Civilized said:IseWolf22 said:Bas2020 said:
Rule of thumb - the guy who more voters are excited to vote for wins .
Unless the mail in ballot scam pushed by social media companies works then Trump wins because pubs will show up on Election Day . Nobody is walking or driving in cold weather to vote for Biden if they aren't excited to do so.
You're underestimating the number of people who are strongly anti Trump. In 2016 more people on both sides were motivated by being against the opponent, rather than for their candidate. That'll happen again for 2020. But Trump's base hasn't gotten any larger and the opposition has.
Maybe Trump wins. Maybe he loses. But if he loses its not just because of the "mail in ballot scam." That is stupid
He's not going to lose because of actual mail in fraud, he's going to lose because his hollow accusations of fraud are going to keep the older GOP base away from the polls altogether.
Republicans need mail-in as bad as Democrats but they've cut their legs out from under themselves with their baseless accusations of fraud.
Mitch McConnell knows this and has tried to manage Trump's blathering about mail-in but Trump is unmanageable.
I think the claim that the older gop base is going to be kept away from the polls is a baseless claim. It is certainly not supported by his rallies.