2024 Elections

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packgrad
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packgrad
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El Lobo Loco
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Oldsouljer said:

ncsualum05 said:

Realsouthwolf said:


Over the last week, I felt Trump had the momentum, but since that Iowa poll came out, seems Harris has it.

It may be that the media is all over that one poll and that Dem's are saying they don't expect her to win Iowa, but it does feel she is in control since about Saturday.

The NY Times has her ahead in all the swing states except AZ. That doesn't seem right.

Going to be a fun Tuesday night.
That poll was complete garbage and simply a propaganda tool. Whatever her track record is good or bad she put out some bull**** to drum up some drama.

Iowa had a statewide registration in 2020 of R +1. Trump won Iowa by 8 points in 2020. He also won it by over 8 points in 2016. The country largely moved left in 2020 and Iowa didn't move.

Now in 2024 the registration is R +10.4. You have to look at real data and do the math. Also look at trends around the country and in similar states. And look at all the other polling as well.

Once you pay attention long enough it's easier to spot bull***** Trump takes Iowa by at least 10.

Trump will win all the battleground states. They'll be close and they'll be some counting controversies but he should win them all. Even Michigan. I think the biggest question is how close do states like NH, MN, and VA really come to potentially a surprise flip. I don't think Trump wins any of them but I feel like some are going to be razor tight.
If I had to put money on any of the rust belt states, it'd be Wisconsin. I'm basing that on a fair amount of gloom by certain Dems including Elissa Slotkin who has said that Harris is significantly underwater there. PA, I just don't know about because of Philadelphia, and Michigan is completely dominated at the state level by Dems so I'd have a hard time thinking Trump will take it.

Slotkin is MI. Baldwin is WI. Seems odd, but I guess it's plausible that Slotkin would be commenting on Wisconsin.

As far as PA, it's going to come down to turnout. Apparently the urban turnout has not been what they expected so they're really going to have to get out there tomorrow and convince them to go vote.
Oldsouljer
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El Lobo Loco said:

Oldsouljer said:

ncsualum05 said:

Realsouthwolf said:


Over the last week, I felt Trump had the momentum, but since that Iowa poll came out, seems Harris has it.

It may be that the media is all over that one poll and that Dem's are saying they don't expect her to win Iowa, but it does feel she is in control since about Saturday.

The NY Times has her ahead in all the swing states except AZ. That doesn't seem right.

Going to be a fun Tuesday night.
That poll was complete garbage and simply a propaganda tool. Whatever her track record is good or bad she put out some bull**** to drum up some drama.

Iowa had a statewide registration in 2020 of R +1. Trump won Iowa by 8 points in 2020. He also won it by over 8 points in 2016. The country largely moved left in 2020 and Iowa didn't move.

Now in 2024 the registration is R +10.4. You have to look at real data and do the math. Also look at trends around the country and in similar states. And look at all the other polling as well.

Once you pay attention long enough it's easier to spot bull***** Trump takes Iowa by at least 10.

Trump will win all the battleground states. They'll be close and they'll be some counting controversies but he should win them all. Even Michigan. I think the biggest question is how close do states like NH, MN, and VA really come to potentially a surprise flip. I don't think Trump wins any of them but I feel like some are going to be razor tight.
If I had to put money on any of the rust belt states, it'd be Wisconsin. I'm basing that on a fair amount of gloom by certain Dems including Elissa Slotkin who has said that Harris is significantly underwater there. PA, I just don't know about because of Philadelphia, and Michigan is completely dominated at the state level by Dems so I'd have a hard time thinking Trump will take it.

Slotkin is MI. Baldwin is WI. Seems odd, but I guess it's plausible that Slotkin would be commenting on Wisconsin.

As far as PA, it's going to come down to turnout. Apparently the urban turnout has not been what they expected so they're really going to have to get out there tomorrow and convince them to go vote.
I stand corrected but Slotkin has actually said that about her state. I just feel that Wisconsin is more feasible than Gretchen Whitmer's little kingdom.
Werewolf
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#Devolution #Expand Your Thinking #Eye of The Storm #TheGreatAwakening
packofwolves
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Good thing they found it, but I bet they didn't want the public to know.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/colorado-secretary-state-reveals-voting-equipment-passwords-were-posted-online-4-months
Werewolf
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packofwolves said:

Good thing they found it, but I bet they didn't want the public to know.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/colorado-secretary-state-reveals-voting-equipment-passwords-were-posted-online-4-months
Tina Peters will be vindicated. When Juan O'Savin says so, I guarantee it.



#Devolution #Expand Your Thinking #Eye of The Storm #TheGreatAwakening
Werewolf
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Trump was up by 800K+ votes over Biden when I went to bed in in Nov 2020.......and then presto, like magic, Basement Joe makes a miraculous hail mary come from behind win with more votes totaled in Pa than registered voters back then........LOL. The past four years of #devolution may turn out to what was planned for HRC's 8-yrs if she'd won in 2016. #Sieve, it's called #devolution, my friend.

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Werewolf
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#Sieve The only thing that can trump such voter enthusiasm is #Dominion and #Smartmatic to eek out a last min come from behind a week after the polls close 50.01 to 49.99 win for Kamala and the Global Cartel with Kamala getting upwards of 90-95 million votes, LOL
#Devolution #Expand Your Thinking #Eye of The Storm #TheGreatAwakening
AlleyPack
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What's a good website to follow today, for timely/accurate/fair updates and results?
Oldsouljer
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Werewolf said:

#Sieve The only thing that can trump such voter enthusiasm is #Dominion and #Smartmatic to eek out a last min come from behind a week after the polls close 50.01 to 49.99 win for Kamala and the Global Cartel with Kamala getting upwards of 90-95 million votes, LOL

Given the Harris' camp statement the other day before the election may be settled in Pennsylvania, yes, very likely another steal attempt is coming.

"That leaves the Democrats in a scrambling position. So now the Harris team is issuing a warning about Pennsylvania that is likely to raise some eyebrows about possible funny business while they expect results from Georgia, North Carolina, and Michigan by the end of the night, they're saying that we might not the results for the other battlegrounds for "days."

https://redstate.com/nick-arama/2024/11/04/harris-team-has-a-warning-about-pa-election-results-that-will-get-the-speculation-going-n2181539#google_vignette
Werewolf
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Oldsouljer said:

Werewolf said:

#Sieve The only thing that can trump such voter enthusiasm is #Dominion and #Smartmatic to eek out a last min come from behind a week after the polls close 50.01 to 49.99 win for Kamala and the Global Cartel with Kamala getting upwards of 90-95 million votes, LOL

Given the Harris' camp statement the other day before the election may be settled in Pennsylvania, yes, very likely another steal attempt is coming.

"That leaves the Democrats in a scrambling position. So now the Harris team is issuing a warning about Pennsylvania that is likely to raise some eyebrows about possible funny business while they expect results from Georgia, North Carolina, and Michigan by the end of the night, they're saying that we might not the results for the other battlegrounds for "days."

https://redstate.com/nick-arama/2024/11/04/harris-team-has-a-warning-about-pa-election-results-that-will-get-the-speculation-going-n2181539#google_vignette
Brazen = f(sheeple, power)
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WarrenPeace
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This feels like the majority of State games in my lifetime.

Hope for the best.
Expect the worse.
Everything is going fine and then BOOM, something happens and we lose.

Dear God, please let me be wrong.

Gulfstream4
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packgrad said:




Ouch
Werewolf
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#Devolution #Expand Your Thinking #Eye of The Storm #TheGreatAwakening
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