It has breached the facility that my mother is in as of this afternoon. Nothing that I can do now but hope for the best.RunsWithWolves26 said:Everpack said:
I wonder if there is any way to tell if the increase in covid19 deaths has had a negative effect on flu deaths?
I say that with this anecdotal evidence. My grandmother passed away two weeks ago today. She was 82. She was also obese and diabetic and had not taken care of herself at all since my grandfather passed several years ago. She lived with an aunt who works at a dentist office. Both of them woke up four weeks prior to her death with a cold. Five days later she was admitted to the hospital for dehydration and the flu. A week later she was moved to a rehab facility at a local nursing home. A week later she was moved to their hospice care and two days later she passed. Her cause of death? Pneumonia.
Sorry to hear about your loss. My grandma is in a nursing home and I'm truly worried about her
statefan91 said:
New York is now sheltering in place. I'm just not sure where the **** things go from here? Like how long is California, New York, etc going to stay as shelter in place before everyone goes crazy and disregards things?
statefan91 said:
Thanks for asking - still waiting on results. Test was done Wednesday morning but I guess there was a surge in testing so it's been harder to get results back quickly.
Hopefully that 45 minute test you linked to earlier will be widely used and help s quickly get control of this.
WolfQuacker said:
Got tested this morning, probably have it. Wife had a coworker test positive and came down w/ symptoms about 10 days ago. She's recovered. I got symptoms starting last wednesday. Fluctuating fever on and off, max around 102 so far and seems to spike at night. No respitory issues yet, and none for the wife, but I have a ways to go. I was neg for flu, and expect covid19 results in 4-10 days. Life's been better.
I just do not think it is realistic to think that you will be able to wrap up quarantine measures next week.packgrad said:
NC has 255 cases with 0 deaths. Hope we wrap up this quarantine mess next week.
Edit... reply wasn't directed at you WW. Didn't realize it would do that.
ZAXPACK15 said:
I found this article comforting and hopefully accurate.
https://www.amgreatness.com/2020/03/19/dangerous-curves/
I experienced symptoms consistent with the virus in December. Negative for flu. Lasted about three weeks for the most intense symptoms, and continued to have mild respiratory issues and coughing after that. I'll never know what it was, but as I said at the start of this thread, I meet people from all across the country, and the world, on a daily basis, so I don't put it out of the realm of possibility.RunsWithWolves26 said:ZAXPACK15 said:
I found this article comforting and hopefully accurate.
https://www.amgreatness.com/2020/03/19/dangerous-curves/
I referenced this a few pages back. Doctors have been saying for weeks now that they were seeing these exact symptoms in November and December and even early January and couldn't pinpoint it. They would test for the flu and it would come back negative.
As of 1:30 PM, the JohnHopkins tracker (which is usually 6-12 hours behind), has:Mormad said:
As of this morning at 8:35 per the NCDHHS:
297 cases in NC with no deaths
8438 completed tests
15, 219 us cases, with 201 deaths
packgrad said:
Goodbye small businesses in NC.
IMO any comparisons that don't take into account average population age, population density, geography, etc. are not really worth anything. Italy has 532 people per square mile. The US has 94. NYC is 26,000 per square mile. NC is 213. The virus simply is going to spread differently in those places.RunsWithWolves26 said:
I see people constantly comparing Italy and the USA. Italy's death rate is 9.3% while the USA is at 1.3%. south Korea is at 1.2%. With hundreds or thousands more being tested over the next 7-10 days, we could see the USA and their numbers saying similar to South Korea. I've been watching South Korea all along. They are the closest example we have to what the USA is and will do.
Mormad said:
The numbers I received yesterday shows that 4.5 percent of those tested are positive (252 out of 5272 tested), so that suggests 260ish will be 700ish by mid week. 450 deaths in Spain last night, 750 in Italy. NY not expected to peak for 3-4 weeks, at which time they'll need 900 ICU beds. They currently have 2patients sharing a single ventilator. This is an ugly ugly situation and actually fairly scary to me. This is no flu. I have cancelled all non emergent surgery for weeks, and I am asking patients to please consider telemed instead of office visits. I sincerely hope those of you who feel this is being way overblown are going to be correct, but we in the medical field simply can't afford the downside risk. We are taking this extremely seriously, and I implore you to do the same. Good luck to you and all you come in contact with if you don't.
Do you mind talking about what SK is doing now? I haven't been following them but did they do total lockdown and open things back up? Are things improving there and getting back to somewhat normal lives?RunsWithWolves26 said:
I see people constantly comparing Italy and the USA. Italy's death rate is 9.3% while the USA is at 1.3%. south Korea is at 1.2%. With hundreds or thousands more being tested over the next 7-10 days, we could see the USA and their numbers saying similar to South Korea. I've been watching South Korea all along. They are the closest example we have to what the USA is and will do.
statefan91 said:Do you mind talking about what SK is doing now? I haven't been following them but did they do total lockdown and open things back up? Are things improving there and getting back to somewhat normal lives?RunsWithWolves26 said:
I see people constantly comparing Italy and the USA. Italy's death rate is 9.3% while the USA is at 1.3%. south Korea is at 1.2%. With hundreds or thousands more being tested over the next 7-10 days, we could see the USA and their numbers saying similar to South Korea. I've been watching South Korea all along. They are the closest example we have to what the USA is and will do.
CDC numbers will lag behind everything else. They are the most conservative source, only reporting confirmed cases sent to the CDC. This has value when you want to talk certainties, but I'd rather trust respected data conglomerates that will give more recent data.Mormad said:
CDC of noon: 33404 US cases with 400 deaths
This is the source of the NC numbers which doesn't match the 15k NC reported. Weird. But who cares, still a mess out there
Mormad said:
Totally agree, and I've been preaching this to my colleagues and friends for days. That said, what is happening in the high density populations is profoundly affecting those everywhere. And it seems so hysterical in some ways to me, but WHEN it reaches your circle it will get very real. Those who lose loved ones because they're one of the 1.3 percent will realize every death is one too many. I'm so thankful we're not in a high density area, but the numbers are growing rapidly and soon we'll see nc deaths. I worry about bringing it home to my family. Oh well, I'll shut up now. We all deal with these things differently, but I can tell you my medical colleagues, my family, and I are very very concerned.
