That doesn't look like a good picture in terms of daily deaths
Well. When you let 'Rona run rampant in nursing homes (a place where a lot of the residents are 'short term'), can't be surprised when some of them die from C19 OR some of them die WITH C19.statefan91 said:
That doesn't look like a good picture in terms of daily deaths
I'm not sure "comical" is the right word...."criminal" might be better suited. But I get your point.King Leary said:At this point it's comical that our response to congregate facilities has been so badPackchem91 said:
34 more congregate deaths? Cohen's plan doesn't seem to be very effective. Seems that should be drawing her attention, not parents at CFB games.
statefan91 said:This may be a question that requires more insight than most of us can provide, but my understanding of most viruses is that they infect to live, not to kill the host. Do you think there are more severe strains of it that have killed more but in killing that person may be less replicated, leaving us with milder versions of it?Mormad said:Daviewolf83 said:This is very good news. Thanks very much for the insight. I hope the census for ICU continues to stay low, since these are the patients who might have the worst outcomes.Mormad said:
Our current inpatient census and icu census is down significantly. Only 5 in the unit, only 2 tubed. Inpt census in the 30s
Do you believe improvement in treatment protocols and medicines could be contributing to the reduction in ICU census and more particularly to the reduction in patients who are tubed?
I think it's multifactorial. Certainly, i think we're managing the disease a little better as we learn more, but i also think disease demographics have changed, and in general the population that gets infected is getting less severe disease.
Mormad said:statefan91 said:This may be a question that requires more insight than most of us can provide, but my understanding of most viruses is that they infect to live, not to kill the host. Do you think there are more severe strains of it that have killed more but in killing that person may be less replicated, leaving us with milder versions of it?Mormad said:Daviewolf83 said:This is very good news. Thanks very much for the insight. I hope the census for ICU continues to stay low, since these are the patients who might have the worst outcomes.Mormad said:
Our current inpatient census and icu census is down significantly. Only 5 in the unit, only 2 tubed. Inpt census in the 30s
Do you believe improvement in treatment protocols and medicines could be contributing to the reduction in ICU census and more particularly to the reduction in patients who are tubed?
I think it's multifactorial. Certainly, i think we're managing the disease a little better as we learn more, but i also think disease demographics have changed, and in general the population that gets infected is getting less severe disease.
I think that's an excellent question. I think that certainly has the potential to play a role here. I've seen it mentioned in papers.
Nobody wants to hear this here, but i think masking has had a huge part in reducing severity of disease by reducing the inoculum. Cloth masks can reduce the inoculum by 40-60% and N95s by 95%. Decreased dose of virus equals decreased severity of disease. Read an article with evidence supporting this notion this morning. I think masking reduces the numbers of positives somewhat, but increases the numbers of asymptomatic and mild cases significantly. And i think we're starting to see that bear out as deaths/ hospitalizations decline.
wilmwolf80 said:
It's an interesting theory, but the article I read was that it was just a theory, without any actual studies backing it, other than the same studies of how far and how many particles escape from masks that we've seen on memes for months now. Perhaps one day all of these things will get studied in a thorough and scientific manner and we actually learn what to do next time.
My alternate theory would be that the most vulnerable portion of the population, who are also most likely to be in one place and exposed to the virus for longer, have already been run through with the virus. We are now testing more and more young healthy people in very large amounts, who are more likely to have been exposed to the virus in passing, and who are less likely to be severely affected by the virus, and thus the severity of cases and hospitalizations are going down.
Everpack said:Mormad said:statefan91 said:This may be a question that requires more insight than most of us can provide, but my understanding of most viruses is that they infect to live, not to kill the host. Do you think there are more severe strains of it that have killed more but in killing that person may be less replicated, leaving us with milder versions of it?Mormad said:Daviewolf83 said:This is very good news. Thanks very much for the insight. I hope the census for ICU continues to stay low, since these are the patients who might have the worst outcomes.Mormad said:
Our current inpatient census and icu census is down significantly. Only 5 in the unit, only 2 tubed. Inpt census in the 30s
Do you believe improvement in treatment protocols and medicines could be contributing to the reduction in ICU census and more particularly to the reduction in patients who are tubed?
I think it's multifactorial. Certainly, i think we're managing the disease a little better as we learn more, but i also think disease demographics have changed, and in general the population that gets infected is getting less severe disease.
I think that's an excellent question. I think that certainly has the potential to play a role here. I've seen it mentioned in papers.
Nobody wants to hear this here, but i think masking has had a huge part in reducing severity of disease by reducing the inoculum. Cloth masks can reduce the inoculum by 40-60% and N95s by 95%. Decreased dose of virus equals decreased severity of disease. Read an article with evidence supporting this notion this morning. I think masking reduces the numbers of positives somewhat, but increases the numbers of asymptomatic and mild cases significantly. And i think we're starting to see that bear out as deaths/ hospitalizations decline.
So 4 out of 5 infections occur in the home and you want me to believe that masks are the reason for more mild infections? Hard pass here.
Everpack said:
So 4 out of 5 infections occur in the home and you want me to believe that masks are the reason for more mild infections? Hard pass here.
9/16/2020 Morning DHHS updateWayland said:9/15/2020 Morning DHHS updateWayland said:9/14/2020 Morning DHHS updateWayland said:9/13/2020 Morning DHHS updateWayland said:9/12/2020 Morning DHHS updateWayland said:9/11/2020 Morning DHHS updateQuote:
9/10/2020 Morning DHHS update
NC Cases
180,754
NC Deaths
2990
Currently Hospitalized
928 <- 90% reporting (was 916 at 86%)
Completed Tests
2,521,839
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1544 Deaths are now Congregate (+13)
484 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+3)
+32 Deaths Overall since yesterday.
962 Deaths assumed General Population (+16)
2028 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+16)
353 Congregate Facilities now have an active outbreak. (+9)
Nursing Homes 192 -> 199
Resident Care 101 -> 103
Correctional 43 -> 41
Other 8 -> 10
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1222 positive cases over 31726* new tests. 3.9% positive rate.
Delta completed tests 31726 but DHHS claims only 26277 completed tests
Dates of Death Reported 9/10
9/9(2), 9/8(5), 9/7(9), 9/6(6), 9/5(5), 9/4(4), 9/3, 8/30, 8/28, 7/20
2 missing Dates of Death assigned dates.
1 death removed on 9/1
NC Cases
182,286
NC Deaths
3023
Currently Hospitalized
938 <- 93% reporting (was 928 at 90%)
Completed Tests
2,558,654
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1564 Deaths are now Congregate (+20)
484 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+0)
+33 Deaths Overall since yesterday.
975 Deaths assumed General Population (+13)
2048 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+20)
357 Congregate Facilities now have an active outbreak. (+4)
Nursing Homes 199 -> 205
Resident Care 103 -> 105
Correctional 41 -> 37
Other 10 -> 10
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1532 positive cases over 36815* new tests. 4.2% positive rate.
Delta completed tests 36815 but DHHS claims only 30056 completed tests
Dates of Death Reported 9/11
9/10(10), 9/9(6). 9/8(4). 9/7(3), 9/6, 9/5, 9/4(2), 9/1, 8/30, 8/26, 8/17(2), 8/6, 8/3, 7/7
2 DoD previously missing assigned dates.
NC Cases
183,740
NC Deaths
3047
Currently Hospitalized
870 <- 95% reporting (was 938 at 93%)
Completed Tests
2,581,132
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1578 Deaths are now Congregate (+14)
485 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+1)
+24 Deaths Overall since yesterday.
984 Deaths assumed General Population (+9)
2063 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+15)
357 Congregate Facilities now have an active outbreak. (+0)
Nursing Homes 205 -> 209
Resident Care 105 -> 101
Correctional 37 -> 37
Other 10 -> 10
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1454 positive cases over 22478* new tests. 6.5% positive rate.
Delta completed tests 22478 but DHHS claims only 17717 completed tests
Dates of Death Reported 9/12
9/11(2), 9/10(7), 9/9(3), 9/8, 9/7(2), 9/3(3), 8/30, 8/21
4 deaths added missing DoD.
NC Cases
184,936
NC Deaths
3052
Currently Hospitalized
831 <- 91% reporting (was 870 at 95%)
Completed Tests
2,616,108
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1581 Deaths are now Congregate (+3)
485 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+0)
+5 Deaths Overall since yesterday.
986 Deaths assumed General Population (+2)
2066 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+3)
358 Congregate Facilities now have an active outbreak. (+1)
Nursing Homes 209 -> 210
Resident Care 101 -> 101
Correctional 37 -> 37
Other 10 -> 10
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1196 positive cases over 34976* new tests. 3.4% positive rate.
Delta completed tests 34976 but DHHS claims only 19632 completed tests
Dates of Death Reported 9/13
9/12, 9/11(4)
DHHS TESTING % POSITIVE FOR TODAY 4.9%
NC Cases
185,781
NC Deaths
3060
Currently Hospitalized
895 <- 92% reporting (was 831 at 91%)
Completed Tests
2,634,819
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1587 Deaths are now Congregate (+6)
486 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+1)
+8 Deaths Overall since yesterday.
987 Deaths assumed General Population (+1)
2073 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+7)
350 Congregate Facilities now have an active outbreak. (-8)
Nursing Homes 210 -> 208
Resident Care 101 -> 97
Correctional 37 -> 35
Other 10 -> 10
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
845 positive cases over 18711* new tests. 4.5% positive rate.
Delta completed tests 18711 but DHHS claims only 13313 completed tests
Dates of Death Reported 9/14
9/13, 9/12(3), 9/11, 9/10, 9/9, 9/8, 8/27, 8/22, 8/17
3 DoD previously missing assigned dates.
DHHS TESTING % POSITIVE FOR TODAY 4.8%
NC Cases
186,887
NC Deaths
3111
Currently Hospitalized
916 <- 94% reporting (was 895 at 92%)
Completed Tests
2,652,440
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1621 Deaths are now Congregate (+34)
489 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+3)
+51 Deaths Overall since yesterday.
1001 Deaths assumed General Population (+14)
2110 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+37)
345 Congregate Facilities now have an active outbreak. (-5)
Nursing Homes 208 -> 205
Resident Care 97 -> 96
Correctional 35 -> 36
Other 10 -> 8
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1106 positive cases over 17621* new tests. 6.3% positive rate.
Delta completed tests 17621 but DHHS claims only 9563 completed tests
Dates of Death Reported 9/15
9/14(7), 9/13(6), 9/12(5), 9/11(8), 9/10(3), 9/9, 9/8, 9/7(3), 9/6, 9/5, 9/1, 8/30, 8/17, 8/12, 8/9, 8/7, 8/4, 8/3, 8/1, 7/23, 7/16, 7/12(2), 4/14
The statewide hospitalization number provided by NC DHHS seems very detached from cases.packgrad said:
Based on hospitalizations, I think there's more evidence that getting pregnant causes Covid than masks prevent the spread of Covid.
TheStorm said:
I caught out of the corner of my eye yesterday afternoon and noticed where Mandy Cohen was yacking away live on Spectrum News Channel again... anybody here know what any of that was about?
It appears the daily hospitalization census has been tracking fairly closely to the estimated active cases for each day, based on the graph below. There was a jump in estimated active cases in the past two weeks and this would be linked to the brief increase we saw in cases from the return of students at some of the larger universities. The interesting thing from the graph is these case increases do not appear to have affected the daily hospitalized census. Since we know most people in the university student age group have the best outcomes, this should not be a surprising trend.Wayland said:The statewide hospitalization number provided by NC DHHS seems very detached from cases.packgrad said:
Based on hospitalizations, I think there's more evidence that getting pregnant causes Covid than masks prevent the spread of Covid.
Mormad provided a little more better news with regards to his particular hospital that numbers were trending down (I think, I don't want to speak for him).
But statewide, the hospitalization number seems 'stuck'.
There are more than enough deaths that doing this is unnecessary and only serves to erode public trust.caryking said:
I know of two people that have said they've experienced a death where it was labeled COVID; however, the circumstances doesn't support the cause.
- Person in a car wreck and on life support expecting to die. The person gets tested as positive. The person dies, from the car wreck Injuries; however, the hospital Labels cause as COVID. Why, they get more funding.
- Relative is in a nursing home with Hospice called in. Relative gets COVID and ultimately dies. Nursing home marks cause of death as COVID because they get more funding. In fact, the nurse stated this is exactly why they listed this one as COVID.
In both cases, the people were going to die; however, the cause is marked as COVID. Based on conversations I've had with people on the front line, this is a very common occurrence. This makes me very skeptical about everything regarding the stats regarding COVID.
Quote:
We are now up to 5,692 death certificates in the COVID count that also list "Intentional and unintentional injury, poisoning and other adverse events"
packgrad said:
Herd immunity would not cost that many lives. Perhaps you should read into the virus a bit more and not just base your opinion on the subject on your hatred of Trump.
Here's an article written by someone who has been very knowledgeable on the subject.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/nypost.com/2020/08/25/we-could-beat-covid-19-before-a-vaccine-is-ready/amp/
Unfortunately, I have a very dim view of anything being reported as being fact based. It may be true; however, true based on what facts.Wayland said:There are more than enough deaths that doing this is unnecessary and only serves to erode public trust.caryking said:
I know of two people that have said they've experienced a death where it was labeled COVID; however, the circumstances doesn't support the cause.
- Person in a car wreck and on life support expecting to die. The person gets tested as positive. The person dies, from the car wreck Injuries; however, the hospital Labels cause as COVID. Why, they get more funding.
- Relative is in a nursing home with Hospice called in. Relative gets COVID and ultimately dies. Nursing home marks cause of death as COVID because they get more funding. In fact, the nurse stated this is exactly why they listed this one as COVID.
In both cases, the people were going to die; however, the cause is marked as COVID. Based on conversations I've had with people on the front line, this is a very common occurrence. This makes me very skeptical about everything regarding the stats regarding COVID.
It is also where rates in nursing homes get fuzzy. Obviously the virus is very damaging to susceptible and fragile populations. But when it is also running rampant in LTC's where a large number of the population unfortunately are near end of life, there are certainly both *with* COVID and *from* COVID deaths.
but... as of a week ago:Quote:
We are now up to 5,692 death certificates in the COVID count that also list "Intentional and unintentional injury, poisoning and other adverse events"
Ncstatefan01 said:
Hey man...how bout a little empathy for a guy who just lost his first cousin? Just sayin...packgrad said:
Herd immunity would not cost that many lives. Perhaps you should read into the virus a bit more and not just base your opinion on the subject on your hatred of Trump.
Here's an article written by someone who has been very knowledgeable on the subject.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/nypost.com/2020/08/25/we-could-beat-covid-19-before-a-vaccine-is-ready/amp/
Disgusting. Absolutely disgusting. And you'll never convince me this is limited to just Nashville. And the masker crowd can't understand why and stays furious at the rest that refuse to play the game.Daviewolf83 said:
It appears Nashville, TN is having some issues with the accurate reporting of data for Coronavirus. Apparently, the major's office and their health department did not want the public to know that bars and restaurants were contributing a small number of cases (as determined by contact tracing).
Here's a link to an article and report on the issue in Nashville:
COVID-19 emails from Nashville mayor's office show disturbing revelation
Sounds like that is exactly what you are trying to do though surprisingly enough... you know exactly what the "masker" comment meant... if you want to argue about it, then argue about it - and if you don't, then don't.statefan91 said:
What does the "masker crowd" mean? Because I've been against keeping everything so locked down but I'm perfectly happy to wear a mask. I'd rather this not turn into us vs. them based on a simple thing like wearing a mask to help reduce transmission.