jadawson said:
Hays, Steelman and Clairmonte have graduated from last years team, which was our 3rd, 4th, and 7th place finishers from last season. With Chmiel, Tuohy and Bush we return 3 of the top 26 scorers from last season and Bush and particularly Tuohy have the potential to both finish higher this next season. Also will return runners like Heather Holt and Savannah Shaw who scored for the pack often last year, plus some great experience with the potential to improve like Nevada Mareno, Alyssa Hendrix, Gionna Quarzo. really excited to see what Brooke Rauber can show this year as well, she has a ton of talent.
The key to how good NC State can be next season will be Marlee Starliper. She has the talent if she can stay healthy to be an all american if not top 25 or so.
Will be adding some great talent as well. Sydney Seymour transfer from Tennessee ran a 15:34 5k on the track last season which is nationally competitive. Also adding in some really talented freshman, Hannah Gapes from New Zealand who has a 16:47 5k PB and a couple of american high schoolers who have run low to mid 17's as well.
The team has a chance to fight for some crazy low scores at some big time meets and im really excited to watch.
Looks like Seymour should be a "replacement" for Steelman or Hays, as long as she performs to her potential. She was 3rd at the South Regionals in cross country in November 2021, with a time of 19:46 and only 5 seconds behind Parker Valby and 12 seconds behind Chelangat. But she ran a somewhat poor race in the 2020 national championship race in Stillwater in March of 2021. Hopefully that was just an outlier or she had a bad day. But that's significant because the 2022 championship is in Stillwater again.
I agree that Starliper looks to be a big key to being able to repeat as national champions. She hasn't run a 6k cross race yet in college, but based on her strong performance in the 5000m in the 2022 outdoor season and the fact that she was one of the top cross country runners out of high school, I expect her to perform well in cross country at NC State. If she's already 9th best in the NCAA at 5000m outdoor, you have to think she could be top 20 in cross in the fall.
But it's weird how some runners are good on the track at 5000m and then not so good at a 6k cross country races, such as Savannah Shaw who has yet to run a really good 6k in cross. I think I read Shaw say that she has dealt with some "mental demons" in college. Maybe she is getting past those, after running a PR of 15:33 in the 5000m last month on the track.
But it's not all dependent on Starliper. Maybe Nevada Mareno (PR of 20:23 in 6k cross), Shaw (PR of 20:48), or Holt (PR of 20:28) can make a significant leap in their performances to get down around 20:00, which is probably what you need from your 5th place runner to win at nationals.
And I'm with you on Rauber. I'm really excited to see what she can do. It seems she was about as highly regarded as Starliper in cross country coming out of high school.
Based on everything I'm seeing, it looks like New Mexico is our main competition for the national championship, with either NC State or New Mexico being heavy favorites over all other teams. With the addition of Seymour and Starliper finally getting healthy and able to compete, I think we are solid favorites over New Mexico as it stands now.
"Ye are not of the world, but I have chosen you out of the world, therefore the world hateth you." - John 15:19