Civilized said:packgrad said:
CNN sponsored poll. Why anyone would believe anything on that network, as it pertains to politics, is beyond me. Straight Democrat propaganda.
That's why you should look at poll aggregators like 538 not individual polls.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/new-hampshire/
You can see how the different pollsters poll and how the polls evolve over time. It's really informative.
Y'all act like the left corners the market on falsely rosy polls. Go read about Rasmussen or Trafalgar. The same Trafalgar that kept indicating Trump would win in 2020. Same deal with them as with CNN, just flipped; constantly skewed right.
But even they have value and shouldn't be ignored, and even polls that skew typically do so within a standard deviation. They're normally in the right order of magnitude and some polls pick up on things others miss, like particular state races being closer than some pollsters are indicating.
Pollster's reputation is on the line; they look like complete idiots if they say Haley is at 29% in New Hampshire and she actually finishes at 9%. There are no guarantees but at this time I'd bet a lot more money on her finishing closer to 30% than 10% in New Hampshire.
Great. If you want to hang your hat on NH, and not the other 25+ states I posted, have at it.
