My gut says institutional testing or focused outbreaks.statefan91 said:
I saw we were at ~7k cases listed today, any idea if this is a dump of backlog as well or if it's sign of an increase?
Wake is a big contributor. This weekend Wake had fewer cases than last weekend, but then BAM massive cases out of Wake on Monday/Tuesday collection.
Last Monday was the reported case backlog... so let's ignore it and take just the Tue->Thursday reporting this week.
We have a net increase in cases of just under 1300 for this Tue->Thurs compared to last Tue->Thurs.
Wake is the biggest culprit... and like I said actually had FEWER weekend cases.
Change in reported cases by DHHS (8/17-8/19) - (8/10-8/12)
Wake 388 (<- with basically all coming from Monday/Tuesday specimen collections)
Counties with ~100 case increase
Alamance 88
Buncombe 102
Forsyth 99
Guilford 105
Onslow 108
Robeson 105
Rowan 136
Now, 27 counties actually reported DECREASES led by Meck with -125. Most of the counties did not have a significant change.
This is the EXACT time last year that we saw the increase in cases from the back to school/university testing. This year it just happens to coincide with our case peak, so it is masking or extending the plateau.
I still think the wave is in decline, but focused testing efforts are picking up cases. Pray that will be seen in the hospitalizations soon.