wolf howl said:

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Starwolf said:

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Wayland said:

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3/31/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases*
1,498
NC Deaths**
8
Currently Hospitalized
157

Side note . NC has gone from 550 ICU beds available early in the week to 793 now (up about 50 since yesterday)

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Yup. As a medic, it has been eerily quiet for the past few days. I've talked to ER physicians at Duke and Wakemed and they have converted any area with any beds and an Omnicell into COVID triage place. We're expecting major strain on the healthcare system in the next couple of weeks. I'll try to give y'all some more info about it!

Also I heard Florida has set up checkpoints in their state and are turning away people from NY apparently.

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For my business we have folks all over the US, and TX and FL are not necessarily turning people away but making them self quarantine for 14 days at least as of yesterday. Both if you're driving in or flying in. We've had employees stopped as they got off the plane from FL told that and employees driving from LA to TX/FL told that.

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WolfQuacker said:

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Finally kicked my fever as of yesterday, which was ongoing since 3/18. Still clearing some crap from my lungs. Test results from 3/22 still not back, but there's zero doubt I've had Covid 19. It's no joke folks - I started getting a little scared after about day 8-9 of constant fever and zero energy, and feeling like I was hit by a bus.

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RunsWithWolves26 said:

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WolfQuacker said:

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Finally kicked my fever as of yesterday, which was ongoing since 3/18. Still clearing some crap from my lungs. Test results from 3/22 still not back, but there's zero doubt I've had Covid 19. It's no joke folks - I started getting a little scared after about day 8-9 of constant fever and zero energy, and feeling like I was hit by a bus.

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What did your fever stay around? Was it high like some have reported or low? Glad you're on the better side of things now

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WolfQuacker said:

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RunsWithWolves26 said:

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WolfQuacker said:

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Finally kicked my fever as of yesterday, which was ongoing since 3/18. Still clearing some crap from my lungs. Test results from 3/22 still not back, but there's zero doubt I've had Covid 19. It's no joke folks - I started getting a little scared after about day 8-9 of constant fever and zero energy, and feeling like I was hit by a bus.

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What did your fever stay around? Was it high like some have reported or low? Glad you're on the better side of things now

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Generally as low as 100.2 in the mornings, and then usually 101-102.5 in the evenings.

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WolfQuacker said:

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Finally kicked my fever as of yesterday, which was ongoing since 3/18. Still clearing some crap from my lungs. Test results from 3/22 still not back, but there's zero doubt I've had Covid 19. It's no joke folks - I started getting a little scared after about day 8-9 of constant fever and zero energy, and feeling like I was hit by a bus.

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Daviewolf83 said:

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Wayland said:

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Another interesting charting site for US States. Acknowledges the data is dirty but at least shows some reference graphs.

https://www.uscovidtrends.com/index.html

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Thanks for posting the length. There is a button you can click on for the graphs, to view them plotted in log format instead of the more linear plot. I would encourage people to look at the graphs in this way. Logarithmic scales have the advantage of showing the data as percent of change. As such, it will give you an indication as to whether the data is increasing or decreasing. For the Coronavirus graphs, I prefer this view, since it tells me if growth is increasing or slowing. The somewhat good news appears to be that increases in the growth of both cases and deaths seems to be slowing. This is much harder to see when you are looking at the data in a linear format.

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Daviewolf83 said:

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Wayland said:

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Another interesting charting site for US States. Acknowledges the data is dirty but at least shows some reference graphs.

https://www.uscovidtrends.com/index.html

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Thanks for posting the length. There is a button you can click on for the graphs, to view them plotted in log format instead of the more linear plot. I would encourage people to look at the graphs in this way. Logarithmic scales have the advantage of showing the data as percent of change. As such, it will give you an indication as to whether the data is increasing or decreasing. For the Coronavirus graphs, I prefer this view, since it tells me if growth is increasing or slowing. The somewhat good news appears to be that increases in the growth of both cases and deaths seems to be slowing. This is much harder to see when you are looking at the data in a linear format.

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packgrad said:

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Italy's new cases have been going down the last 8-10 days. They are trending downward.

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packgrad said:

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IseWolf22 said:

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Yes, that is normal and expected, especially when there is incomplete data. That's why we have confidence intervals.

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packgrad said:

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"Expert" models are based on a lot of guesswork.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-its-so-freaking-hard-to-make-a-good-covid-19-model/amp/?__twitter_impression=true

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wilmwolf80 said:

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I'm ok with the models and projections adjusting as more data comes in. That's science. The thing I don't quite get is why folks are making concrete decisions for so far in the future with the models ever changing. I don't understand the purpose of extending lock downs until the end of April, May, or even June in places right now. Why put a hard and fast date on it? Why not just say, until further notice, or we'll evaluate again in two weeks. I don't see the harm in that.

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wilmwolf80 said:

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I'm ok with the models and projections adjusting as more data comes in. That's science. The thing I don't quite get is why folks are making concrete decisions for so far in the future with the models ever changing. I don't understand the purpose of extending lock downs until the end of April, May, or even June in places right now. Why put a hard and fast date on it? Why not just say, until further notice, or we'll evaluate again in two weeks. I don't see the harm in that.

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