, but thankfully they stopped completely and I've not had anything else occur since. To be clear, it wasn't a "pain" but it was uncomfortable because it wasn't "normal" and you could definitely feel it. It was real.

If I remember correctly, OldSouljier and packgrad experienced something similar to what I described, and I think packgrad even had to undergo some level of medical treatment, but that's not my place to discuss here... so I won't. I can't remember about Wayland and Mormad... not sure that they experienced it... pretty sure most if not all of the younger guys posting here at the time did not have any issues.

Sorry, just now figured out that I'm posting about covid on the wrong thread. You did it to me again, Were!
As far as I'm concerned, we're on the Patriot team..........it's wasted energy to argue amongst ourselves.

I'm about a Restored Republic. I promise all here that is what lies ahead. It's gonna be a rocky road to get there but we will. This nation was founded under the watchful eye of his Lord, Father God, the Almighty. We, as a people, have allowed Satin to work himself in amongst us over many decades of time. God is waiting for us to come together to rid our lands of this evil.
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Bas2020
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12:24p, 8/9/24
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Bas2020
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In reply to Civilized • 12:27p, 8/9/24
Civilized said:
Bas2020 said:
Looks like Harris has dropped 4 points in just the last 3 days... Stock market volatility combined with the awful selection of Timmy "Tampon" Walz has Harris dropping big time even in heavy DEM+ favored polls.


Yeah, not so much what the polling aggregates are showing. Harris' lead has nominally increased over the last three days but broadly the race is still basically a toss-up.




I dont think you know how polling works.

90% of the polling you are seeing is from late July. Go to RCP they have the dates.

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Ncsufist
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In reply to Bas2020 • 12:31p, 8/9/24
Bas2020 said:
Civilized said:
Bas2020 said:
Looks like Harris has dropped 4 points in just the last 3 days... Stock market volatility combined with the awful selection of Timmy "Tampon" Walz has Harris dropping big time even in heavy DEM+ favored polls.


Yeah, not so much what the polling aggregates are showing. Harris' lead has nominally increased over the last three days but broadly the race is still basically a toss-up.




I dont think you know how polling works.

90% of the polling you are seeing is from late July. Go to RCP they have the dates.



Also what are the demographics of these polls? 300 dem voters 100 independents and 200 pub voters will have different results than 200 dem 200 independent and 200 pub.
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Wufpack17
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In reply to Civilized • 12:40p, 8/9/24
Civilized said:
Bas2020 said:
Looks like Harris has dropped 4 points in just the last 3 days... Stock market volatility combined with the awful selection of Timmy "Tampon" Walz has Harris dropping big time even in heavy DEM+ favored polls.


Yeah, not so much what the polling aggregates are showing. Harris' lead has nominally increased over the last three days but broadly the race is still basically a toss-up.



Dems don't want a toss up because they will lose the EC.
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FlossyDFlynt
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12:44p, 8/9/24
I think polls are going to be essentially worthless until the debate
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Bas2020
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In reply to Ncsufist • 12:44p, 8/9/24
Ncsufist said:
Bas2020 said:
Civilized said:
Bas2020 said:
Looks like Harris has dropped 4 points in just the last 3 days... Stock market volatility combined with the awful selection of Timmy "Tampon" Walz has Harris dropping big time even in heavy DEM+ favored polls.


Yeah, not so much what the polling aggregates are showing. Harris' lead has nominally increased over the last three days but broadly the race is still basically a toss-up.




I dont think you know how polling works.

90% of the polling you are seeing is from late July. Go to RCP they have the dates.



Also what are the demographics of these polls? 300 dem voters 100 independents and 200 pub voters will have different results than 200 dem 200 independent and 200 pub.




The polls I am keeping an eye out is Trafalgar. They are typically the best. Should be released in the next week or so I hope.

Harris needs to be up Nationally 3-4 pts on avg to win.
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Oldsouljer
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In reply to Bas2020 • 1:14p, 8/9/24
Bas2020 said:
Civilized said:
Bas2020 said:
Looks like Harris has dropped 4 points in just the last 3 days... Stock market volatility combined with the awful selection of Timmy "Tampon" Walz has Harris dropping big time even in heavy DEM+ favored polls.


Yeah, not so much what the polling aggregates are showing. Harris' lead has nominally increased over the last three days but broadly the race is still basically a toss-up.




I dont think you know how polling works.

90% of the polling you are seeing is from late July. Go to RCP they have the dates.

I know how they work. They say Harris is more unpopular than Biden for months and months, then they turn on a dime to show her up over Trump once it's clear she's the nominee.
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GuerrillaPack
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1:33p, 8/9/24
The Laughing Hyena Tampon ticket is using AI-generated images to fake "big crowds" of supporters...

"Ye are not of the world, but I have chosen you out of the world, therefore the world hateth you." - John 15:19
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SmaptyWolf
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In reply to Bas2020 • 2:42p, 8/9/24
Bas2020 said:
Civilized said:
Bas2020 said:
Looks like Harris has dropped 4 points in just the last 3 days... Stock market volatility combined with the awful selection of Timmy "Tampon" Walz has Harris dropping big time even in heavy DEM+ favored polls.


Yeah, not so much what the polling aggregates are showing. Harris' lead has nominally increased over the last three days but broadly the race is still basically a toss-up.




I dont think you know how polling works.

90% of the polling you are seeing is from late July. Go to RCP they have the dates.


He clearly forgot to look at the MAGA polling aggregator, where every poll Trump is losing is obviously fake and every poll he's winning is obviously legit.
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Bockwinkle
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3:53p, 8/9/24


I love the smell of burning tires in the morning.

Weird
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Gulfstream4
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In reply to Bockwinkle • 6:21p, 8/9/24
Bockwinkle said:


I love the smell of burning tires in the morning.

Weird


Democrats love a good crisis. It keeps the underlings occupied.
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jkpackfan
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In reply to Bas2020 • 7:07p, 8/9/24
Bas2020 said:
Ncsufist said:
Bas2020 said:
Civilized said:
Bas2020 said:
Looks like Harris has dropped 4 points in just the last 3 days... Stock market volatility combined with the awful selection of Timmy "Tampon" Walz has Harris dropping big time even in heavy DEM+ favored polls.


Yeah, not so much what the polling aggregates are showing. Harris' lead has nominally increased over the last three days but broadly the race is still basically a toss-up.




I dont think you know how polling works.

90% of the polling you are seeing is from late July. Go to RCP they have the dates.



Also what are the demographics of these polls? 300 dem voters 100 independents and 200 pub voters will have different results than 200 dem 200 independent and 200 pub.




The polls I am keeping an eye out is Trafalgar. They are typically the best. Should be released in the next week or so I hope.

Harris needs to be up Nationally 3-4 pts on avg to win.
Here's the latest Trafalgar polls

https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-top-two-presidential-cycle-pollsters-towery-and-cahaly-release-battleground-polls/
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SmaptyWolf
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In reply to Bas2020 • 7:41p, 8/9/24
Bas2020 said:
Ncsufist said:
Bas2020 said:
Civilized said:
Bas2020 said:
Looks like Harris has dropped 4 points in just the last 3 days... Stock market volatility combined with the awful selection of Timmy "Tampon" Walz has Harris dropping big time even in heavy DEM+ favored polls.


Yeah, not so much what the polling aggregates are showing. Harris' lead has nominally increased over the last three days but broadly the race is still basically a toss-up.




I dont think you know how polling works.

90% of the polling you are seeing is from late July. Go to RCP they have the dates.



Also what are the demographics of these polls? 300 dem voters 100 independents and 200 pub voters will have different results than 200 dem 200 independent and 200 pub.




The polls I am keeping an eye out is Trafalgar. They are typically the best. Should be released in the next week or so I hope.

Harris needs to be up Nationally 3-4 pts on avg to win.

538 ranks Trafalgar 273 out of their 277 ranked pollsters. So yeah, abysmal. Of course you love them.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/
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BBW12OG
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In reply to SmaptyWolf • 8:02p, 8/9/24
SmaptyWolf said:
Bas2020 said:
Ncsufist said:
Bas2020 said:
Civilized said:
Bas2020 said:
Looks like Harris has dropped 4 points in just the last 3 days... Stock market volatility combined with the awful selection of Timmy "Tampon" Walz has Harris dropping big time even in heavy DEM+ favored polls.


Yeah, not so much what the polling aggregates are showing. Harris' lead has nominally increased over the last three days but broadly the race is still basically a toss-up.




I dont think you know how polling works.

90% of the polling you are seeing is from late July. Go to RCP they have the dates.



Also what are the demographics of these polls? 300 dem voters 100 independents and 200 pub voters will have different results than 200 dem 200 independent and 200 pub.




The polls I am keeping an eye out is Trafalgar. They are typically the best. Should be released in the next week or so I hope.

Harris needs to be up Nationally 3-4 pts on avg to win.

538 ranks Trafalgar 273 out of their 277 ranked pollsters. So yeah, abysmal. Of course you love them.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/
It's people like you that should have been left on the floor during a yanking the crank moment.

Seriously... if you are as bad as you make out to be on here I'm hoping you have lost teeth.
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hokiewolf
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In reply to SmaptyWolf • 8:18p, 8/9/24
SmaptyWolf said:
Bas2020 said:
Ncsufist said:
Bas2020 said:
Civilized said:
Bas2020 said:
Looks like Harris has dropped 4 points in just the last 3 days... Stock market volatility combined with the awful selection of Timmy "Tampon" Walz has Harris dropping big time even in heavy DEM+ favored polls.


Yeah, not so much what the polling aggregates are showing. Harris' lead has nominally increased over the last three days but broadly the race is still basically a toss-up.




I dont think you know how polling works.

90% of the polling you are seeing is from late July. Go to RCP they have the dates.



Also what are the demographics of these polls? 300 dem voters 100 independents and 200 pub voters will have different results than 200 dem 200 independent and 200 pub.




The polls I am keeping an eye out is Trafalgar. They are typically the best. Should be released in the next week or so I hope.

Harris needs to be up Nationally 3-4 pts on avg to win.

538 ranks Trafalgar 273 out of their 277 ranked pollsters. So yeah, abysmal. Of course you love them.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/
fivethirtyeight is also a shell of itself since Nate Silver left and has been leaning more and more to the left. Of course you love them.
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GuerrillaPack
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9:32p, 8/9/24
Walz admits that he (and Harris?) are socialists....

I've been correctly pointing out that the Democrat party are ideological Marxists/Communists for many, many years. The DemoniRats have obfuscated and hidden that fact for decades, but are now starting to take the mask off and admit it.

https://instagr.am/p/C-V50G-si0f
"Ye are not of the world, but I have chosen you out of the world, therefore the world hateth you." - John 15:19
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GuerrillaPack
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10:21p, 8/9/24
An LGBTQ Sodomite freak comes to the defense of Tampon Timmy, decrying the name "Tampon TIm"...

https://instagr.am/p/C-eJ1b3tIgm
"Ye are not of the world, but I have chosen you out of the world, therefore the world hateth you." - John 15:19
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Bockwinkle
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11:35p, 8/9/24
Oopsie Doopsie!!!
democrats lie, how shocking.


Democratic vice presidential candidate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, whose military service has come under heavy scrutiny, "misspoke" in a 2018 video where he is heard talking about his handling of weapons "in war," a Harris campaign spokesperson said Friday.


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Bockwinkle
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3:51a, 8/10/24
CNN's Brianna Keilar walks back JD Vance swipe following backlash: He 'served honorably in Iraq'
The liberal anchor was slammed by critics for suggesting JD Vance embellished his military service
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Werewolf
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8:21a, 8/10/24
#daSieve has been quiet lately. Get your straw out #Sieve for this one. It's some good Kamala talking head ;-)


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Werewolf
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8:54a, 8/10/24
We will be in good hands come Jan 2025 when our beloved BORDER CZAR assumes office as POTUS.

How sweet it is, right Sieve?

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GuerrillaPack
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8:59a, 8/10/24
Trump ad:

"Ye are not of the world, but I have chosen you out of the world, therefore the world hateth you." - John 15:19
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Civilized
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In reply to Bas2020 • 11:48a, 8/10/24
Bas2020 said:
Civilized said:
Bas2020 said:
Looks like Harris has dropped 4 points in just the last 3 days... Stock market volatility combined with the awful selection of Timmy "Tampon" Walz has Harris dropping big time even in heavy DEM+ favored polls.


Yeah, not so much what the polling aggregates are showing. Harris' lead has nominally increased over the last three days but broadly the race is still basically a toss-up.




I dont think you know how polling works.

90% of the polling you are seeing is from late July. Go to RCP they have the dates.


LOLOL

Yeah, no. That's not "how polling works."

The reason why Harris' chances continue improving in the model is that she's polling better day by day, not worse. If she was consistently polling worse in the model samples over the last three days relative to the three weeks prior, her chances would have gone down in the daily model updates over the last three days, not maintained or gone up.

Plus you're referencing a single poll which is much more subject to polling error, noise, etc. than aggregating is.

Go to Nate Silver's site and come back and re-explain "how polling works."

She may still falter. She very well may lose; it's a toss-up. But the trend the last three days is not distinctly down for her.

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Civilized
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In reply to Wufpack17 • 11:53a, 8/10/24
Wufpack17 said:
Civilized said:
Bas2020 said:
Looks like Harris has dropped 4 points in just the last 3 days... Stock market volatility combined with the awful selection of Timmy "Tampon" Walz has Harris dropping big time even in heavy DEM+ favored polls.


Yeah, not so much what the polling aggregates are showing. Harris' lead has nominally increased over the last three days but broadly the race is still basically a toss-up.

Dems don't want a toss up because they will lose the EC.

She's not a toss up in the general. She's 2 points ahead, which makes the EC a tossup.

Harris would want to be 4-5+ points ahead in the popular to feel confident about her EC chances.
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Civilized
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In reply to hokiewolf • 11:56a, 8/10/24
hokiewolf said:
SmaptyWolf said:
Bas2020 said:
Ncsufist said:
Bas2020 said:
Civilized said:
Bas2020 said:
Looks like Harris has dropped 4 points in just the last 3 days... Stock market volatility combined with the awful selection of Timmy "Tampon" Walz has Harris dropping big time even in heavy DEM+ favored polls.


Yeah, not so much what the polling aggregates are showing. Harris' lead has nominally increased over the last three days but broadly the race is still basically a toss-up.




I dont think you know how polling works.

90% of the polling you are seeing is from late July. Go to RCP they have the dates.



Also what are the demographics of these polls? 300 dem voters 100 independents and 200 pub voters will have different results than 200 dem 200 independent and 200 pub.




The polls I am keeping an eye out is Trafalgar. They are typically the best. Should be released in the next week or so I hope.

Harris needs to be up Nationally 3-4 pts on avg to win.

538 ranks Trafalgar 273 out of their 277 ranked pollsters. So yeah, abysmal. Of course you love them.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/
fivethirtyeight is also a shell of itself since Nate Silver left and has been leaning more and more to the left. Of course you love them.

Cool.

Just go straight to the OG source then.

The model I snapshotted was Silver's model, not 538. But regardless Silver's and 538's models are currently pretty aligned.
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Civilized
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In reply to Oldsouljer • 12:00p, 8/10/24
Oldsouljer said:
Bas2020 said:
Civilized said:
Bas2020 said:
Looks like Harris has dropped 4 points in just the last 3 days... Stock market volatility combined with the awful selection of Timmy "Tampon" Walz has Harris dropping big time even in heavy DEM+ favored polls.


Yeah, not so much what the polling aggregates are showing. Harris' lead has nominally increased over the last three days but broadly the race is still basically a toss-up.

I dont think you know how polling works.

90% of the polling you are seeing is from late July. Go to RCP they have the dates.

I know how they work. They say Harris is more unpopular than Biden for months and months, then they turn on a dime to show her up over Trump once it's clear she's the nominee.

Haha!

Or the less cynical view, where there was some combo of people not knowing her well; her views moderating and making her more likable; and more than anything people just being so thirsty for a sane, non-geriatric candidate on either side of the aisle all contributing to her increased approval.
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Civilized
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In reply to Bas2020 • 12:04p, 8/10/24
Bas2020 said:
Ncsufist said:
Bas2020 said:
Civilized said:
Bas2020 said:
Looks like Harris has dropped 4 points in just the last 3 days... Stock market volatility combined with the awful selection of Timmy "Tampon" Walz has Harris dropping big time even in heavy DEM+ favored polls.


Yeah, not so much what the polling aggregates are showing. Harris' lead has nominally increased over the last three days but broadly the race is still basically a toss-up.




I dont think you know how polling works.

90% of the polling you are seeing is from late July. Go to RCP they have the dates.



Also what are the demographics of these polls? 300 dem voters 100 independents and 200 pub voters will have different results than 200 dem 200 independent and 200 pub.




The polls I am keeping an eye out is Trafalgar. They are typically the best. Should be released in the next week or so I hope.

Harris needs to be up Nationally 3-4 pts on avg to win.

Trafalgar polls have been shown to be consistent Pub leans, but agree she needs to be 3-4 points up in the aggregate to feel decent.
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