Civilized said:
Ripper said:
Covid-19 survival rates by age from CDC:
Age 0-19 -- 99.997%
Age 20-49 -- 99.99%
Age 50-69 -- 99.5%
Age 70+ -- 94.6%
The elderly and the unhealthy need to quarantine until the vaccine's are ready.
Death isn't the only negative, lasting effect of COVID though. Looking at those numbers you'd think for essentially 100% of people under 50 that contract it, they get through it quickly and without any lasting effects.
Long-haul COVID is a serious and long-term effect for many Americans of all ages.
I agree death is not the only negative impact of Covid, but it is the one that garners the most attention in the press and the one that receives the most attention daily. For example, I have lost track of the number of people in the press and on Twitter who have said if you support reopening the economy, you support killing people. I think you would agree this has been a key focus of reporting on Covid-19, since this all began in March.
I have not been able to find any reliable statistics on the number of people who report long-term effects, but the CDC does include a page that lists some of the reported long-term issues. People can read this at the following link:
CDC: Long-term Effects of Covid-19Some of the issues listed also occur with other respiratory viruses (heart damage as an example), so it is not unique to just Covid-19. I do believe some of these health conditions are more severe than you would expect from other viruses and I think it will be years before we really understand the cause of many of these long-term issues. I suspect some of it will be tied to a person's health condition at the time of infection, if they had pre-existing conditions that made them more susceptible to long-term issues, and issues unique to the Covid-19 virus. I will not be surprised if we also find some of these issues are caused by the immune system reaction to Covid-19. Reportedly, it does an excellent job (unfortunately) in causing the body to destroy vital organs in an attempt to fight the virus.
If you consider that many of the people who have long-term effects are also people more likely to be hospitalized, I thought it would be helpful to look at the current statistics on hospitalizations in NC, particularly compared to cases. If you look at hospitalizations and cases by age, you will see the following:
Age = % of cases
0-17 = 11%
18-24 = 16%
25-49 = 40%
50-64 = 19%
65-74 = 8%
75+ = 7%
Age = % of hospital daily admissions
0-17 = 1%
18-19= 1%
20-29= 4%
30-39= 5%
40-49 = 8%
50-59 = 14%
60-69 = 19%
70-79 = 24%
80+ = 18%
Age unknown/not reported = 6%
So, over half the people admitted daily to the hospital are over the age of 60, but this demographic only makes up roughly 25% of the cases. We also know that roughly 4% (actually lower) of active cases are currently hospitalized. So, more than 96% of cases require no hospitalization.
For reference, I am also including the current statistics for deaths in NC, based on age.
Age = % of Deaths
0-17 = 0% <== 1 death in NC for this age group - news reports indicate they had a pre-existing health issue
18-24 = 0% <== 5 total deaths in NC for this age group - at least 3 had pre-existing health issues
25-49 = 4%
50-64 = 14%
65-75 = 23%
75+ = 58%
I saw an interview with three doctors late this week on WRAL, discussing the general profile of people being admitted to the hospital. These doctors represented UNC, Duke, and Wake Medical Center. All three confirmed what Mormad has told us in the past. They said the majority of the people being admitted to the hospital have one key thing in common - they are obese.
With regards to Covid-19 and athletics, I have seen some recent articles where doctors said the concern about athletes and Covid-19 were not justified. There is a recent article (published Oct 28, 2020 in JAMA) that discusses Covid-19 and athletics from a cardiovascular standpoint. You can read the whole article here:
Coronavirus Disease 2019 and the Athletic HeartThe article provides some interesting information regarding the effects of Covid-19 in athletes. I recommend everyone read this article, since it does a good job of summarizing some the current information and thinking on Covid-19 and athletics. Here are some key quotes from the article:
"At present, there is no widely accepted definition of what constitutes clinically relevant myocardial injury secondary to COVID-19 infection among athletes in competitive sports. ""...abnormalities that have emerged as markers of COVID-19 cardiac injury may overlap with normal physiology and the established attributes of the athlete's heart.18.""While concerns about the implications of cardiac injury attributable to COVID-19 infection deserve further study, they should not constitute a primary justification for the cancellation or postponement of sports. ""Most children of high school age who are infected with COVID-19 experience only mild symptoms or remain asymptomatic, and the overall risk of myocarditis prior to the COVID-19 pandemic among children is low.41.""To date, for high school athletes 15 years or older, there has been no compelling evidence of clinically relevant CV pathology following asymptomatic to mild COVID-19 infection. Thus, we recommend, in the absence of systemic symptoms or persistent CV complaints, CV risk stratification is unnecessary after CDC-recommended self-isolation.38""Self-isolation has been reduced from 14 to 10 days from the time of documented infection per CDC guidelines.38 As such, we believe it is reasonable to reduce complete exercise abstinence in cases of asymptomatic COVID-19 infection to 10 days from the date of the positive test result ""In athletes infected with COVID-19 with mild symptoms that completely resolve during 10 days of self-isolation after a positive test result or symptom onset,38 RTP CV risk stratification appears to be low yield. "
