Driving around Durham and Chapel Hill this morning. Crazy how there are hardly any Trump signs up now (honestly I haven't seen any, but I'm sure there are some somewhere.) and there are Harris signs everywhere Wasn't this way last week....
packgrad said:
Driving around Durham and Chapel Hill this morning. Crazy how there are hardly any Trump signs up now (honestly I haven't seen any, but I'm sure there are some somewhere.) and there are Harris signs everywhere Wasn't this way last week....
That's the darkest blue area of NC. Doesn't surprise me at all. Dems get a higher share of vote in those counties than even Mecklenburg or Wake and those are deep blue as well.packgrad said:
Driving around Durham and Chapel Hill this morning. Crazy how there are hardly any Trump signs up now (honestly I haven't seen any, but I'm sure there are some somewhere.) and there are Harris signs everywhere Wasn't this way last week....
ncsualum05 said:That's the darkest blue area of NC. Doesn't surprise me at all. Dems get a higher share of vote in those counties than even Mecklenburg or Wake and those are deep blue as well.packgrad said:
Driving around Durham and Chapel Hill this morning. Crazy how there are hardly any Trump signs up now (honestly I haven't seen any, but I'm sure there are some somewhere.) and there are Harris signs everywhere Wasn't this way last week....
DrummerboyWolf said:
I drive around a lot with my business and there are more Blue signs than Red, especially in Orange and Durham Counties. I have seen plenty Republican signs in most places I travel to including in Wake County.
The only place I have seen Harris signs is in DT Raleigh on the same streets that proudly show rainbow flags.packgrad said:
Driving around Durham and Chapel Hill this morning. Crazy how there are hardly any Trump signs up now (honestly I haven't seen any, but I'm sure there are some somewhere.) and there are Harris signs everywhere Wasn't this way last week....
One of the local Elems is a voting location. Last Friday there was no signs out in front of the school. Now it's all Harris signs.packgrad said:DrummerboyWolf said:
I drive around a lot with my business and there are more Blue signs than Red, especially in Orange and Durham Counties. I have seen plenty Republican signs in most places I travel to including in Wake County.
Me too. Until today.
Edit to add. I think the blitz actually started Friday. We had one put up in front of our office in the late afternoon, that was promptly removed.
In North Raleigh around the North Ridge area, been seeing plenty of both signs the last several weeks.Wufpack17 said:The only place I have seen Harris signs is in DT Raleigh on the same streets that proudly show rainbow flags.packgrad said:
Driving around Durham and Chapel Hill this morning. Crazy how there are hardly any Trump signs up now (honestly I haven't seen any, but I'm sure there are some somewhere.) and there are Harris signs everywhere Wasn't this way last week....
Nothing but Trump in the suburbs around Wake County.
I haven't, but it's not for lack of knowing who all I'm voting for, it's more family/work activities last week prevented me from getting in to early vote when I intended to.El Lobo Loco said:
Is there anyone on here who hasn't voted yet?
I'm genuinely curious.
I havent. My polling spot is all of 600 yards from my front door, so as long as I am in town, I just walk over first thing in the morning.El Lobo Loco said:
Is there anyone on here who hasn't voted yet?
I'm genuinely curious.
El Lobo Loco said:
Is there anyone on here who hasn't voted yet?
I'm genuinely curious.
Wlfpk81 said:
whatever has happened over the last 72 hours, its feels like there has been a palpable shift towards harris over the wknd. the blue sign shift has been noticeable too, theyre stretching further into the rural areas than they have before.
I heard a guy say over the weekend that it's more important to notice the signs in front yards than the signs on the side of the road. One activist can put up hundreds of signs along the road.Wlfpk81 said:
whatever has happened over the last 72 hours, its feels like there has been a palpable shift towards harris over the wknd. the blue sign shift has been noticeable too, theyre stretching further into the rural areas than they have before.
That's your state run propaganda media arm making you feel that way. In reality nothing has changed or moved. Blue signs are last ditch efforts to try to drum up enthusiasm. Signs don't matter, rallies really don't matter and I learned that the last couple cycles. The news media is the democrat party. Not biased, not like, but is. They are the Kamala campaign for the most part.Wlfpk81 said:
whatever has happened over the last 72 hours, its feels like there has been a palpable shift towards harris over the wknd. the blue sign shift has been noticeable too, theyre stretching further into the rural areas than they have before.
The ebb and flow of both campaigns. Democrats have the money and they have spent enormous amounts of cash. As poster said, look at yards when looking at signs. Also, Pubs have done much better job of early voting which will be interesting to see how it plays out. Very few left who are undecided. Key for both parties will now be election day turnout. So many variables in this election that are hard to pin down. TBH, like a roller coaster, one day I feel good about Trump's chances and the next day not so good. We will know soon!Wlfpk81 said:
whatever has happened over the last 72 hours, its feels like there has been a palpable shift towards harris over the wknd. the blue sign shift has been noticeable too, theyre stretching further into the rural areas than they have before.
Realsouthwolf said:
Over the last week, I felt Trump had the momentum, but since that Iowa poll came out, seems Harris has it.
It may be that the media is all over that one poll and that Dem's are saying they don't expect her to win Iowa, but it does feel she is in control since about Saturday.
The NY Times has her ahead in all the swing states except AZ. That doesn't seem right.
Going to be a fun Tuesday night.
packgrad said:
I do love how clownfish likes to gaslight about Trump looking drunk knowing that Trump doesn't drink and his candidate is an alcoholic Coke head.
Zero integrity.
That poll was complete garbage and simply a propaganda tool. Whatever her track record is good or bad she put out some bull**** to drum up some drama.Realsouthwolf said:
Over the last week, I felt Trump had the momentum, but since that Iowa poll came out, seems Harris has it.
It may be that the media is all over that one poll and that Dem's are saying they don't expect her to win Iowa, but it does feel she is in control since about Saturday.
The NY Times has her ahead in all the swing states except AZ. That doesn't seem right.
Going to be a fun Tuesday night.
100%. Before the election in 2016 and 2020, the bogus Lamestream media promoted "polls" were claiming that Trump was losing to Hillary and Biden nationally by roughly 8-10 points both times. Then, of course, with the actual election results Trump only lost the national popular vote by around 2 or 3 points.ncsualum05 said:That poll was complete garbage and simply a propaganda tool. Whatever her track record is good or bad she put out some bull**** to drum up some drama.Realsouthwolf said:
Over the last week, I felt Trump had the momentum, but since that Iowa poll came out, seems Harris has it.
It may be that the media is all over that one poll and that Dem's are saying they don't expect her to win Iowa, but it does feel she is in control since about Saturday.
The NY Times has her ahead in all the swing states except AZ. That doesn't seem right.
Going to be a fun Tuesday night.
Iowa had a statewide registration in 2020 of R +1. Trump won Iowa by 8 points in 2020. He also won it by over 8 points in 2016. The country largely moved left in 2020 and Iowa didn't move.
Now in 2024 the registration is R +10.4. You have to look at real data and do the math. Also look at trends around the country and in similar states. And look at all the other polling as well.
Once you pay attention long enough it's easier to spot bull***** Trump takes Iowa by at least 10.
Trump will win all the battleground states. They'll be close and they'll be some counting controversies but he should win them all. Even Michigan. I think the biggest question is how close do states like NH, MN, and VA really come to potentially a surprise flip. I don't think Trump wins any of them but I feel like some are going to be razor tight.
ncsualum05 said:That poll was complete garbage and simply a propaganda tool. Whatever her track record is good or bad she put out some bull**** to drum up some drama.Realsouthwolf said:
Over the last week, I felt Trump had the momentum, but since that Iowa poll came out, seems Harris has it.
It may be that the media is all over that one poll and that Dem's are saying they don't expect her to win Iowa, but it does feel she is in control since about Saturday.
The NY Times has her ahead in all the swing states except AZ. That doesn't seem right.
Going to be a fun Tuesday night.
Iowa had a statewide registration in 2020 of R +1. Trump won Iowa by 8 points in 2020. He also won it by over 8 points in 2016. The country largely moved left in 2020 and Iowa didn't move.
Now in 2024 the registration is R +10.4. You have to look at real data and do the math. Also look at trends around the country and in similar states. And look at all the other polling as well.
Once you pay attention long enough it's easier to spot bull***** Trump takes Iowa by at least 10.
Trump will win all the battleground states. They'll be close and they'll be some counting controversies but he should win them all. Even Michigan. I think the biggest question is how close do states like NH, MN, and VA really come to potentially a surprise flip. I don't think Trump wins any of them but I feel like some are going to be razor tight.
I don't know and I don't care. If you poll a state with that clear of a voting trend, is not considered a battleground, and you're to the left of your fellow pollsters by 13 pts then you should be second guessing your efforts. You're pumping garbage at that point by releasing that and going onto the media. If there's no motivation behind it you're just embarrassing yourself for nothing. If some pollster came out with a Trump +3 in Colorado I would dismiss it as garbage and I'm sure the left would jump all over it as well. That's how bad that poll is.Civilized said:ncsualum05 said:That poll was complete garbage and simply a propaganda tool. Whatever her track record is good or bad she put out some bull**** to drum up some drama.Realsouthwolf said:
Over the last week, I felt Trump had the momentum, but since that Iowa poll came out, seems Harris has it.
It may be that the media is all over that one poll and that Dem's are saying they don't expect her to win Iowa, but it does feel she is in control since about Saturday.
The NY Times has her ahead in all the swing states except AZ. That doesn't seem right.
Going to be a fun Tuesday night.
Iowa had a statewide registration in 2020 of R +1. Trump won Iowa by 8 points in 2020. He also won it by over 8 points in 2016. The country largely moved left in 2020 and Iowa didn't move.
Now in 2024 the registration is R +10.4. You have to look at real data and do the math. Also look at trends around the country and in similar states. And look at all the other polling as well.
Once you pay attention long enough it's easier to spot bull***** Trump takes Iowa by at least 10.
Trump will win all the battleground states. They'll be close and they'll be some counting controversies but he should win them all. Even Michigan. I think the biggest question is how close do states like NH, MN, and VA really come to potentially a surprise flip. I don't think Trump wins any of them but I feel like some are going to be razor tight.
What's the impetus for Selzer to fabricate Iowa poll results in a way that creates reputational harm for her firm if she's wrong?
I mean she may be wrong but her incentives aren't aligned with being wrong on purpose to "drum up drama."
Been in Va for 4 days with my 7-yr old grandson. Signs in yards from Waynesboro to Charlottesville to Fredricksburg to Richmond.......15 to 1 Trump.Oldsouljer said:
It's not apparently illegal in Virginia
Last election, I didn’t know a single independent/swing voter who was voting for Trump.
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) November 4, 2024
This time, I don’t know anyone who isn’t.
And one person after another has confided in me that they’re voting for Trump, but they’re afraid to say so publicly, because it will affect their… https://t.co/e5pxKDjd36
BREAKING: The Pennsylvania Supreme Court just blocked an effort by lower court judges to force election officials to count mail-in ballots that show up with incorrect dates or no dates at all
— George (@BehizyTweets) November 1, 2024
This is yet another massive loss for Democrats. They can't even get Democrat Justices… pic.twitter.com/ifyS8vGXX0
If I had to put money on any of the rust belt states, it'd be Wisconsin. I'm basing that on a fair amount of gloom by certain Dems including Elissa Slotkin who has said that Harris is significantly underwater there. PA, I just don't know about because of Philadelphia, and Michigan is completely dominated at the state level by Dems so I'd have a hard time thinking Trump will take it.ncsualum05 said:That poll was complete garbage and simply a propaganda tool. Whatever her track record is good or bad she put out some bull**** to drum up some drama.Realsouthwolf said:
Over the last week, I felt Trump had the momentum, but since that Iowa poll came out, seems Harris has it.
It may be that the media is all over that one poll and that Dem's are saying they don't expect her to win Iowa, but it does feel she is in control since about Saturday.
The NY Times has her ahead in all the swing states except AZ. That doesn't seem right.
Going to be a fun Tuesday night.
Iowa had a statewide registration in 2020 of R +1. Trump won Iowa by 8 points in 2020. He also won it by over 8 points in 2016. The country largely moved left in 2020 and Iowa didn't move.
Now in 2024 the registration is R +10.4. You have to look at real data and do the math. Also look at trends around the country and in similar states. And look at all the other polling as well.
Once you pay attention long enough it's easier to spot bull***** Trump takes Iowa by at least 10.
Trump will win all the battleground states. They'll be close and they'll be some counting controversies but he should win them all. Even Michigan. I think the biggest question is how close do states like NH, MN, and VA really come to potentially a surprise flip. I don't think Trump wins any of them but I feel like some are going to be razor tight.