Coronavirus

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TheStorm
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Wayland said:

Watched last night's UNC TV interview with Cohen. In the world of ever shifting goal posts, she is now claiming that Phase 2 was extended so that they could see the effects of school openings on case counts. Just making stuff up as they go along.

I don't recall that being given as a reason a week ago in the briefing.
Wait?!? Was this the interview that they'd been advertising since last week's extension with the teaser "Cohen shares her views on the virus being politicized in NC"?

Boy, I bet that was grand! (any details?)
Wayland
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TheStorm said:

Wayland said:

Watched last night's UNC TV interview with Cohen. In the world of ever shifting goal posts, she is now claiming that Phase 2 was extended so that they could see the effects of school openings on case counts. Just making stuff up as they go along.

I don't recall that being given as a reason a week ago in the briefing.
Wait?!? Was this the interview that they'd been advertising since last week's extension with the teaser "Cohen shares her views on the virus being politicized in NC"?

Boy, I bet that was grand! (any details?)
She does a (almost) weekly with UNC-TV called 'Focus On'. It used to actually provide some good insight, in recent weeks/months it has devolved into a propaganda filled love-fest.
TheStorm
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Wayland said:

TheStorm said:

Wayland said:

Watched last night's UNC TV interview with Cohen. In the world of ever shifting goal posts, she is now claiming that Phase 2 was extended so that they could see the effects of school openings on case counts. Just making stuff up as they go along.

I don't recall that being given as a reason a week ago in the briefing.
Wait?!? Was this the interview that they'd been advertising since last week's extension with the teaser "Cohen shares her views on the virus being politicized in NC"?

Boy, I bet that was grand! (any details?)
She does a (almost) weekly with UNC-TV called 'Focus On'. It used to actually provide some good insight, in recent weeks/months it has devolved into a propaganda filled love-fest.
Maybe that other interview was going to be on Spectrum now that I think about it... I probably already missed it.
82TxPackFan
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Cooper & Cohn's version of interpreting trend charts.

FlossyDFlynt
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Like clockwork

Wayland
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Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

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Wayland said:

Quote:

7/31/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
122,148
NC Deaths
1924
Currently Hospitalized
1229 <- 91% reporting (was 1239 at 89% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,757,102

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1010 Deaths are now Congregate (+8)
282 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+5)
+21 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

632 Deaths assumed General Population (+8)
1292 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+13)

309 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+12)
Nursing Homes 160 -> 164
Resident Care 90 -> 94
Correctional 31 -> 34
Other 16 -> 17
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1929* deaths

1954 positive cases over 32178 new tests. 6.1% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 32178 but DHHS claims only 27741 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 7/30 - +21, +2 Previously Missing Date, 1 Death Removed
7/30(2), 7/29(10), 7/28(4), 7/27(2), 7/26, 7/25(3), 7/21, 7/20

1 death removed on 6/25
8/1/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
123,878
NC Deaths
1964
Currently Hospitalized
1151 <- 92% reporting (was 1229 at 91% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,786,412

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1031 Deaths are now Congregate (+21)
291 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+9)
+21 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

642 Deaths assumed General Population (+10)
1322 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+30)

304 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (-5)
Nursing Homes 164 -> 162
Resident Care 94 -> 95
Correctional 34 -> 33
Other 17 -> 14
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1952* deaths

1730 positive cases over 29310 new tests. 5.9% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 29310 but DHHS claims only 26510 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/1 40 deaths
7/31(6), 7/30(13), 7/29(3), 7/28(5), 7/26(2), 7/25(3), 7/24(3), 7/23, 7/22, 7/21, 7/20, and 7/14

Congregate deaths continue to be through the roof. 116 congregate and 60 unknown deaths reported the last 10 days.

Case reporting lag is getting super tight. Next two days case numbers should plummet.
8/2/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
125,219
NC Deaths
1969
Currently Hospitalized
1142 <- 85% reporting (was 1151 at 92% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,813,510

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1033 Deaths are now Congregate (+2)
292 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+1)
+5 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

644 Deaths assumed General Population (+2)
1325 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+3)

305 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+1)
Nursing Homes 162 -> 162
Resident Care 95 -> 95
Correctional 33 -> 34
Other 14 -> 14
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1992* deaths

1341 positive cases over 27098 new tests. 4.9% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 27098 but DHHS claims only 24962 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/2
8/1, 7/31, 7/30, 7/22 and one missing.

Cases by date of specimen keep declining. If they continue to call this 'stabilization' it is a bold faced lie.



8/3/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
126,532
NC Deaths
1982
Currently Hospitalized
1057 <- 79% reporting (was 1142 at 85% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,837,410

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1038 Deaths are now Congregate (+5)
295 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+3)
+13 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

649 Deaths assumed General Population (+5)
1333 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+8)

307 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+2)
Nursing Homes 162 -> 163
Resident Care 95 -> 95
Correctional 34 -> 34
Other 14 -> 15
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2000* deaths

1313 positive cases over 23900 new tests. 5.5% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 23900 but DHHS claims only 20378 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/3
8/2(2), 8/1(7), 7/31, 7/30, 7/29, and 7/26
They also removed 1 death from the missing dates of death tally, but I couldn't locate a 14th death assigned.

RE: Hospitalizations. Someone big in the Triad likely missed reporting. Their numbers dropped too far in one day to be organic. I would figure at least 80 additional if the missing hospital was in.
8/4/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
128,161
NC Deaths
2010
Currently Hospitalized
1166 <- 92% reporting (was 1057 at 79% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,854,026

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1048 Deaths are now Congregate (+10)
301 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+6)
+28 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

661 Deaths assumed General Population (+12)
1349 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+16)

321 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+14)
Nursing Homes 163 -> 170
Resident Care 95 -> 98
Correctional 34 -> 37
Other 15 -> 16
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2015* deaths

1629 positive cases over 16616 new tests. 9.8% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 16616 but DHHS claims only 9667 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/4
8/3(2), 8/2(8), 8/1(9), 7/31(1), 7/30(3), 7/21, 7/19, 7/14, 7/2, and 1 added to Missing DoD.


Cases are higher than I would have guessed for lag. I think the case numbers are being bumped some by outbreak testing. A number of new correctional and nursing outbreaks caught. Did a quick glance down county data, and other than Meck posting a little higher than average lately (around 300 cases) most of the other case increases are from smaller counties having slightly higher case totals reported.

The amount of tests done is obscenely low and shows that it is all basically hospital cases, not outside labs being counted.
8/5/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
129,288
NC Deaths
2050
Currently Hospitalized
1167 <- 93% reporting (was 1166 at 92% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,873,668

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1065 Deaths are now Congregate (+17)
311 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+10)
+40 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

674 Deaths assumed General Population (+13)
1376 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+27)

322 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+1)
Nursing Homes 170 -> 172
Resident Care 98 -> 98
Correctional 37 -> 39
Other 16 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2039* deaths

1127 positive cases over 19624 new tests. 5.7% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 19624 but DHHS claims only 19444 completed tests

BACKLOG DAY
Dates of Death Reported 8/5
8/4, 8/3(5), 8/2(4), 8/1(4), 7/31(5), 7/30(4), 7/29(2), 7/28(5), 7/27(3), 7/26, 7/25, 7/24(4), 7/23(2), 7/8 , 7/6, 6/30

One removed on 7/14. I am getting one additional death assigned than should be accounted for, but there could be another removal that I am missing or just a reporting error.

Lowest case reported day since June

Deaths Added by County
Camden(2), Chatham(1), Davie(1), Duplin(1), Forsyth(2), Gaston(1), Granville(1), Guilford(3), Harnett(2), Haywood(1), McDowell(2), Meck(2), New Hanover(1), Richmond(1), Stanly(13)!!!!!!!!, Wake(3), Union(3)

Deaths Removed
Bladen 1

CONGREGATE DEATHS continue to drive the increase. 17 congregate and 10 unknowns reported today.
8/6/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
131,267
NC Deaths
2092
Currently Hospitalized
1147 <- 90% reporting (was 1167 at 93% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,904,750

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1092 Deaths are now Congregate (+27)
316 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+5)
+42 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

684 Deaths assumed General Population (+10)
1408 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+32)

327 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+5)
Nursing Homes 172 -> 175
Resident Care 98 -> 99
Correctional 39 -> 40
Other 13 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2071* deaths

1979 positive cases over 31028 new tests. 6.4% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 31028 but DHHS claims only 29418 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/6 MORE BACKLOG
8/5(4), 8/4(10), 8/3(4), 8/2(3), 8/1(3), 7/31(3), 7/30, 7/25, 7/23(2), 7/21, 7/20(2), 7/13, 7/10, 7/6(3), 7/5, 7/3, and 6/26

1979 cases.... that is the big drama over not reporting 4 days cases.... as I said, it would be a couple hundred more and not change the trend line.
8/7/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
132,812
NC Deaths
2134
Currently Hospitalized
1123 <- 90% reporting (was 1147 at 90% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,939,812

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1112 Deaths are now Congregate (+20)
331 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+15)
+42 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

691 Deaths assumed General Population (+7)
1443 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+35)

332 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+5)
Nursing Homes 175 -> 177
Resident Care 99 -> 100
Correctional 40 -> 42
Other 13 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2115* deaths

1545 positive cases over 35026 new tests. 4.4% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 35026 but DHHS claims only 25212 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/7
8/6(4), 8/5(8), 8/4(8), 8/3(3), 8/2, 8/1(4), 7/31(4), 7/30(2), 7/29(2), 7/27, 7/22, 7/21(2), 7/20, 7/18

TWENTY more Congregate deaths and FIFTEEN(!!!!) Unknown. How can you not know where people live? Make a call.

Wake with 27 deaths added the last 2 days.


8/8/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
134,766
NC Deaths
2160
Currently Hospitalized
1129 <- 87% reporting (was 1123 at 90% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,969,766

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1118 Deaths are now Congregate (+6)
340 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+9)
+26 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

702 Deaths assumed General Population (+11)
1458 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+15)

329 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (-3)
Nursing Homes 177 -> 174
Resident Care 100 -> 100
Correctional 42 -> 42
Other 13 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2158* deaths

1954 positive cases over 29954 new tests. 6.5% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 29954 but DHHS claims only 27034 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/8
8/7(7), 8/6(7), 8/5, 8/4, 8/3(3), 8/1(4), 7/28, 7/27(2), 7/24

Dates of Deaths REMOVED 8/8
7/18, 6/11

Today was the second worst day for lagged cases in the last month with almost 15% of cases reported today coming 7/29 or earlier.

8/9/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
136,218
NC Deaths
2168
Currently Hospitalized
1109 <- 84% reporting (was 1129 at 87% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,986,548

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1127 Deaths are now Congregate (+9)
339 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (-1)
+8 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

702 Deaths assumed General Population (+0)
1466 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+8)

333 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+4)
Nursing Homes 174 -> 176
Resident Care 100 -> 101
Correctional 42 -> 43
Other 13 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2183* deaths

1452 positive cases over 16782 new tests. 8.7% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 16782 but DHHS claims only 16749 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/9 ALL CONGREGATE
8/8, 8/7(3), 8/6, 8/2, 7/18, 7/10

8/10/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
136,844
NC Deaths
2172
Currently Hospitalized
1111 <- 84% reporting (was 1109 at 80% yesterday)
Completed Tests
2,001,919

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1128 Deaths are now Congregate (+1)
340 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+1)
+4 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

704 Deaths assumed General Population (+2)
1468 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+2)

333 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+0)
Nursing Homes 176 -> 176
Resident Care 101 -> 101
Correctional 43 -> 43
Other 13 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2189* deaths

626 positive cases over 15371 new tests. 4.1% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 15371 but DHHS claims only 13392 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/10
8/9(2), 8/7(2)

Lowest cases in forever (6/2). 5% positive on DHHS metric. Lag has bit them in the ass.

Will keep looking. Knew it was going to be low. Thought it would be tomorrow with the low low though. Guess they want it higher tomorrow for briefing day.
8/11/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
137,895
NC Deaths
2204
Currently Hospitalized
1122 <- 92% reporting (was 1111 at 84% yesterday)
Completed Tests
2,017,498

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1140 Deaths are now Congregate (+12)
349 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+9)
+32 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

715 Deaths assumed General Population (+11)
1489 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+21)

331 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (-2)
Nursing Homes 176 -> 173
Resident Care 101 -> 101
Correctional 43 -> 44
Other 13 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2192* deaths

1051 positive cases over 15579 new tests. 6.7% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 15371 but DHHS claims only 10098 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/11
8/10(5), 8/9(8), 8/8(6), 8/7(3), 8/5, 8/4, 8/3(2), 7/31, 7/29, 7/28, 7/27, 7/18, 6/30, 6/28

One death removed on 7/10

Still reviewing
8/12/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
139,061
NC Deaths
2249
Currently Hospitalized
1062 <- 91% reporting (was 1122 at 92% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,823,283 (was 2,017,498 yesterday)

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1159 Deaths are now Congregate (+19)
364 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+15)
+45 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

726 Deaths assumed General Population (+11)
1523 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+34)

343 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+12)
Nursing Homes 173 -> 181
Resident Care 101 -> 104
Correctional 44 -> 45
Other 13 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2255* deaths

1166 positive cases over 26129* new tests. 4.5% positive rate.
Using DHHS value since delta is MINUS 194215

Delta completed tests -194,215 but DHHS claims only 26129 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/12
8/11(3), 8/10(9), 8/9(6), 8/8(4), 8/7(6), 8/6(2), 8/5(3), 8/4(2), 8/3(2), 8/2, 8/1, 7/30(2), 7/25, 7/24, 7/18, 6/25

46 added to Date of Death. 45 new and 1 previously missing.

DHHS is blaming LabCorp for the 200000 missing tests CORRECTION, but now we have no idea on today's positive percent.
https://www.ncdhhs.gov/news/press-releases/ncdhhs-corrects-covid-19-testing-totals-after-identifying-labcorp-reporting
Quote:

"Although this reporting error impacts our count of total tests completed, it does not alter our key metrics or change our understanding of COVID-19 transmission in North Carolina, which shows stabilization over the last few weeks," said NCDHHS Secretary Mandy Cohen, M.D.

Fire Mandy
8/13/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
140,824
NC Deaths
2287
Currently Hospitalized
1070 <- 90% reporting (was 1062 at 91% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,850,689

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1180 Deaths are now Congregate (+21)
370 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+6)
+38 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

737 Deaths assumed General Population (+11)
1550 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+27)

350 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+7)
Nursing Homes 181 -> 186
Resident Care 104 -> 106
Correctional 45 -> 46
Other 13 -> 12
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2255* deaths

1763 positive cases over 27406* new tests. 6.4% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 27406 but DHHS claims only 20329 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/13
8/12(3), 8/11(7), 8/10(3), 8/9(4), 8/8, 8/7(3), 8/6(3), 8/5(2), 8/2, 8/1(2), 7/31(3), 7/30, 7/21, 7/10
AND THREE NEW missing Dates of Death
Wayland
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FlossyDFlynt said:

Like clockwork


Except they have always been 'in line' ... in decline. Thursday is a peak day since it draws on Monday reporting.

****ing morons at WRAL don't understand that later weekdays pull mostly from weekday reporting so there is MORE CASES, and early weekdays draw mostly from weekends when there is LESS CASES.



Three days ago in an article from WRAL when cases are low:


You would think after 5 months the social media intern would understand data.
Wayland
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Since I am on a roll. Here is today's CLI... the non Mandy charts.

Both ICU and non-critical raw totals down. ICU as a % also down.



Testing in PHE facilities getting close to 5%

Again, less people in the ED for CLI, higher number of them admitted. There is space, so giving care. No capacity issues.
SupplyChainPack
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Looks like CBS is going all-in, full court press on tn covid propaganda tonight.

The MSM (and, redundantly the DNC) are fully invested in keeping the crisis in full bloom.

I wonder why?
TheStorm
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SupplyChainPack said:

Looks like CBS is going all-in, full court press on tn covid propaganda tonight.

The MSM (and, redundantly the DNC) are fully invested in keeping the crisis in full bloom.

I wonder why?
A National Election 100% voting by mail (probably state by state decisions) - OR other Electronic means (such as by computer - or cell phone)...
Packchem91
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SupplyChainPack said:

Looks like CBS is going all-in, full court press on tn covid propaganda tonight.

The MSM (and, redundantly the DNC) are fully invested in keeping the crisis in full bloom.

I wonder why?
Watched about a month of CBS Evening news several months ago and got so frustrated with Norah O'Donnell that I couldn't take it anymore, and switched to ABC.
wilmwolf
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Y'all watch the news?
Just a guy on the sunshine squad.
The Gatekeeper.
Homer Dumbarse.
StateFan2001 will probably respond to this because he isn't smart enough to understand how ignore works.
statefan91
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TheStorm said:

SupplyChainPack said:

Looks like CBS is going all-in, full court press on tn covid propaganda tonight.

The MSM (and, redundantly the DNC) are fully invested in keeping the crisis in full bloom.

I wonder why?
A National Election 100% voting by mail (probably state by state decisions) - OR other Electronic means (such as by computer - or cell phone)...


Have there been a lot of issues with vote by mail in the past? Doesn't the majority of the military vote by mail?
packgrad
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statefan91 said:

TheStorm said:

SupplyChainPack said:

Looks like CBS is going all-in, full court press on tn covid propaganda tonight.

The MSM (and, redundantly the DNC) are fully invested in keeping the crisis in full bloom.

I wonder why?
A National Election 100% voting by mail (probably state by state decisions) - OR other Electronic means (such as by computer - or cell phone)...


Have there been a lot of issues with vote by mail in the past? Doesn't the majority of the military vote by mail?


https://www.npr.org/2020/07/13/889751095/signed-sealed-undelivered-thousands-of-mail-in-ballots-rejected-for-tardiness
statefan91
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Interesting. Sounds like the Admin should be pumping in money to USPS and not removing the mail sorters you're help ensure that's not an issue.
packgrad
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statefan91 said:

Interesting. Sounds like the Admin should be pumping in money to USPS and not removing the mail sorters you're help ensure that's not an issue.


https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theatlantic.com/amp/article/614446/
Packchem91
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wilmwolf80 said:

Y'all watch the news?
I know, crazy, huh? But my wife likes to watch it as we finish dinner....and its one of those things where you can gain some marital capital by doing so, and you can turn that it in to sit and watch the Hurricanes playoff comeback win over the dayumed Bruins later at night....no harm, no foul.
SupplyChainPack
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There is a reason why secular liberal democrats are never in favor of improving verification for the voting process. There is a reason that they are always scheming to open up the voting process to voting fraud and ballot harvesting.

I mean always. All the while screaming incoherently that somehow the RussiaRussiaRussians stole the election from poor Hillary.

What could the reason be?
statefan91
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SupplyChainPack said:

There is a reason why secular liberal democrats are never in favor of improving verification for the voting process. There is a reason that they are always scheming to open up the voting process to voting fraud and ballot harvesting.

I mean always. All the while screaming incoherently that somehow the RussiaRussiaRussians stole the election from poor Hillary.

What could the reason be?
Maybe we can do a USPS / Voting thread instead of infecting the Coronavirus thread with this discussion

(See what I did there)
statefan91
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Donated blood earlier this week and had COVID Antibody testing done on sample and came back Negative
Wayland
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Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Quote:

7/31/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
122,148
NC Deaths
1924
Currently Hospitalized
1229 <- 91% reporting (was 1239 at 89% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,757,102

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1010 Deaths are now Congregate (+8)
282 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+5)
+21 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

632 Deaths assumed General Population (+8)
1292 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+13)

309 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+12)
Nursing Homes 160 -> 164
Resident Care 90 -> 94
Correctional 31 -> 34
Other 16 -> 17
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1929* deaths

1954 positive cases over 32178 new tests. 6.1% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 32178 but DHHS claims only 27741 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 7/30 - +21, +2 Previously Missing Date, 1 Death Removed
7/30(2), 7/29(10), 7/28(4), 7/27(2), 7/26, 7/25(3), 7/21, 7/20

1 death removed on 6/25
8/1/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
123,878
NC Deaths
1964
Currently Hospitalized
1151 <- 92% reporting (was 1229 at 91% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,786,412

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1031 Deaths are now Congregate (+21)
291 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+9)
+21 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

642 Deaths assumed General Population (+10)
1322 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+30)

304 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (-5)
Nursing Homes 164 -> 162
Resident Care 94 -> 95
Correctional 34 -> 33
Other 17 -> 14
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1952* deaths

1730 positive cases over 29310 new tests. 5.9% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 29310 but DHHS claims only 26510 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/1 40 deaths
7/31(6), 7/30(13), 7/29(3), 7/28(5), 7/26(2), 7/25(3), 7/24(3), 7/23, 7/22, 7/21, 7/20, and 7/14

Congregate deaths continue to be through the roof. 116 congregate and 60 unknown deaths reported the last 10 days.

Case reporting lag is getting super tight. Next two days case numbers should plummet.
8/2/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
125,219
NC Deaths
1969
Currently Hospitalized
1142 <- 85% reporting (was 1151 at 92% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,813,510

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1033 Deaths are now Congregate (+2)
292 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+1)
+5 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

644 Deaths assumed General Population (+2)
1325 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+3)

305 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+1)
Nursing Homes 162 -> 162
Resident Care 95 -> 95
Correctional 33 -> 34
Other 14 -> 14
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1992* deaths

1341 positive cases over 27098 new tests. 4.9% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 27098 but DHHS claims only 24962 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/2
8/1, 7/31, 7/30, 7/22 and one missing.

Cases by date of specimen keep declining. If they continue to call this 'stabilization' it is a bold faced lie.



8/3/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
126,532
NC Deaths
1982
Currently Hospitalized
1057 <- 79% reporting (was 1142 at 85% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,837,410

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1038 Deaths are now Congregate (+5)
295 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+3)
+13 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

649 Deaths assumed General Population (+5)
1333 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+8)

307 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+2)
Nursing Homes 162 -> 163
Resident Care 95 -> 95
Correctional 34 -> 34
Other 14 -> 15
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2000* deaths

1313 positive cases over 23900 new tests. 5.5% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 23900 but DHHS claims only 20378 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/3
8/2(2), 8/1(7), 7/31, 7/30, 7/29, and 7/26
They also removed 1 death from the missing dates of death tally, but I couldn't locate a 14th death assigned.

RE: Hospitalizations. Someone big in the Triad likely missed reporting. Their numbers dropped too far in one day to be organic. I would figure at least 80 additional if the missing hospital was in.
8/4/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
128,161
NC Deaths
2010
Currently Hospitalized
1166 <- 92% reporting (was 1057 at 79% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,854,026

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1048 Deaths are now Congregate (+10)
301 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+6)
+28 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

661 Deaths assumed General Population (+12)
1349 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+16)

321 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+14)
Nursing Homes 163 -> 170
Resident Care 95 -> 98
Correctional 34 -> 37
Other 15 -> 16
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2015* deaths

1629 positive cases over 16616 new tests. 9.8% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 16616 but DHHS claims only 9667 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/4
8/3(2), 8/2(8), 8/1(9), 7/31(1), 7/30(3), 7/21, 7/19, 7/14, 7/2, and 1 added to Missing DoD.


Cases are higher than I would have guessed for lag. I think the case numbers are being bumped some by outbreak testing. A number of new correctional and nursing outbreaks caught. Did a quick glance down county data, and other than Meck posting a little higher than average lately (around 300 cases) most of the other case increases are from smaller counties having slightly higher case totals reported.

The amount of tests done is obscenely low and shows that it is all basically hospital cases, not outside labs being counted.
8/5/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
129,288
NC Deaths
2050
Currently Hospitalized
1167 <- 93% reporting (was 1166 at 92% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,873,668

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1065 Deaths are now Congregate (+17)
311 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+10)
+40 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

674 Deaths assumed General Population (+13)
1376 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+27)

322 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+1)
Nursing Homes 170 -> 172
Resident Care 98 -> 98
Correctional 37 -> 39
Other 16 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2039* deaths

1127 positive cases over 19624 new tests. 5.7% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 19624 but DHHS claims only 19444 completed tests

BACKLOG DAY
Dates of Death Reported 8/5
8/4, 8/3(5), 8/2(4), 8/1(4), 7/31(5), 7/30(4), 7/29(2), 7/28(5), 7/27(3), 7/26, 7/25, 7/24(4), 7/23(2), 7/8 , 7/6, 6/30

One removed on 7/14. I am getting one additional death assigned than should be accounted for, but there could be another removal that I am missing or just a reporting error.

Lowest case reported day since June

Deaths Added by County
Camden(2), Chatham(1), Davie(1), Duplin(1), Forsyth(2), Gaston(1), Granville(1), Guilford(3), Harnett(2), Haywood(1), McDowell(2), Meck(2), New Hanover(1), Richmond(1), Stanly(13)!!!!!!!!, Wake(3), Union(3)

Deaths Removed
Bladen 1

CONGREGATE DEATHS continue to drive the increase. 17 congregate and 10 unknowns reported today.
8/6/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
131,267
NC Deaths
2092
Currently Hospitalized
1147 <- 90% reporting (was 1167 at 93% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,904,750

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1092 Deaths are now Congregate (+27)
316 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+5)
+42 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

684 Deaths assumed General Population (+10)
1408 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+32)

327 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+5)
Nursing Homes 172 -> 175
Resident Care 98 -> 99
Correctional 39 -> 40
Other 13 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2071* deaths

1979 positive cases over 31028 new tests. 6.4% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 31028 but DHHS claims only 29418 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/6 MORE BACKLOG
8/5(4), 8/4(10), 8/3(4), 8/2(3), 8/1(3), 7/31(3), 7/30, 7/25, 7/23(2), 7/21, 7/20(2), 7/13, 7/10, 7/6(3), 7/5, 7/3, and 6/26

1979 cases.... that is the big drama over not reporting 4 days cases.... as I said, it would be a couple hundred more and not change the trend line.
8/7/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
132,812
NC Deaths
2134
Currently Hospitalized
1123 <- 90% reporting (was 1147 at 90% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,939,812

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1112 Deaths are now Congregate (+20)
331 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+15)
+42 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

691 Deaths assumed General Population (+7)
1443 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+35)

332 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+5)
Nursing Homes 175 -> 177
Resident Care 99 -> 100
Correctional 40 -> 42
Other 13 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2115* deaths

1545 positive cases over 35026 new tests. 4.4% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 35026 but DHHS claims only 25212 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/7
8/6(4), 8/5(8), 8/4(8), 8/3(3), 8/2, 8/1(4), 7/31(4), 7/30(2), 7/29(2), 7/27, 7/22, 7/21(2), 7/20, 7/18

TWENTY more Congregate deaths and FIFTEEN(!!!!) Unknown. How can you not know where people live? Make a call.

Wake with 27 deaths added the last 2 days.


8/8/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
134,766
NC Deaths
2160
Currently Hospitalized
1129 <- 87% reporting (was 1123 at 90% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,969,766

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1118 Deaths are now Congregate (+6)
340 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+9)
+26 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

702 Deaths assumed General Population (+11)
1458 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+15)

329 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (-3)
Nursing Homes 177 -> 174
Resident Care 100 -> 100
Correctional 42 -> 42
Other 13 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2158* deaths

1954 positive cases over 29954 new tests. 6.5% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 29954 but DHHS claims only 27034 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/8
8/7(7), 8/6(7), 8/5, 8/4, 8/3(3), 8/1(4), 7/28, 7/27(2), 7/24

Dates of Deaths REMOVED 8/8
7/18, 6/11

Today was the second worst day for lagged cases in the last month with almost 15% of cases reported today coming 7/29 or earlier.

8/9/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
136,218
NC Deaths
2168
Currently Hospitalized
1109 <- 84% reporting (was 1129 at 87% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,986,548

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1127 Deaths are now Congregate (+9)
339 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (-1)
+8 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

702 Deaths assumed General Population (+0)
1466 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+8)

333 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+4)
Nursing Homes 174 -> 176
Resident Care 100 -> 101
Correctional 42 -> 43
Other 13 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2183* deaths

1452 positive cases over 16782 new tests. 8.7% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 16782 but DHHS claims only 16749 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/9 ALL CONGREGATE
8/8, 8/7(3), 8/6, 8/2, 7/18, 7/10

8/10/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
136,844
NC Deaths
2172
Currently Hospitalized
1111 <- 84% reporting (was 1109 at 80% yesterday)
Completed Tests
2,001,919

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1128 Deaths are now Congregate (+1)
340 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+1)
+4 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

704 Deaths assumed General Population (+2)
1468 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+2)

333 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+0)
Nursing Homes 176 -> 176
Resident Care 101 -> 101
Correctional 43 -> 43
Other 13 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2189* deaths

626 positive cases over 15371 new tests. 4.1% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 15371 but DHHS claims only 13392 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/10
8/9(2), 8/7(2)

Lowest cases in forever (6/2). 5% positive on DHHS metric. Lag has bit them in the ass.

Will keep looking. Knew it was going to be low. Thought it would be tomorrow with the low low though. Guess they want it higher tomorrow for briefing day.
8/11/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
137,895
NC Deaths
2204
Currently Hospitalized
1122 <- 92% reporting (was 1111 at 84% yesterday)
Completed Tests
2,017,498

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1140 Deaths are now Congregate (+12)
349 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+9)
+32 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

715 Deaths assumed General Population (+11)
1489 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+21)

331 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (-2)
Nursing Homes 176 -> 173
Resident Care 101 -> 101
Correctional 43 -> 44
Other 13 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2192* deaths

1051 positive cases over 15579 new tests. 6.7% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 15371 but DHHS claims only 10098 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/11
8/10(5), 8/9(8), 8/8(6), 8/7(3), 8/5, 8/4, 8/3(2), 7/31, 7/29, 7/28, 7/27, 7/18, 6/30, 6/28

One death removed on 7/10

Still reviewing
8/12/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
139,061
NC Deaths
2249
Currently Hospitalized
1062 <- 91% reporting (was 1122 at 92% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,823,283 (was 2,017,498 yesterday)

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1159 Deaths are now Congregate (+19)
364 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+15)
+45 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

726 Deaths assumed General Population (+11)
1523 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+34)

343 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+12)
Nursing Homes 173 -> 181
Resident Care 101 -> 104
Correctional 44 -> 45
Other 13 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2255* deaths

1166 positive cases over 26129* new tests. 4.5% positive rate.
Using DHHS value since delta is MINUS 194215

Delta completed tests -194,215 but DHHS claims only 26129 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/12
8/11(3), 8/10(9), 8/9(6), 8/8(4), 8/7(6), 8/6(2), 8/5(3), 8/4(2), 8/3(2), 8/2, 8/1, 7/30(2), 7/25, 7/24, 7/18, 6/25

46 added to Date of Death. 45 new and 1 previously missing.

DHHS is blaming LabCorp for the 200000 missing tests CORRECTION, but now we have no idea on today's positive percent.
https://www.ncdhhs.gov/news/press-releases/ncdhhs-corrects-covid-19-testing-totals-after-identifying-labcorp-reporting
Quote:

"Although this reporting error impacts our count of total tests completed, it does not alter our key metrics or change our understanding of COVID-19 transmission in North Carolina, which shows stabilization over the last few weeks," said NCDHHS Secretary Mandy Cohen, M.D.

Fire Mandy
8/13/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
140,824
NC Deaths
2287
Currently Hospitalized
1070 <- 90% reporting (was 1062 at 91% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,850,689

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1180 Deaths are now Congregate (+21)
370 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+6)
+38 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

737 Deaths assumed General Population (+11)
1550 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+27)

350 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+7)
Nursing Homes 181 -> 186
Resident Care 104 -> 106
Correctional 45 -> 46
Other 13 -> 12
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2255* deaths

1763 positive cases over 27406* new tests. 6.4% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 27406 but DHHS claims only 20329 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/13
8/12(3), 8/11(7), 8/10(3), 8/9(4), 8/8, 8/7(3), 8/6(3), 8/5(2), 8/2, 8/1(2), 7/31(3), 7/30, 7/21, 7/10
AND THREE NEW missing Dates of Death
8/13/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
142,170
NC Deaths
2313
Currently Hospitalized
1049 <- 90% reporting (was 1070 at 90% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,877,402

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1196 Deaths are now Congregate (+16)
374 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+4)
+26 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

743 Deaths assumed General Population (+6)
1570 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+20)

338 Congregate Facilities now have an active outbreak. (-12)
Nursing Homes 186 -> 183
Resident Care 106 -> 99
Correctional 46 -> 44
Other 12 -> 12
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2321* deaths

1346 positive cases over 26713* new tests. 5.0% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 26713 but DHHS claims only 19320 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/14
8/13(3), 8/12(6), 8/11(4), 8/10(3), 8/9(3), 8/8, 8/7(3), 8/5, 8/4(2), 7/20

Note: One death was removed from Missing Date of Death and added to Reported.

Some things off with data today I need to look into.
Robeson went up by 96 cases today. It appears related to an outbreak on 7/22 (no other day could account for that kind of case growth).
But the change in the state's count of case by specimen collected date for 7/22 is a MINUS 3 for that day?
statefan91
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I see Hospitalizations as 1049 with 90% reporting, just FYI
Wayland
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statefan91 said:

I see Hospitalizations as 1049 with 90% reporting, just FYI
Updated. Don't know what happened there.

In my defense (not really) they went back and lowered yesterday's hospitalizations as well down to 1047. I don't get how they can keep doing that.

I really though I had updated that number though. But this certainly wasn't my first typo. I do make mistakes
TheStorm
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Wayland said:

statefan91 said:

I see Hospitalizations as 1049 with 90% reporting, just FYI
Updated. Don't know what happened there.
Sure Mandy.
barnburner
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regardless of the absolute numbers, the trends are certainly encouraging across most categories. We have to remember that we are only back at June levels and we were alarmed then.. we need to remain on alert.
Wayland
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statefan91
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I don't understand why Date reported is the default graph for them. Shouldn't date of specimen be the more relevant number anyways?
Wayland
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Since Tuesday. 20 additional deaths have been recorded in Wake County LTC facilities.

New Deaths
Capital N&R +1 (8 total)
Laurels of Forest Glen +4 (13 total)
UNC Rex Raleigh +3 (6 total)
Tower Nursing +5 (12 total)
Dan E and Louise Stewart Health Ctr +2 (2 total)
Universal Health/FV +1 (1 total)
Wake Assisted Living +3 (3 total)
Falls Court Memory Care +2 (2 total)

Ongoing Active Outbreaks with Deaths (no new deaths since Tuesday)
Wellington 14 total
Windsor Point 5 total
Litchford Falls 6 total
Sunrise at North Hills 1 total
Hillside of WF 19 total

Outbreaks that are no longer active with deaths.
Sunnybrook 6 total
UNC Rex Apex 4 total
Brookdale WF 3 total

So far that is at least 105 LTC deaths in Wake County (pending future updates)


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wake County has 24 licensed Nursing Homes per NCDHHS.

16 of them have ACTIVE C19 Outbreaks (at least 3 additional have resolved Outbreaks).

12 have COVID related deaths.

Wake alone has 39 new reported LTC deaths since last Friday when Cohen patted herself on the back on LTC

It took until July until NC underwent a testing program that testing in all nursing homes.

And it took until AUGUST to implement regular staff testing.

Tell me again what we have been doing the last 5 months?
wilmwolf
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That's a pretty sorry state of affairs. We've known from almost day one who was most vulnerable. I'm not sure it would matter, I don't know if you can stop those people from getting it, but basically ignoring that threat didn't make it go away.
Just a guy on the sunshine squad.
The Gatekeeper.
Homer Dumbarse.
StateFan2001 will probably respond to this because he isn't smart enough to understand how ignore works.
Wayland
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wilmwolf80 said:

That's a pretty sorry state of affairs. We've known from almost day one who was most vulnerable. I'm not sure it would matter, I don't know if you can stop those people from getting it, but basically ignoring that threat didn't make it go away.
I guess that is what frustrates me. Some of it isn't rocket science.

I would have made LTC staff testing almost priority #1. Not saying some still wouldn't get by, but that is where the focus should have been all along. To congratulate yourself for doing it in August in the midst of a massive LTC surge is a little late.

Smart reasonable precautions. But instead the state wants to focus on other things, for the most part people have just given up on LTC.

I mean this is just last week, Mandy congratulating herself. Includes a couple graphs with June data for an August presentation when wide spread statewide LTC testing didn't happen until July.



It is all just bull**** propaganda, never addressing real issues.

To seem rather than to be.
Packchem91
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Wayland said:

wilmwolf80 said:

That's a pretty sorry state of affairs. We've known from almost day one who was most vulnerable. I'm not sure it would matter, I don't know if you can stop those people from getting it, but basically ignoring that threat didn't make it go away.
I guess that is what frustrates me. Some of it isn't rocket science.

I would have made LTC staff testing almost priority #1. Not saying some still wouldn't get by, but that is where the focus should have been all along. To congratulate yourself for doing it in August in the midst of a massive LTC surge is a little late.

Smart reasonable precautions. But instead the state wants to focus on other things, for the most part people have just given up on LTC.

I mean this is just last week, Mandy congratulating herself. Includes a couple graphs with June data for an August presentation when wide spread statewide LTC testing didn't happen until July.



It is all just bull**** propaganda, never addressing real issues.

To seem rather than to be.

In some businesses, bending the #s to promote yourself, then watching as it blows up and people are dying (months after significant preventative measures should have been prioritized) would be a fireable offense.
bigeric
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In some countries, it would be a firing squad offense.
Like I said, if you can't get hyped for the Carolina game, why are you here?
-Earl Wolff-
TheStorm
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wilmwolf80 said:

That's a pretty sorry state of affairs. We've known from almost day one who was most vulnerable. I'm not sure it would matter, I don't know if you can stop those people from getting it, but basically ignoring that threat didn't make it go away.
Maybe it would help if the Governor wasn't allowing active Covid positive individuals to be admitted to LTC facilities in this state? Someone that posts here that is "in the business" said that's what was happening in NC, but that we had better safeguards in place than New York, etc... sounds dumb to me, but then again I'm not "in the business".

How can you need a mask mandate, keep businesses shut down, etc. to "prevent the spread"... but then it's ok to admit active Covid positive individuals into LTC facilities? That's not how the "bubble" concept is supposed to work in my mind... why wouldn't those individuals instead be hospitalized until they are negative before being taken in as an LTC resident?
Wayland
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Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Wayland said:

Quote:

7/31/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
122,148
NC Deaths
1924
Currently Hospitalized
1229 <- 91% reporting (was 1239 at 89% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,757,102

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1010 Deaths are now Congregate (+8)
282 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+5)
+21 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

632 Deaths assumed General Population (+8)
1292 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+13)

309 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+12)
Nursing Homes 160 -> 164
Resident Care 90 -> 94
Correctional 31 -> 34
Other 16 -> 17
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1929* deaths

1954 positive cases over 32178 new tests. 6.1% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 32178 but DHHS claims only 27741 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 7/30 - +21, +2 Previously Missing Date, 1 Death Removed
7/30(2), 7/29(10), 7/28(4), 7/27(2), 7/26, 7/25(3), 7/21, 7/20

1 death removed on 6/25
8/1/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
123,878
NC Deaths
1964
Currently Hospitalized
1151 <- 92% reporting (was 1229 at 91% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,786,412

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1031 Deaths are now Congregate (+21)
291 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+9)
+21 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

642 Deaths assumed General Population (+10)
1322 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+30)

304 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (-5)
Nursing Homes 164 -> 162
Resident Care 94 -> 95
Correctional 34 -> 33
Other 17 -> 14
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1952* deaths

1730 positive cases over 29310 new tests. 5.9% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 29310 but DHHS claims only 26510 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/1 40 deaths
7/31(6), 7/30(13), 7/29(3), 7/28(5), 7/26(2), 7/25(3), 7/24(3), 7/23, 7/22, 7/21, 7/20, and 7/14

Congregate deaths continue to be through the roof. 116 congregate and 60 unknown deaths reported the last 10 days.

Case reporting lag is getting super tight. Next two days case numbers should plummet.
8/2/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
125,219
NC Deaths
1969
Currently Hospitalized
1142 <- 85% reporting (was 1151 at 92% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,813,510

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1033 Deaths are now Congregate (+2)
292 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+1)
+5 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

644 Deaths assumed General Population (+2)
1325 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+3)

305 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+1)
Nursing Homes 162 -> 162
Resident Care 95 -> 95
Correctional 33 -> 34
Other 14 -> 14
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1992* deaths

1341 positive cases over 27098 new tests. 4.9% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 27098 but DHHS claims only 24962 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/2
8/1, 7/31, 7/30, 7/22 and one missing.

Cases by date of specimen keep declining. If they continue to call this 'stabilization' it is a bold faced lie.



8/3/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
126,532
NC Deaths
1982
Currently Hospitalized
1057 <- 79% reporting (was 1142 at 85% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,837,410

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1038 Deaths are now Congregate (+5)
295 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+3)
+13 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

649 Deaths assumed General Population (+5)
1333 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+8)

307 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+2)
Nursing Homes 162 -> 163
Resident Care 95 -> 95
Correctional 34 -> 34
Other 14 -> 15
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2000* deaths

1313 positive cases over 23900 new tests. 5.5% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 23900 but DHHS claims only 20378 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/3
8/2(2), 8/1(7), 7/31, 7/30, 7/29, and 7/26
They also removed 1 death from the missing dates of death tally, but I couldn't locate a 14th death assigned.

RE: Hospitalizations. Someone big in the Triad likely missed reporting. Their numbers dropped too far in one day to be organic. I would figure at least 80 additional if the missing hospital was in.
8/4/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
128,161
NC Deaths
2010
Currently Hospitalized
1166 <- 92% reporting (was 1057 at 79% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,854,026

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1048 Deaths are now Congregate (+10)
301 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+6)
+28 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

661 Deaths assumed General Population (+12)
1349 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+16)

321 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+14)
Nursing Homes 163 -> 170
Resident Care 95 -> 98
Correctional 34 -> 37
Other 15 -> 16
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2015* deaths

1629 positive cases over 16616 new tests. 9.8% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 16616 but DHHS claims only 9667 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/4
8/3(2), 8/2(8), 8/1(9), 7/31(1), 7/30(3), 7/21, 7/19, 7/14, 7/2, and 1 added to Missing DoD.


Cases are higher than I would have guessed for lag. I think the case numbers are being bumped some by outbreak testing. A number of new correctional and nursing outbreaks caught. Did a quick glance down county data, and other than Meck posting a little higher than average lately (around 300 cases) most of the other case increases are from smaller counties having slightly higher case totals reported.

The amount of tests done is obscenely low and shows that it is all basically hospital cases, not outside labs being counted.
8/5/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
129,288
NC Deaths
2050
Currently Hospitalized
1167 <- 93% reporting (was 1166 at 92% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,873,668

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1065 Deaths are now Congregate (+17)
311 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+10)
+40 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

674 Deaths assumed General Population (+13)
1376 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+27)

322 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+1)
Nursing Homes 170 -> 172
Resident Care 98 -> 98
Correctional 37 -> 39
Other 16 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2039* deaths

1127 positive cases over 19624 new tests. 5.7% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 19624 but DHHS claims only 19444 completed tests

BACKLOG DAY
Dates of Death Reported 8/5
8/4, 8/3(5), 8/2(4), 8/1(4), 7/31(5), 7/30(4), 7/29(2), 7/28(5), 7/27(3), 7/26, 7/25, 7/24(4), 7/23(2), 7/8 , 7/6, 6/30

One removed on 7/14. I am getting one additional death assigned than should be accounted for, but there could be another removal that I am missing or just a reporting error.

Lowest case reported day since June

Deaths Added by County
Camden(2), Chatham(1), Davie(1), Duplin(1), Forsyth(2), Gaston(1), Granville(1), Guilford(3), Harnett(2), Haywood(1), McDowell(2), Meck(2), New Hanover(1), Richmond(1), Stanly(13)!!!!!!!!, Wake(3), Union(3)

Deaths Removed
Bladen 1

CONGREGATE DEATHS continue to drive the increase. 17 congregate and 10 unknowns reported today.
8/6/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
131,267
NC Deaths
2092
Currently Hospitalized
1147 <- 90% reporting (was 1167 at 93% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,904,750

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1092 Deaths are now Congregate (+27)
316 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+5)
+42 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

684 Deaths assumed General Population (+10)
1408 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+32)

327 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+5)
Nursing Homes 172 -> 175
Resident Care 98 -> 99
Correctional 39 -> 40
Other 13 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2071* deaths

1979 positive cases over 31028 new tests. 6.4% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 31028 but DHHS claims only 29418 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/6 MORE BACKLOG
8/5(4), 8/4(10), 8/3(4), 8/2(3), 8/1(3), 7/31(3), 7/30, 7/25, 7/23(2), 7/21, 7/20(2), 7/13, 7/10, 7/6(3), 7/5, 7/3, and 6/26

1979 cases.... that is the big drama over not reporting 4 days cases.... as I said, it would be a couple hundred more and not change the trend line.
8/7/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
132,812
NC Deaths
2134
Currently Hospitalized
1123 <- 90% reporting (was 1147 at 90% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,939,812

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1112 Deaths are now Congregate (+20)
331 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+15)
+42 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

691 Deaths assumed General Population (+7)
1443 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+35)

332 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+5)
Nursing Homes 175 -> 177
Resident Care 99 -> 100
Correctional 40 -> 42
Other 13 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2115* deaths

1545 positive cases over 35026 new tests. 4.4% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 35026 but DHHS claims only 25212 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/7
8/6(4), 8/5(8), 8/4(8), 8/3(3), 8/2, 8/1(4), 7/31(4), 7/30(2), 7/29(2), 7/27, 7/22, 7/21(2), 7/20, 7/18

TWENTY more Congregate deaths and FIFTEEN(!!!!) Unknown. How can you not know where people live? Make a call.

Wake with 27 deaths added the last 2 days.


8/8/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
134,766
NC Deaths
2160
Currently Hospitalized
1129 <- 87% reporting (was 1123 at 90% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,969,766

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1118 Deaths are now Congregate (+6)
340 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+9)
+26 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

702 Deaths assumed General Population (+11)
1458 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+15)

329 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (-3)
Nursing Homes 177 -> 174
Resident Care 100 -> 100
Correctional 42 -> 42
Other 13 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2158* deaths

1954 positive cases over 29954 new tests. 6.5% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 29954 but DHHS claims only 27034 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/8
8/7(7), 8/6(7), 8/5, 8/4, 8/3(3), 8/1(4), 7/28, 7/27(2), 7/24

Dates of Deaths REMOVED 8/8
7/18, 6/11

Today was the second worst day for lagged cases in the last month with almost 15% of cases reported today coming 7/29 or earlier.

8/9/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
136,218
NC Deaths
2168
Currently Hospitalized
1109 <- 84% reporting (was 1129 at 87% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,986,548

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1127 Deaths are now Congregate (+9)
339 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (-1)
+8 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

702 Deaths assumed General Population (+0)
1466 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+8)

333 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+4)
Nursing Homes 174 -> 176
Resident Care 100 -> 101
Correctional 42 -> 43
Other 13 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2183* deaths

1452 positive cases over 16782 new tests. 8.7% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 16782 but DHHS claims only 16749 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/9 ALL CONGREGATE
8/8, 8/7(3), 8/6, 8/2, 7/18, 7/10

8/10/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
136,844
NC Deaths
2172
Currently Hospitalized
1111 <- 84% reporting (was 1109 at 80% yesterday)
Completed Tests
2,001,919

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1128 Deaths are now Congregate (+1)
340 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+1)
+4 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

704 Deaths assumed General Population (+2)
1468 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+2)

333 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+0)
Nursing Homes 176 -> 176
Resident Care 101 -> 101
Correctional 43 -> 43
Other 13 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2189* deaths

626 positive cases over 15371 new tests. 4.1% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 15371 but DHHS claims only 13392 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/10
8/9(2), 8/7(2)

Lowest cases in forever (6/2). 5% positive on DHHS metric. Lag has bit them in the ass.

Will keep looking. Knew it was going to be low. Thought it would be tomorrow with the low low though. Guess they want it higher tomorrow for briefing day.
8/11/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
137,895
NC Deaths
2204
Currently Hospitalized
1122 <- 92% reporting (was 1111 at 84% yesterday)
Completed Tests
2,017,498

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1140 Deaths are now Congregate (+12)
349 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+9)
+32 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

715 Deaths assumed General Population (+11)
1489 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+21)

331 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (-2)
Nursing Homes 176 -> 173
Resident Care 101 -> 101
Correctional 43 -> 44
Other 13 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2192* deaths

1051 positive cases over 15579 new tests. 6.7% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 15371 but DHHS claims only 10098 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/11
8/10(5), 8/9(8), 8/8(6), 8/7(3), 8/5, 8/4, 8/3(2), 7/31, 7/29, 7/28, 7/27, 7/18, 6/30, 6/28

One death removed on 7/10

Still reviewing
8/12/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
139,061
NC Deaths
2249
Currently Hospitalized
1062 <- 91% reporting (was 1122 at 92% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,823,283 (was 2,017,498 yesterday)

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1159 Deaths are now Congregate (+19)
364 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+15)
+45 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

726 Deaths assumed General Population (+11)
1523 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+34)

343 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+12)
Nursing Homes 173 -> 181
Resident Care 101 -> 104
Correctional 44 -> 45
Other 13 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2255* deaths

1166 positive cases over 26129* new tests. 4.5% positive rate.
Using DHHS value since delta is MINUS 194215

Delta completed tests -194,215 but DHHS claims only 26129 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/12
8/11(3), 8/10(9), 8/9(6), 8/8(4), 8/7(6), 8/6(2), 8/5(3), 8/4(2), 8/3(2), 8/2, 8/1, 7/30(2), 7/25, 7/24, 7/18, 6/25

46 added to Date of Death. 45 new and 1 previously missing.

DHHS is blaming LabCorp for the 200000 missing tests CORRECTION, but now we have no idea on today's positive percent.
https://www.ncdhhs.gov/news/press-releases/ncdhhs-corrects-covid-19-testing-totals-after-identifying-labcorp-reporting
Quote:

"Although this reporting error impacts our count of total tests completed, it does not alter our key metrics or change our understanding of COVID-19 transmission in North Carolina, which shows stabilization over the last few weeks," said NCDHHS Secretary Mandy Cohen, M.D.

Fire Mandy
8/13/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
140,824
NC Deaths
2287
Currently Hospitalized
1070 <- 90% reporting (was 1062 at 91% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,850,689

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1180 Deaths are now Congregate (+21)
370 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+6)
+38 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

737 Deaths assumed General Population (+11)
1550 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+27)

350 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+7)
Nursing Homes 181 -> 186
Resident Care 104 -> 106
Correctional 45 -> 46
Other 13 -> 12
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2255* deaths

1763 positive cases over 27406* new tests. 6.4% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 27406 but DHHS claims only 20329 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/13
8/12(3), 8/11(7), 8/10(3), 8/9(4), 8/8, 8/7(3), 8/6(3), 8/5(2), 8/2, 8/1(2), 7/31(3), 7/30, 7/21, 7/10
AND THREE NEW missing Dates of Death
8/14/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
142,170
NC Deaths
2313
Currently Hospitalized
1049 <- 90% reporting (was 1070 at 90% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,877,402

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1196 Deaths are now Congregate (+16)
374 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+4)
+26 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

743 Deaths assumed General Population (+6)
1570 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+20)

338 Congregate Facilities now have an active outbreak. (-12)
Nursing Homes 186 -> 183
Resident Care 106 -> 99
Correctional 46 -> 44
Other 12 -> 12
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2321* deaths

1346 positive cases over 26713* new tests. 5.0% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 26713 but DHHS claims only 19320 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/14
8/13(3), 8/12(6), 8/11(4), 8/10(3), 8/9(3), 8/8, 8/7(3), 8/5, 8/4(2), 7/20

Note: One death was removed from Missing Date of Death and added to Reported.

Some things off with data today I need to look into.
Robeson went up by 96 cases today. It appears related to an outbreak on 7/22 (no other day could account for that kind of case growth).
But the change in the state's count of case by specimen collected date for 7/22 is a MINUS 3 for that day?

8/15/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
143,706
NC Deaths
2343
Currently Hospitalized
1032 <- 91% reporting (was 1049 at 90% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,903,401

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1216 Deaths are now Congregate (+20)
376 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+2)
+30 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

751 Deaths assumed General Population (+8)
1570 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+20)

344 Congregate Facilities now have an active outbreak. (+6)
Nursing Homes 183 -> 186
Resident Care 99 -> 101
Correctional 44 -> 45
Other 12 -> 12
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 2321* deaths

1536 positive cases over 26713* new tests. 5.9% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 25999 but DHHS claims only 24270 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 8/15
8/14(2), 8/13(4), 8/12(5), 8/11(5), 8/10, 8/9, 8/8, 8/6(2), 8/4, 8/1, 7/24, 7/22, 7/16, 7/14, 7/13(2), 7/10

Bit of Backlog

6 deaths out of Wilkes County.

5 out of Haywood County. Just over 2 weeks ago they had 0 deaths in Haywood. They now have 24. Congregate outbreaks will do that.
Wayland
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Weekly Congregate Graphs

Weekly Deaths By Setting



Bad news. I screwed up a cell in my spreadsheet. When corrected, this week is actually the worst week of congregate deaths yet.
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