pineknollshoresking said:
Oh... the UK government announced that 60% of COVID hospitalizations have been vaccinated. Then they restated their number to 40% have been vaccinated! Either number is big number!!!
Let's give the vaccine a big kudos for working so effectively.
Agree, we should!
Even if you assume the full 40% have been double jabbed (which is not clear based on the wording of their health minister's statement), that's clear evidence of the vaccine's significant effectiveness, not the other way around.
The key detail you're leaving out is that a little under 90% of the UK has been fully vaccinated. That's extremely important.
It means that the 10% of the UK that is unvaxxed is generating 60% of the hospitalizations, whereas the vaccinated ~90% is generating only 40% of the hospitalizations.
In very rough numbers therefore, you are around 12x - 15x likelier to be hospitalized from COVID in the UK if you are unvaxxed versus vaccinated. Obviously this is due to some combination of you being both less likely to catch the disease, and it also being less likely that the disease becomes severe if you are vaxxed.
Remember, in a hypothetical where 100% of the population has been vaccinated, 100% of the hospitalizations will be vaccinated patients. There will just be very, very few of them, compared to the scenario where 100% of the population was unvaccinated.