I mean, if several days where there are no deaths is a qualifying factor.Daviewolf83 said:I agree and it has puzzled me as well. Based on the daily admit numbers, I assume the discharges are approximately 100 to 110 per day. The total number (when percent of hospitals reporting is constant) hovers around 1,000 to 1,050 hospitalized. Only a few times has it dropped below 1,000 (I do not count those days when reporting dropped below 97%). We are basically at a point now where the age ranges contributing to hospitalizations is roughly the same. Older people still make up a slightly higher percentage, but nothing like it was before the vaccines started to kick in.wilmwolf80 said:
Seems counterintuitive for hospitalizations to be staying the same as the number of the most vulnerable population being vaccinated continue to go up. I know there has been chatter about new strains affecting younger people more severely, but I haven't seen any indication that new strains are the reason here in NC. The detailed hospital data that you want seems to have been lacking the whole time.
I think we need to hit the inflection point on vaccinations to make a bigger dent in hospitalizations. Currently, the case rate in NC is approximately 12 cases per 100,000 people. To see a significant drop in hospitalizations, we need to see a case rate below 10 cases per 100,000 and it really needs to be below 5 cases per 100,000 people. In San Francisco as an example, they are now seeing case rates below 5 cases per 100,000 people and they achieved this by getting 72% of their population vaccinated. Additionally, they have had several days where they have had no deaths of people with Covid.
Wake County has more people than San Fran and has been averaging about 0.5 deaths a day since the beginning of March and had 30 days in March and April where there were no deaths recorded (will allow some time for May data to be reported).
In that time 81 deaths were added to Wake County's Nursing Home and Residential Care death totals (of course these were likely older backlog deaths, but still some may be included in those ~30 or so deaths in March and April for Wake)
Durham County has had 9 total deaths reported by date with COVID since the beginning of March.
Orange County has had 4 total deaths reported by date with COVID since the beginning of March.
Chatham County has had 4 total deaths reported by date with COVID since the beginning of March.
CapRAC, MCRHC, and DHPC hospitalizations have remained largely unchanged in this period.
I have been exploring the HHS dataset. Interesting Wake has only had 36 total COVID admits in the last week.