TheStorm said:

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Wayland said:

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statefan91 said:

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Any idea if the updated testing (numerator and denominator) is what's used when the % positive is calculated?

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They don't release what the NC EDDS data set is separately, so we don't know for sure what their numerator and denominator are. Remember that as they talk 'transparency'.

VVV
I treat it as a 'made up number'. Since there is no transparency to how that sausage is made (and they constantly retroactively change it), I consider it a trash metric.

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LOL. So if I'm reading my spreadsheet correctly, the state managed to conjure up 75 deaths over the last 2 days after only reporting 12 deaths the 2 days previous... now that is impressive!

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The aggregating and reporting is a lot of paper shuffling, but some of the delays I don't get.

Like those 2 Haywood deaths from a week ago. Haywood county was clear enough that they occurred that they had a press release about it a week ago. But somehow it took a week for that information to be confirmed and reported by DHHS.

But yet you can report 5 deaths with COVID that you don't know the date for. How does that happen? You know WHO and HOW and WHY someone died... but you don't know WHEN? Shouldn't you follow up on that and try and clear that up ASAP?

Which is a different scenario then some shuffling some papers around and reclassifying deaths from June or something.

But nonetheless, as I said, with the Wake news, it will likely be another big day. I have been tracking Wake's congregate outbreaks and really not much as been added death wise. Unless there are outbreaks not on the reports or deaths haven't been added yet.

Let's just hope with the cases decline that we see this run of deaths follow quickly down.

Was it yesterday that Wake reported an outbreak at a care facility with 50 staff and patients testing positive?

Wayland said:

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Let's just hope with the cases decline that we see this run of deaths follow quickly down.

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I know you and Daviewolf have been following these numbers closely. In my opinion, the powers that be, are cooking the numbers so they can keep things shut down and show a continuous spike.

DrummerboyWolf said:

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Wayland said:

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Let's just hope with the cases decline that we see this run of deaths follow quickly down.

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I know you and Daviewolf have been following these numbers closely. In my opinion, the powers that be, are cooking the numbers so they can keep things shut down and show a continuous spike.

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Their newest goal is going to be making everyone vote by mail this fall...

PackMom said:

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Was it yesterday that Wake reported an outbreak at a care facility with 50 staff and patients testing positive?

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The outbreaks in wake that are around 50 cases listed as of Tuesday are:
Capital Nursing and Rehab, 52 Cases, 4 Deaths
Hillside Nursing of WF, 73 Cases, 3 Deaths
Litchford Falls, 54 Cases, 1 Death
Sunnybrook Rehab, 48 Cases, 6 Deaths
Laurels of Forest Glen, 75 Cases, 2 Deaths
Tower Nursing and Rehab, 44 Cases, 2 Deaths
Wellington Rehab, 81 Cases, 14 Deaths
Windsor Point, 43 Cases, 5 Deaths

There was one added last week. It is pretty obvious when you look at Wake's cases by date of specimen collection the spike in the middle of last week is when the testing occurred.

https://www.docwirenews.com/docwire-pick/cardiology-picks/myocardial-injury-seen-in-many-early-in-recovery-from-covid-19

Do you know how that compares with numbers following flu infections? A brief Google shows several papers studying heart issues following the flu that are admittedly above my layperson level of comprehension.

Mormad said:

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https://www.docwirenews.com/docwire-pick/cardiology-picks/myocardial-injury-seen-in-many-early-in-recovery-from-covid-19/?utm_source=MagnetMail&utm_medium=email&utm_term=DAVID.JONES@CNSA.COM&utm_content=DocWire%20News%20Daily%20Edition-07-30&utm_campaign=Today%20in%2

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As someone who had a relatively mild case, this scares the **** out of me. I can absolutely notice a difference with my heart beat when I'm excercising, and I've woken up a few times in the middle of the nigth with my heart racing and about to pound out of my chest. Really hope this doesn't impact my health in a major way down the line.

What's the scientific basis for why a coronavirus (strains of which humans have gotten for years) now all of a sudden causes long term problems for asymptomatic or mild cases?

Apologies if that's explained in articles in this thread, I try not to click on articles that try and use fear of "long term effects" to get views.

thanks Davie, will do

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7/16/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
93,426
NC Deaths
1588
Currently Hospitalized
1134 <- 90% reporting (was 1142 at 89% yesterday) Higher % Lower Total. Stable
Completed Tests
1,312,757


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
888 Deaths are now Congregate (+6)
196 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+7)
+20 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

504 Deaths assumed General Population (+7)
1084 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+13)

283 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+19)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1604* deaths

2160 positive cases over 28,120 new tests. 7.7% positive rate.

---

7/17/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
95,477
NC Deaths
1606
Currently Hospitalized
1180 <- 90% reporting (was 1134 at 91% yesterday) Higher % Higher Total. New High
Completed Tests
1,343,974


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
892 Deaths are now Congregate (+4)
204 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+8)
+18 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

510 Deaths assumed General Population (+6)
1096 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+12)

293 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+10)
Nursing Homes 147 -> 155
Resident Care 99 -> 100
Correctional 24 -> 25
Other 13 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1629* deaths

2051 positive cases over 31,217 new tests. 6.7% positive rate.
*DHHS added 31,217 new tests today but claims only 25,555 completed tests.

Deaths by Date of Death 7/17 - 18 new deaths, 1 previously missing.
7/16(3), 7/15(6), 7/14(3), 7/10(2), 7/9, 7/1, 6/28(2), 6/25
It appears one death may have been added that was previously missing a date.

Cumberland, Wake, and Meck each with 3 deaths reported today.

---

7/18/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
97,958
NC Deaths
1629
Currently Hospitalized
1154 <- XX% reporting (was 1180 at 90% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,379,143


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
897 Deaths are now Congregate (+5)
210 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+6)
+23 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

522 Deaths assumed General Population (+12)
1107 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+11)

300 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+7)
Nursing Homes 155 -> 157
Resident Care 100 -> 104
Correctional 25 -> 25
Other 13 -> 14
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1634* deaths

2481 positive cases over 35,619 new tests. 7.1% positive rate.

New high (by 19 cases) comes after last new high, maybe back to patterned reporting.

Day over day delta in completed tests is 35,619, but DHHS says it is only 23,440.

Deaths today, 3 Wake and 3 Meck again.
23 Deaths reported 7/18 by Date of Death:
7/17(4), 7/16(7), 7/15(3), 7/14(2), 7/12(5). Two deaths with no date.

Today's number of new tests is the highest delta day over day yet! Also there are some positive signs with plateauing when looking back 9 days based on Date of Specimen collection being mostly complete. Hopefully things can level or trend down soon.

---

7/19/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
99,778
NC Deaths
1634
Currently Hospitalized
1115 <- 86% reporting (was 1154 at 90% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,394,864


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
898 Deaths are now Congregate (+1)
212 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+2)
+5 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

524 Deaths assumed General Population (+2)
1110 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+3)

290 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (-10)
Nursing Homes 157 -> 149
Resident Care 104 -> 103
Correctional 25 -> 24
Other 14 -> 14
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1651* deaths

1820 positive cases over 15721 new tests. 11.6% positive rate.

It looks like the reporting lag has settled on a pattern and being a Sunday we are seeing more electronic and less lab cases. We will see if any lag changes affect this new pattern (with the peak Saturday).
Part of the reason for the case drop on Sundays is that the last few days of the lagging data (9 days out) now fall on a weekend, so there are less of those lagged cases to report. We'd expect tomorrow to be about the same and then a small bump up on Tuesday as the lagged cases (9 days out) now start falling on a weekday again.


Going to review county data, but don't expect to see much on a Sunday.

Deaths today: 7/18, 7/17(3), 7/15

---

7/20/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
101,046
NC Deaths
1642
Currently Hospitalized
1086 <- 86% reporting (was 1115 at 86% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,423,888


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
900 Deaths are now Congregate (+2)
216 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+4)
+8 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

526 Deaths assumed General Population (+2)
1116 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+6)

287 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (-3)
Nursing Homes 149 -> 147
Resident Care 103 -> 102
Correctional 24 -> 24
Other 14 -> 14
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1676* deaths

1268 positive cases over 29024 new tests. 4.4% positive rate.

Dates of Death Reported 7/20
7/19(2), 7/17(2), 7/16, 7/10, 7/7, 7/6, 6/30, 6/26
8 deaths + 2 previously missing deaths given dates.

Second consecutive day of net drop in congregate outbreaks.

Cases really low. I expected low but not THAT low, so I don't know if that lag is recovered already or it is waiting to drop.

---

7/21/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
102,861
NC Deaths
1668
Currently Hospitalized
1179 <- 92% reporting (was 1086 at 86% yesterday) New high by 1
Completed Tests
1,458,997

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
906 Deaths are now Congregate (+6)
225 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+9)
+26 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

537 Deaths assumed General Population (+11)
1131 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+15)

295 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+8)
Nursing Homes 147 -> 150
Resident Care 102 -> 108
Correctional 24 -> 24
Other 14 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1680* deaths

1815 positive cases over 35103 new tests. 5.2% positive rate.

Delta Tests is 35103, but DHHS says 24087

Dates of Death Reported 7/21
7/20(5), 7/19(5), 7/18(4), 7/17(3), 7/16(3), 7/12, 7/11, 7/9, 7/4 and 2 missing dates

Cases back up a little, but unless there is some super duper lag.. things trending down some.

Hospitalizations big jump out of EHCP (maybe someone who hadn't been reporting?) and MHPC continues to go up despite cases going down. Other hospital groups stable with declining ICU. Would love more insight into what is going on in Charlotte that isn't elsewhere.

Seems like they don't care about finding location of death anymore, 9 unknown is kind of slack.

---

7/22/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
105,001
NC Deaths
1698
Currently Hospitalized
1137 <- 90% reporting (was 1179 at 92% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,491,820

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
915 Deaths are now Congregate (+9)
231 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+6)
+30 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

552 Deaths assumed General Population (+15)
1146 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+15)

304 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+9)
Nursing Homes 150 -> 154
Resident Care 108 -> 110
Correctional 24 -> 27
Other 13 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1703* deaths

2140 positive cases over 32823 new tests. 6.5% positive rate.

Delta Tests is 32,823, but DHHS says 31,815

Dates of Death Reported 7/22
7/21, 7/20(8), 7/19(3), 7/18(4), 7/17(3), 7/15, 7/14(4), 7/13(2), 6/28(2), 1 DHHS Missing Date = 29
1 I didn't find a date for. Double checking to see if I missed it.

County Deaths:
Brunswick, Burke(2), Cumberland, Gaston(2), Harnett, Hoke, Iredell(2), Meck(2), Montgomery, Moore(4), Nash(3), Pender, Randolph, Richmond, Union, Wake(6)

EDIT: RE HOSPITALIZATIONS. It looks like New Hanover Regional Medical Center DID NOT REPORT today. They account for 80%+ of hospitalized patients in SHPR so their ~50 missing patients is significant.

---

7/23/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
106,893
NC Deaths
1726
Currently Hospitalized
1188 <- 94% reporting (was 1137 at 90% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,524,643

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
929 Deaths are now Congregate (+14)
235 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+4)
+28 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

562 Deaths assumed General Population (+10)
1164 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+18)

314 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+10)
Nursing Homes 154 -> 160
Resident Care 110 -> 114
Correctional 27 -> 26
Other 13 -> 14
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1734* deaths

1892 positive cases over 31855 new tests. 5.9% positive rate.

Delta Tests is 31,855, but DHHS says 30,430

Dates of Death Reported 7/23 - LAG DAY
7/22(3), 7/21(3), 7/20(3), 7/19(1), 7/18(1), 7/16(2), 7/15, 7/14(2), 7/12, 7/10, 7/9, 7/8, 6/30(2), 6/26, 6/11, 5/29(2), 5/17, and 1 missing date

It looks like they adjusted yesterday hospitalizations to be 1188 to match today and a new high. Still only 9 higher than 1 week ago.

Case trends still holding in decline as of 9 day lag window.

Still reviewing county data.
County Deaths
5 for Duplin
4 for Pitt
no other county more than 2.
There are your likely culprits for the lag.

Another oddity with county data. County reported cases today only add up to 1747. There are 145 cases that don't have an assignment. The last time that happened with that kind of difference came on the announcement of the extension of Phase 2.

---

7/24/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
108,995
NC Deaths
1746
Currently Hospitalized
1182 <- 92% reporting (was 1188 at 94% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,550,297

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
931 Deaths are now Congregate (+2)
244 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+9)
+20 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

571 Deaths assumed General Population (+9)
1175 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+11)

291Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (-23)
Nursing Homes 160 -> 156
Resident Care 114 -> 95
Correctional 26 -> 25
Other 14 -> 15
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1749* deaths

2102 positive cases over 25654 new tests. 8.2% positive rate.


Dates of Death Reported 7/24
7/23(3), 7/22(9), 7/21(3), 7/18(2), 7/17(2), 7/16, 7/15, 7/8, 7/2, 6/28, 6/25
4 deaths moved from date of death missing to chart.
1 additional death added that I can't account for, but it is what it is.

A lot of Resident Care facilities off the outbreak list today.

Still reviewing county data

Lag looks to be tightening. For the last few days things have been mostly complete at 7 days back.

It looks like those county cases that were not assigned yesterday were assigned today. County data is a +143 over reported cases vs the -145 yesterday.

---

7/25/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
111,092
NC Deaths
1778
Currently Hospitalized
1168 <- 95% reporting (was 1182 at 92% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,579,042

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
944 Deaths are now Congregate (+13)
247 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+3)
+32 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

587 Deaths assumed General Population (+16)
1191 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+16)

298 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+7)
Nursing Homes 156 -> 161
Resident Care 95 -> 96
Correctional 25 -> 26
Other 15 -> 15
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1778* deaths

2094 positive cases over 28745 new tests. 7.3% positive rate.

Delta 28745, but DHHS claims 25417 Completed Tests


Dates of Death Reported 7/25 - NET 32 Deaths
7/24(5), 7/23(4), 7/22(4), 7/21(2), 7/20(2), 7/19(2), 7/17(2), 7/12, 7/10(2), 7/8, 7/6, 6/18, 5/31, 5/13

3 Deaths Added to DoD Missing.

1 Death REMOVED from 5/13

DoD was a tough one today. Lots of data and lag to do manually, but I got to 32.

Hospitalizations down slight. Decrease in case pattern holding.

Still downloading report data.

---

7/26/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
112,713
NC Deaths
1785
Currently Hospitalized
1170 <- 85% reporting (was 1168 at 95% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,613,385

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
947 Deaths are now Congregate (+3)
248 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+1)
+7 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

590 Deaths assumed General Population (+3)
1195 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+4)

298 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+0)
Nursing Homes 161 -> 160
Resident Care 96 -> 96
Correctional 26 -> 26
Other 15 -> 16
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1803* deaths

1621 positive cases over 34343 new tests. 4.7% positive rate.

Delta 34343, but DHHS claims 30619 Completed Tests


Dates of Death Reported 7/26 = 7
7/25, 7/23(2), 7/21, 7/8(2), and 1 Missing Date of Death

Reviewing county data.

3 of the 7 deaths were reported out of Wake.

Case trends seem to be going in the right direction.

DHHS is still going back and retroactively changing hospitalizations numbers to values other than what they reported on that day.

My only logic for hospitalizations (as cases have been declining for 3 weeks now) is that hospitals have allotted space for COVID and are filling it because it is available. Hospitalizations should be declining based on case data.

---

7/27/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
114,338
NC Deaths
1790
Currently Hospitalized
1169 <- 86% reporting (was 1170 at 85% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,635,476

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
947 Deaths are now Congregate (+0)
251 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+3)
+5 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

592 Deaths assumed General Population (+2)
1198 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+3)

298 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+0)
Nursing Homes 160 -> 160
Resident Care 96 -> 96
Correctional 26 -> 26
Other 16 -> 16
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1813* deaths

1625 positive cases over 22091 new tests. 7.4% positive rate.


Dates of Death Reported 7/27 = 5
7/26, 7/25(4)

DHHS hasn't posted downloadable data, so will have to wait on county data.

Declining statewide case trend holding.

---

7/28/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
116,087
NC Deaths
1820
Currently Hospitalized
1244 <- 96% reporting (was 1169 at 86% yesterday) New High.
Completed Tests
1,658,937

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
962 Deaths are now Congregate (+15)
257 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+6)
+30 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

601 Deaths assumed General Population (+9)
1219 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+21)

280 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (-18)
Nursing Homes 160 -> 155
Resident Care 96 -> 85
Correctional 26 -> 25
Other 16 -> 15
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1831* deaths

1749 positive cases over 23497 new tests. 7.4% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 23497 but DHHS claims only 16631 completed tests


Dates of Death Reported 7/28 - 30 Deaths, mostly filling in last 2 weeks.
7/27(3), 7/26(8), 7/25(4), 7/24(3), 7/23(3), 7/22(2), 7/21, 7/20, 7/19, 7/17, 7/5 and 2 Deaths Reported with Missing Dates


New high in hospitalizations, also don't know that I have ever seen 96% reporting before. Which is weird because it wasn't a high day for new patients. As per usual MHPC, despite declining cases is all in on admits.

Getting some days of net decrease in cases congregate facilities. But deaths today also highly driven by congregate deaths.

Today's cases by date of collection included 8 cases from April. I am sure that is helpful.

Notable County Deaths Added:
Wake(7), Meck(5), Gaston(5), Forsyth(3). No other over 2.

---

7/29/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
117,850
NC Deaths
1865
Currently Hospitalized
1291 <- 91% reporting (was 1244 at 96% yesterday) ANOTHER New High.
Completed Tests
1,691,434

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
984 Deaths are now Congregate (+22)
270 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+13)
+45 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

611 Deaths assumed General Population (+10)
1254 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+35)

289 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+9)
Nursing Homes 155 -> 157
Resident Care 85 -> 89
Correctional 25 -> 27
Other 15 -> 16
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1847* deaths

1763 positive cases over 32,497 new tests. 5.4% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 32497 (4603 are from 3pm 7/28) but DHHS claims only 27464 completed tests


Dates of Death Reported 7/29 - 45 + 2 added deaths previously missing
7/28(2), 7/27(11), 7/26(3), 7/25(3), 7/24(2), 7/23(7), 7/22(4), 7/21(2), 7/20(2), 7/19(2), 7/18, 7/17(2), 7/16, 7/14, 7/9(2), 6/28, and 6/11

DHHS did a 3pm update on yesterday which added 4603 Completed Tests, but did not change the number of positives. Those cases will be included in my delta of Completed Tests for today. About 1600 Completed Tests were added to 7/28, I do not know where the remainder were added. Again, more late numbermucking.

Meck still driving the hospitalization increase, despite declining case numbers. Novant even said they had something like a 5 day patient time on non-critical and 8 day on ICU. No reason that shouldn't be bearing out in hospitalizations by now.

Big Death Day
56 Congregate and Unknown deaths the last 2 days

---

7/30/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
120194
NC Deaths
1903
Currently Hospitalized
1239 <- 89% reporting (was 1291 at 91% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,724,924

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1002 Deaths are now Congregate (+18)
277 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+7)
+38 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

624 Deaths assumed General Population (+13)
1279 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+25)

297 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+8)
Nursing Homes 157 -> 160
Resident Care 89 -> 90
Correctional 27 -> 31
Other 16 -> 16
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1888* deaths

2344 positive cases over 33490 new tests. 7% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 33490 but DHHS claims only 30517 completed tests

Bit of a mix of death backlog and fill in.

Dates of Death Reported 7/30 - 38 + 1 previously missing
7/29(4), 7/28(6), 7/27(7), 7/26(2), 7/25, 7/24(2), 7/23(4), 7/22, 7/21(3), 7/19, 7/16, 7/14, 7/8, 7/2, 7/1, 6/25(2), 6/23

Now 81 Congregate and Unknown deaths over the last 3 days. Looks like we are doing a bang up job with the LTC protection by dragging this out.

High case number looks to be a function of lag reduction. Today's cases report almost 1000 cases from Monday by date of specimen collection. Over the last 2 plus weeks, there has not be a single day over 700s in adding cases on a single day (and even that is rare).

Deaths ADDED by County
Beaufort 1, Brunswick 3, Catawba 2, Chowan 1, Cumberland 1, Davidson 1, Durham 1, Edgecombe 1, Gaston 1, Guilford 2, Halifax 1, Hoke 1, Macon 1, McDowell 3, Meck 3, Onslow 1, Person 1, Randolph 1, Rutherford 1, Sampson 1, Stanly 2, Wake 10, Wayne 1

Deaths REMOVED by County
Alexander -1, Forsyth -1, Union -1

Another day with a ton of smaller counties. Almost like a switch was flipped.

I actually think some of this death spike is due to the nursing home testing. They went through and tested every nursing home in the state, right after that we see a major spike in congregate deaths. They found positive cases about everywhere (we are still around 300 congregate outbreaks 4 months into this).

I am even removing the 'suspect' Unknown deaths from this.

Since 7/14, 147 Congregate deaths (and 91 Unknown) have been reported to just 155 GenPop. There had been a major lull in Congregate deaths from mid to late June until about that point, now they have gone off the charts. Wonder how much they missed previously.

Also, I couldn't find by date of death where the 3 deaths were removed, so it had to be recently.

Daviewolf83 said:

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Wayland said:

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Also, I couldn't find by date of death where the 3 deaths were removed, so it had to be recently.

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I see two deaths removed in the 7/27 daily update. Both of these deaths were reported to have occurred on 5/13. I have started only looking at updates from 5/1 forward, so it is possible one additional death was removed from earlier than 5/1.

---

From the County Deaths
Alexander 2 -> 1
Forsyth 49 -> 48
Union 39 -> 38

all three it looks like also had deaths added the last few days, so likely where the adjustments were

Apparently they went back and lowered hospitalization total from yesterday by about 20.

When asked in the briefing today, Mandy had NO IDEA why that happened. But did mention transparency.

How can we trust their data, when they retroactively edit it, and can't explain why?

COVID patients as hot air in CLI Surveillance today. Less ED visits for CLI but higher percent of those visits stayed in the hospital (got to fill the space). All while the percent positive decreases.

Here is the link to Glenn Beck's radio podcast from today. This will be the hourly link and in hour two he talked for pretty much the whole hour with Simone Gold, who is the doctor that started the Frontline Doctors and was one of the main speakers in the video from the other day. This woman if super smart. She also has a law degree as well as her medical degree. She is fired up and loaded for bear. It's a really good listen. She doesn't hold back even though she has taken a tremendous hit the last couple of days.

She has hired Lin Wood as her attorney to go after people defaming her. He is the lawyer for Nicholas Sandmann, the Covington Catholic High School kid who has settled two law suits with CNN and the Washington Post.

Go to hour two of the program for today 7/30/20

https://www.glennbeck.com/st/podcast

We have 66 admitted, 16 in the unit, and 12 tubed

47779 tested, 2745 positive, 44723 negative

0-17 3862 tests, 366 positive, 6 hospital
18-24 3351, 272, 26
25-49 13647, 1119, 245, 4 deaths
50-64 11645, 640, 255, 19
65+ 15274, 573, 403, 93

Mormad said:

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We have 66 admitted, 16 in the unit, and 12 tubed

47779 tested, 2745 positive, 44723 negative

0-17 3862 tests, 366 positive, 6 hospital
18-24 3351, 272, 26
25-49 13647, 1119, 245, 4 deaths
50-64 11645, 640, 255, 19
65+ 15274, 573, 403, 93

---

Thanks for the update. Looks like things are in a similar spot to where they were a few weeks ago. Slightly down overall, but basically the same critical care (ICU/tubed numbers).

I guess the fact that things have leveled some is a small measure of hope. Look forward to those critical numbers dropping.

^^ What time period are those numbers for? Your % positive is only running 5.745%...

Heard back from my Primary Care Physician and he said that I'm too healthy to be part of the target for the first round of Moderna vaccine phase III trials which I understand, i'm not likely to be in contact with a lot of populations to get the virus at this point.

TheStorm said:

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^^ What time period are those numbers for? Your % positive is only running 5.745%...

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I think that's comprehensive

King Leary said:

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What's the scientific basis for why a coronavirus (strains of which humans have gotten for years) now all of a sudden causes long term problems for asymptomatic or mild cases?

Apologies if that's explained in articles in this thread, I try not to click on articles that try and use fear of "long term effects" to get views.

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Without getting too much into hard core medical science, it's just a bad actor among viruses. For example, it activates the inflammation and coagulation cascades, so you see more systemic and prolonged organ involvement.

statefan91 said:

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Heard back from my Primary Care Physician and he said that I'm too healthy to be part of the target for the first round of Moderna vaccine phase III trials which I understand, i'm not likely to be in contact with a lot of populations to get the virus at this point.

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Sorry you can't be in the trial but glad you're healthy enough not to be needed at this time.

I don't have kids so I'm hesitant to even weigh in all that much on the question of school reopening, but I think the CDC director just made a really strong point that hadn't occurred to me...

"It's important to realize that it's in the public health's best interest for K-12 students to get back into face-to-face learning," Redfield testified. "There's really very significant public health consequences of the school closure."

About "7.1 million kids get their mental health service at schools," he added. "They get their nutritional support from their schools. We're seeing an increase in drug use disorder as well as suicide in adolescent individuals. I do think that it's really important to realize it's not public health versus the economy about school reopening."

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/07/31/cdc-warns-congress-of-significant-public-health-consequences-if-schools-dont-reopen-in-the-fall.html

For better or worse, our public school system takes care of a lot of the basic needs for a pretty large number of children. I know local schools here have had programs to continue to provide food to kids, but as your article points out, that's only part of what many of those kids need. It's a tough situation, but there's definitely a section of students that are really hurt in multiple ways if there aren't on campus classes.

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7/16/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
93,426
NC Deaths
1588
Currently Hospitalized
1134 <- 90% reporting (was 1142 at 89% yesterday) Higher % Lower Total. Stable
Completed Tests
1,312,757


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
888 Deaths are now Congregate (+6)
196 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+7)
+20 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

504 Deaths assumed General Population (+7)
1084 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+13)

283 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+19)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1604* deaths

2160 positive cases over 28,120 new tests. 7.7% positive rate.

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7/17/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
95,477
NC Deaths
1606
Currently Hospitalized
1180 <- 90% reporting (was 1134 at 91% yesterday) Higher % Higher Total. New High
Completed Tests
1,343,974


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
892 Deaths are now Congregate (+4)
204 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+8)
+18 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

510 Deaths assumed General Population (+6)
1096 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+12)

293 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+10)
Nursing Homes 147 -> 155
Resident Care 99 -> 100
Correctional 24 -> 25
Other 13 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1629* deaths

2051 positive cases over 31,217 new tests. 6.7% positive rate.
*DHHS added 31,217 new tests today but claims only 25,555 completed tests.

Deaths by Date of Death 7/17 - 18 new deaths, 1 previously missing.
7/16(3), 7/15(6), 7/14(3), 7/10(2), 7/9, 7/1, 6/28(2), 6/25
It appears one death may have been added that was previously missing a date.

Cumberland, Wake, and Meck each with 3 deaths reported today.

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7/18/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
97,958
NC Deaths
1629
Currently Hospitalized
1154 <- XX% reporting (was 1180 at 90% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,379,143


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
897 Deaths are now Congregate (+5)
210 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+6)
+23 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

522 Deaths assumed General Population (+12)
1107 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+11)

300 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+7)
Nursing Homes 155 -> 157
Resident Care 100 -> 104
Correctional 25 -> 25
Other 13 -> 14
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1634* deaths

2481 positive cases over 35,619 new tests. 7.1% positive rate.

New high (by 19 cases) comes after last new high, maybe back to patterned reporting.

Day over day delta in completed tests is 35,619, but DHHS says it is only 23,440.

Deaths today, 3 Wake and 3 Meck again.
23 Deaths reported 7/18 by Date of Death:
7/17(4), 7/16(7), 7/15(3), 7/14(2), 7/12(5). Two deaths with no date.

Today's number of new tests is the highest delta day over day yet! Also there are some positive signs with plateauing when looking back 9 days based on Date of Specimen collection being mostly complete. Hopefully things can level or trend down soon.

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7/19/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
99,778
NC Deaths
1634
Currently Hospitalized
1115 <- 86% reporting (was 1154 at 90% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,394,864


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
898 Deaths are now Congregate (+1)
212 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+2)
+5 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

524 Deaths assumed General Population (+2)
1110 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+3)

290 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (-10)
Nursing Homes 157 -> 149
Resident Care 104 -> 103
Correctional 25 -> 24
Other 14 -> 14
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1651* deaths

1820 positive cases over 15721 new tests. 11.6% positive rate.

It looks like the reporting lag has settled on a pattern and being a Sunday we are seeing more electronic and less lab cases. We will see if any lag changes affect this new pattern (with the peak Saturday).
Part of the reason for the case drop on Sundays is that the last few days of the lagging data (9 days out) now fall on a weekend, so there are less of those lagged cases to report. We'd expect tomorrow to be about the same and then a small bump up on Tuesday as the lagged cases (9 days out) now start falling on a weekday again.


Going to review county data, but don't expect to see much on a Sunday.

Deaths today: 7/18, 7/17(3), 7/15

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7/20/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
101,046
NC Deaths
1642
Currently Hospitalized
1086 <- 86% reporting (was 1115 at 86% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,423,888


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
900 Deaths are now Congregate (+2)
216 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+4)
+8 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

526 Deaths assumed General Population (+2)
1116 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+6)

287 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (-3)
Nursing Homes 149 -> 147
Resident Care 103 -> 102
Correctional 24 -> 24
Other 14 -> 14
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1676* deaths

1268 positive cases over 29024 new tests. 4.4% positive rate.

Dates of Death Reported 7/20
7/19(2), 7/17(2), 7/16, 7/10, 7/7, 7/6, 6/30, 6/26
8 deaths + 2 previously missing deaths given dates.

Second consecutive day of net drop in congregate outbreaks.

Cases really low. I expected low but not THAT low, so I don't know if that lag is recovered already or it is waiting to drop.

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7/21/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
102,861
NC Deaths
1668
Currently Hospitalized
1179 <- 92% reporting (was 1086 at 86% yesterday) New high by 1
Completed Tests
1,458,997

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
906 Deaths are now Congregate (+6)
225 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+9)
+26 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

537 Deaths assumed General Population (+11)
1131 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+15)

295 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+8)
Nursing Homes 147 -> 150
Resident Care 102 -> 108
Correctional 24 -> 24
Other 14 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1680* deaths

1815 positive cases over 35103 new tests. 5.2% positive rate.

Delta Tests is 35103, but DHHS says 24087

Dates of Death Reported 7/21
7/20(5), 7/19(5), 7/18(4), 7/17(3), 7/16(3), 7/12, 7/11, 7/9, 7/4 and 2 missing dates

Cases back up a little, but unless there is some super duper lag.. things trending down some.

Hospitalizations big jump out of EHCP (maybe someone who hadn't been reporting?) and MHPC continues to go up despite cases going down. Other hospital groups stable with declining ICU. Would love more insight into what is going on in Charlotte that isn't elsewhere.

Seems like they don't care about finding location of death anymore, 9 unknown is kind of slack.

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7/22/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
105,001
NC Deaths
1698
Currently Hospitalized
1137 <- 90% reporting (was 1179 at 92% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,491,820

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
915 Deaths are now Congregate (+9)
231 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+6)
+30 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

552 Deaths assumed General Population (+15)
1146 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+15)

304 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+9)
Nursing Homes 150 -> 154
Resident Care 108 -> 110
Correctional 24 -> 27
Other 13 -> 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1703* deaths

2140 positive cases over 32823 new tests. 6.5% positive rate.

Delta Tests is 32,823, but DHHS says 31,815

Dates of Death Reported 7/22
7/21, 7/20(8), 7/19(3), 7/18(4), 7/17(3), 7/15, 7/14(4), 7/13(2), 6/28(2), 1 DHHS Missing Date = 29
1 I didn't find a date for. Double checking to see if I missed it.

County Deaths:
Brunswick, Burke(2), Cumberland, Gaston(2), Harnett, Hoke, Iredell(2), Meck(2), Montgomery, Moore(4), Nash(3), Pender, Randolph, Richmond, Union, Wake(6)

EDIT: RE HOSPITALIZATIONS. It looks like New Hanover Regional Medical Center DID NOT REPORT today. They account for 80%+ of hospitalized patients in SHPR so their ~50 missing patients is significant.

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7/23/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
106,893
NC Deaths
1726
Currently Hospitalized
1188 <- 94% reporting (was 1137 at 90% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,524,643

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
929 Deaths are now Congregate (+14)
235 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+4)
+28 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

562 Deaths assumed General Population (+10)
1164 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+18)

314 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+10)
Nursing Homes 154 -> 160
Resident Care 110 -> 114
Correctional 27 -> 26
Other 13 -> 14
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1734* deaths

1892 positive cases over 31855 new tests. 5.9% positive rate.

Delta Tests is 31,855, but DHHS says 30,430

Dates of Death Reported 7/23 - LAG DAY
7/22(3), 7/21(3), 7/20(3), 7/19(1), 7/18(1), 7/16(2), 7/15, 7/14(2), 7/12, 7/10, 7/9, 7/8, 6/30(2), 6/26, 6/11, 5/29(2), 5/17, and 1 missing date

It looks like they adjusted yesterday hospitalizations to be 1188 to match today and a new high. Still only 9 higher than 1 week ago.

Case trends still holding in decline as of 9 day lag window.

Still reviewing county data.
County Deaths
5 for Duplin
4 for Pitt
no other county more than 2.
There are your likely culprits for the lag.

Another oddity with county data. County reported cases today only add up to 1747. There are 145 cases that don't have an assignment. The last time that happened with that kind of difference came on the announcement of the extension of Phase 2.

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7/24/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
108,995
NC Deaths
1746
Currently Hospitalized
1182 <- 92% reporting (was 1188 at 94% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,550,297

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
931 Deaths are now Congregate (+2)
244 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+9)
+20 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

571 Deaths assumed General Population (+9)
1175 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+11)

291Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (-23)
Nursing Homes 160 -> 156
Resident Care 114 -> 95
Correctional 26 -> 25
Other 14 -> 15
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1749* deaths

2102 positive cases over 25654 new tests. 8.2% positive rate.


Dates of Death Reported 7/24
7/23(3), 7/22(9), 7/21(3), 7/18(2), 7/17(2), 7/16, 7/15, 7/8, 7/2, 6/28, 6/25
4 deaths moved from date of death missing to chart.
1 additional death added that I can't account for, but it is what it is.

A lot of Resident Care facilities off the outbreak list today.

Still reviewing county data

Lag looks to be tightening. For the last few days things have been mostly complete at 7 days back.

It looks like those county cases that were not assigned yesterday were assigned today. County data is a +143 over reported cases vs the -145 yesterday.

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7/25/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
111,092
NC Deaths
1778
Currently Hospitalized
1168 <- 95% reporting (was 1182 at 92% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,579,042

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
944 Deaths are now Congregate (+13)
247 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+3)
+32 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

587 Deaths assumed General Population (+16)
1191 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+16)

298 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+7)
Nursing Homes 156 -> 161
Resident Care 95 -> 96
Correctional 25 -> 26
Other 15 -> 15
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1778* deaths

2094 positive cases over 28745 new tests. 7.3% positive rate.

Delta 28745, but DHHS claims 25417 Completed Tests


Dates of Death Reported 7/25 - NET 32 Deaths
7/24(5), 7/23(4), 7/22(4), 7/21(2), 7/20(2), 7/19(2), 7/17(2), 7/12, 7/10(2), 7/8, 7/6, 6/18, 5/31, 5/13

3 Deaths Added to DoD Missing.

1 Death REMOVED from 5/13

DoD was a tough one today. Lots of data and lag to do manually, but I got to 32.

Hospitalizations down slight. Decrease in case pattern holding.

Still downloading report data.

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7/26/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
112,713
NC Deaths
1785
Currently Hospitalized
1170 <- 85% reporting (was 1168 at 95% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,613,385

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
947 Deaths are now Congregate (+3)
248 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+1)
+7 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

590 Deaths assumed General Population (+3)
1195 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+4)

298 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+0)
Nursing Homes 161 -> 160
Resident Care 96 -> 96
Correctional 26 -> 26
Other 15 -> 16
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1803* deaths

1621 positive cases over 34343 new tests. 4.7% positive rate.

Delta 34343, but DHHS claims 30619 Completed Tests


Dates of Death Reported 7/26 = 7
7/25, 7/23(2), 7/21, 7/8(2), and 1 Missing Date of Death

Reviewing county data.

3 of the 7 deaths were reported out of Wake.

Case trends seem to be going in the right direction.

DHHS is still going back and retroactively changing hospitalizations numbers to values other than what they reported on that day.

My only logic for hospitalizations (as cases have been declining for 3 weeks now) is that hospitals have allotted space for COVID and are filling it because it is available. Hospitalizations should be declining based on case data.

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7/27/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
114,338
NC Deaths
1790
Currently Hospitalized
1169 <- 86% reporting (was 1170 at 85% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,635,476

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
947 Deaths are now Congregate (+0)
251 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+3)
+5 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

592 Deaths assumed General Population (+2)
1198 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+3)

298 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+0)
Nursing Homes 160 -> 160
Resident Care 96 -> 96
Correctional 26 -> 26
Other 16 -> 16
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1813* deaths

1625 positive cases over 22091 new tests. 7.4% positive rate.


Dates of Death Reported 7/27 = 5
7/26, 7/25(4)

DHHS hasn't posted downloadable data, so will have to wait on county data.

Declining statewide case trend holding.

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7/28/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
116,087
NC Deaths
1820
Currently Hospitalized
1244 <- 96% reporting (was 1169 at 86% yesterday) New High.
Completed Tests
1,658,937

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
962 Deaths are now Congregate (+15)
257 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+6)
+30 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

601 Deaths assumed General Population (+9)
1219 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+21)

280 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (-18)
Nursing Homes 160 -> 155
Resident Care 96 -> 85
Correctional 26 -> 25
Other 16 -> 15
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1831* deaths

1749 positive cases over 23497 new tests. 7.4% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 23497 but DHHS claims only 16631 completed tests


Dates of Death Reported 7/28 - 30 Deaths, mostly filling in last 2 weeks.
7/27(3), 7/26(8), 7/25(4), 7/24(3), 7/23(3), 7/22(2), 7/21, 7/20, 7/19, 7/17, 7/5 and 2 Deaths Reported with Missing Dates


New high in hospitalizations, also don't know that I have ever seen 96% reporting before. Which is weird because it wasn't a high day for new patients. As per usual MHPC, despite declining cases is all in on admits.

Getting some days of net decrease in cases congregate facilities. But deaths today also highly driven by congregate deaths.

Today's cases by date of collection included 8 cases from April. I am sure that is helpful.

Notable County Deaths Added:
Wake(7), Meck(5), Gaston(5), Forsyth(3). No other over 2.

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7/29/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
117,850
NC Deaths
1865
Currently Hospitalized
1291 <- 91% reporting (was 1244 at 96% yesterday) ANOTHER New High.
Completed Tests
1,691,434

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
984 Deaths are now Congregate (+22)
270 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+13)
+45 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

611 Deaths assumed General Population (+10)
1254 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+35)

289 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+9)
Nursing Homes 155 -> 157
Resident Care 85 -> 89
Correctional 25 -> 27
Other 15 -> 16
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1847* deaths

1763 positive cases over 32,497 new tests. 5.4% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 32497 (4603 are from 3pm 7/28) but DHHS claims only 27464 completed tests


Dates of Death Reported 7/29 - 45 + 2 added deaths previously missing
7/28(2), 7/27(11), 7/26(3), 7/25(3), 7/24(2), 7/23(7), 7/22(4), 7/21(2), 7/20(2), 7/19(2), 7/18, 7/17(2), 7/16, 7/14, 7/9(2), 6/28, and 6/11

DHHS did a 3pm update on yesterday which added 4603 Completed Tests, but did not change the number of positives. Those cases will be included in my delta of Completed Tests for today. About 1600 Completed Tests were added to 7/28, I do not know where the remainder were added. Again, more late numbermucking.

Meck still driving the hospitalization increase, despite declining case numbers. Novant even said they had something like a 5 day patient time on non-critical and 8 day on ICU. No reason that shouldn't be bearing out in hospitalizations by now.

Big Death Day
56 Congregate and Unknown deaths the last 2 days

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7/30/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
120194
NC Deaths
1903
Currently Hospitalized
1239 <- 89% reporting (was 1291 at 91% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,724,924

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1002 Deaths are now Congregate (+18)
277 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+7)
+38 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

624 Deaths assumed General Population (+13)
1279 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+25)

297 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+8)
Nursing Homes 157 -> 160
Resident Care 89 -> 90
Correctional 27 -> 31
Other 16 -> 16
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1888* deaths

2344 positive cases over 33490 new tests. 7% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 33490 but DHHS claims only 30517 completed tests

Bit of a mix of death backlog and fill in.

Dates of Death Reported 7/30 - 38 + 1 previously missing
7/29(4), 7/28(6), 7/27(7), 7/26(2), 7/25, 7/24(2), 7/23(4), 7/22, 7/21(3), 7/19, 7/16, 7/14, 7/8, 7/2, 7/1, 6/25(2), 6/23

Now 81 Congregate and Unknown deaths over the last 3 days. Looks like we are doing a bang up job with the LTC protection by dragging this out.

High case number looks to be a function of lag reduction. Today's cases report almost 1000 cases from Monday by date of specimen collection. Over the last 2 plus weeks, there has not be a single day over 700s in adding cases on a single day (and even that is rare).

Deaths ADDED by County
Beaufort 1, Brunswick 3, Catawba 2, Chowan 1, Cumberland 1, Davidson 1, Durham 1, Edgecombe 1, Gaston 1, Guilford 2, Halifax 1, Hoke 1, Macon 1, McDowell 3, Meck 3, Onslow 1, Person 1, Randolph 1, Rutherford 1, Sampson 1, Stanly 2, Wake 10, Wayne 1

Deaths REMOVED by County
Alexander -1, Forsyth -1, Union -1

Another day with a ton of smaller counties. Almost like a switch was flipped.

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7/31/2020 Morning DHHS update

NC Cases
122,148
NC Deaths
1924
Currently Hospitalized
1229 <- 91% reporting (was 1239 at 89% yesterday)
Completed Tests
1,757,102

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1010 Deaths are now Congregate (+8)
282 Deaths are now Unknown Setting (+5)
+21 Deaths Overall since yesterday.

632 Deaths assumed General Population (+8)
1292 Congregate and Unknown Setting. (+13)

309 Congregate Facilities now have an outbreak. (+12)
Nursing Homes 160 -> 164
Resident Care 90 -> 94
Correctional 31 -> 34
Other 16 -> 17
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRAL is at 1929* deaths

1954 positive cases over 32178 new tests. 6.1% positive rate.

Delta completed tests 32178 but DHHS claims only 27741 completed tests

Dates of Death Reported 7/30 - +21, +2 Previously Missing Date, 1 Death Removed
7/30(2), 7/29(10), 7/28(4), 7/27(2), 7/26, 7/25(3), 7/21, 7/20

1 death removed on 6/25

Mostly filling in the week.
The death appears to be removed from Brunswick County

Deaths by County
Meck(4), Wake(2), Rowan(2), Bladen, Buncombe, Cabarrus, Chatham, Cleveland, Columbus, Craven, Haywood, Lincoln, New Hanover, Robeson, Sampson, Stanly, Wilson.

A lot of one-offs in smaller counties which seems to be the trend lately.

Second day in a row where current date -3 is the high for cases. And the 977 yesterday and 779 today assigned to a single day are the two highest single date assigned counts in a long time.

Mormad said:

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TheStorm said:

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^^ What time period are those numbers for? Your % positive is only running 5.745%...

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I think that's comprehensive

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Thanks. I'm not an expert, but I think that is a pretty impressive number for Moses Cone system... I mean that's a full 1.25 points lower than the states current average of right around 7.0% (I think it's just a hair under 7.0% right now isn't it?)... 5.745% is pretty damn strong. Congrats and pleased to hear.