Wayland said:
This is what we need for NC. It is what is happening in AZ where hospitalizations are going up despite new admits going down. Would love to see the data for this kind of analysis, why the DHHS needs to get off their asses and stop saying that collecting information is 'too hard'. Pandemic, extra effort people.
@EthicalSkeptic
I still contend that those graphs are known for NC just like AZ. I mean, I could do that graph for Moses cone health system over a 2 month time span very easily if I had the time or energy. That tells me that graph exists.
I appreciate the personal stories here. It makes us all step back and remember the personal side of this for those affected. Have a really good friend who's positive test came back yesterday. Sure, she'll probably be ok. So many are, right? But what if she's not?
The data's great and all, but in general it's not reliable on a day to day basis because of differences in reporting and difficulty in dealing with health related issues in general. The data also morphs as new info on individual patients comes in...ie, maybe it's confirmed 2 days later that a dude who died tests positive or maybe autopsy confirms it's not a covid death a week later or whatever scenario you wanna come up with. That's why a negative one on a death chart one day shouldn't be surprising or even a big point of discussion. Reporting isn't delayed because people are lazy, it's delayed because in healthcare it's difficult, fast moving, ever changing, and inaccurate if rushed. I assure you healthcare systems have TEAMS of people dedicated to this. The extra effort is there, I assure you. They have 2 competing dogs in this hunt... Their bottom line and their responsibility of taking care of the sick (which is extremely hard to predict still). So I guarantee they know these numbers better than we do. Their existence and sustainability depends on it.
Is there marginalization everywhere? Absolutely. People are frustrated. I very closely align politically here, but this isn't political for me despite its profound effect on my bottom line and my freedom to congregate with friends. So I struggle with this whole thing. I'm angry at a virus I can't control. I'm frustrated with those who have shut down my world, and equally with those who marginalize this virus.
Sometimes the 30,000 foot view is easier. This isn't rocket surgery. It's a virus. One that kills and mames, and not just grandma in the nursing home. It's poorly understood so frustration over changes in predictions, forecasts, and behaviors is understood, but there has to be insight into why that occurs. And despite our best efforts at explaining it away, the numbers are going up, which was predictable when things opened up a little. Whether we like it or not, that's the truth.
(Sorry, Wayland, most of that was a generalized statement and not meant for you personally, bud)