2024 Elections

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Bas2020
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11:46a, 9/18/24
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Oldsouljer
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In reply to Bas2020 • 12:11p, 9/18/24
Bas2020 said:


Far left Cook Report also has Trump winning



I sure wish I understood Silver's methodology. He's got Trump sweeping the blue wall. Michigan, I don't see it. Pennsylvania a definite maybe, but who really knows? Silver and Cook agree on Wisconsin and that one is interesting and plausible, mainly because the GOP has commanding majorities in both houses of the legislature, though that is only an influence factor/indicator of what may happen.
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Werewolf
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In reply to Cthepack • 12:15p, 9/18/24
Cthepack said:
Werewolf said:
The term "conspiracy theory" was created by the CIA.....................right after the JFK assassination. Yep.


Was JFK assassinated in the mid 1800s?
Maybe, more correctly, the term was put into circulation after the JFK assassination in 1963, as i do remember it well. That is if you found something in Wikipedia (remember the definition of vaccination was changed by Wiki during the plandemic to include the mRNA jabs).
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Bas2020
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In reply to Oldsouljer • 12:17p, 9/18/24
It's pretty simple . Trump win if he can simply take GA, NC and PA.

Michigan , Arizona , Nevada , Wisconsin are just icing .

Not saying it's a lock , but he's clearly the favorite despite what some of the betting markets think … unless they are factoring in shenanigans.
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Werewolf
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In reply to Bas2020 • 12:17p, 9/18/24
Bas2020 said:
Excellent find. These are serious times and much more perilous than the Civil War. Yes, I stand by this assertion.
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Oldsouljer
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In reply to Bas2020 • 12:38p, 9/18/24
Bas2020 said:
It's pretty simple . Trump win if he can simply take GA, NC and PA.

Michigan , Arizona , Nevada , Wisconsin are just icing .

Not saying it's a lock , but he's clearly the favorite despite what some of the betting markets think … unless they are factoring in shenanigans.
Yes, but I'm talking specifically about how Silver has PA, WI, and MI in the Trump column….i don't see that slot machine turning up a 777 and I'm wondering how the hell Silver is projecting it.
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BBW12OG
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In reply to Oldsouljer • 1:47p, 9/18/24
He is gaming the GOP..... He's not a serious pollster...

Trying to drive down the turnout......

FACT.

He's cuckboy and the unc guy x10.....

And... smarpty IS a unc guy....
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Bas2020
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3:43p, 9/18/24
Democrats have had Union support for the last 28 years up until now.

Even they do not trust Kamala.


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Gulfstream4
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In reply to Bas2020 • 4:23p, 9/18/24
Bas2020 said:
Democrats have had Union support for the last 28 years up until now.

Even they do not trust Kamala.




Very telling. Teamsters Poll:

Mrs. Harris - 31%
Mr. Trump - 58%
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Werewolf
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8:38p, 9/18/24
#daSieve, #daNappy, #daGobbler #treason

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Werewolf
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8:54p, 9/18/24
Outside of the illegal aliens voting and Dominion's digital fraud which can switch as many votes as necessary to generate the desired outcome, the real #'s have been 75-25 Trump and may now be drifting towards 80-20 or even 85-15.

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Werewolf
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In reply to Werewolf • 8:56p, 9/18/24
Werewolf said:
Outside of the illegal aliens voting and Dominion's digital fraud which can switch as many votes as necessary to generate the desired outcome, the real #'s have been 75-25 Trump and may now be drifting towards 80-20 or even 85-15.

oh, by the way, #devolution ;-)
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Oldsouljer
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In reply to Werewolf • 9:25p, 9/18/24
Werewolf said:
Outside of the illegal aliens voting and Dominion's digital fraud which can switch as many votes as necessary to generate the desired outcome, the real #'s have been 75-25 Trump and may now be drifting towards 80-20 or even 85-15.

That's where it takes scary to another level. If they can't send him to the angels, and they can't credibly steal the election (and they can see what the internals are saying), what will they resort to? Martin Armstrong thinks right after he wins, they'll trap him with a war they'll start with Russia during his President-elect period.
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Bas2020
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9:38p, 9/18/24
This will soon turn into a National story.

Disgusting what they are trying to do to our kids. Mindboggling that this is actually happening here at home.

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DrummerboyWolf
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4:10p, 9/20/24
Georgia Election Board voted today to hand count all ballots. This will bring out the lawsuits, but hopefully it stands.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/20/politics/georgia-republican-election-rules-hand-count/index.html

Here is the vote.

https://rumble.com/v5fpl6d-georgia-must-hand-count-all-paper-ballots-on-election-day-to-line-up-result.html
Being an N. C. State fan builds great character!
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Ground_Chuck
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In reply to DrummerboyWolf • 4:19p, 9/20/24
DrummerboyWolf said:
Georgia Election Board voted today to hand count all ballots. This will bring out the lawsuits, but hopefully it stands.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/20/politics/georgia-republican-election-rules-hand-count/index.html

Here is the vote.

https://rumble.com/v5fpl6d-georgia-must-hand-count-all-paper-ballots-on-election-day-to-line-up-result.html
Georgia will take weeks to be called.
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DrummerboyWolf
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In reply to Ground_Chuck • 4:25p, 9/20/24
Ground_Chuck said:
DrummerboyWolf said:
Georgia Election Board voted today to hand count all ballots. This will bring out the lawsuits, but hopefully it stands.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/20/politics/georgia-republican-election-rules-hand-count/index.html

Here is the vote.

https://rumble.com/v5fpl6d-georgia-must-hand-count-all-paper-ballots-on-election-day-to-line-up-result.html
Georgia will take weeks to be called.
How long did it take Arizona and Pennsylvania last time?

All ballots used to be counted by hands and we had a winner on election night back in the day. With the machines you can put in as many ballots as you want and mess with the numbers. Can't do that if they have to hand count.
Being an N. C. State fan builds great character!
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Ground_Chuck
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In reply to Bas2020 • 4:29p, 9/20/24
This is the passage from the short story. This is it.

Quote:
It was not the summer you fell in love with your cousin Dozie because that happened a few summers before, when you both wiggled into the tiny space behind Grandmama's garage and he tried to fit what you both called his banana into what you both called your tomato but neither of you was sure which was the right hole. It was, however, the summer you got lice, and you and Dozie dug through your thick hair to find the tiny black insects and squash them against your fingernails and laugh at the tart sound of their blood-filled bellies bursting. It was the summer you discovered that the strongest of your emotions developed in direct proportion to one another: that your hate for your brother Nonso grew so much you felt it squeezing your nostrils while your love for your cousin Dozie ballooned and wrapped around your skin.
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Ground_Chuck
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In reply to DrummerboyWolf • 4:35p, 9/20/24
DrummerboyWolf said:
Ground_Chuck said:
DrummerboyWolf said:
Georgia Election Board voted today to hand count all ballots. This will bring out the lawsuits, but hopefully it stands.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/20/politics/georgia-republican-election-rules-hand-count/index.html

Here is the vote.

https://rumble.com/v5fpl6d-georgia-must-hand-count-all-paper-ballots-on-election-day-to-line-up-result.html
Georgia will take weeks to be called.
How long did it take Arizona and Pennsylvania last time?

All ballots used to be counted by hands and we had a winner on election night back in the day. With the machines you can put in as many ballots as you want and mess with the numbers. Can't do that if they have to hand count.
Arizona was called at 2:51 am on the 4th, which was election night and Pennsylvania was called on the 7th.

https://blog.ap.org/behind-the-news/calling-the-2020-presidential-race-state-by-state

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DrummerboyWolf
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In reply to Ground_Chuck • 5:15p, 9/20/24
Ground_Chuck said:
DrummerboyWolf said:
Ground_Chuck said:
DrummerboyWolf said:
Georgia Election Board voted today to hand count all ballots. This will bring out the lawsuits, but hopefully it stands.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/20/politics/georgia-republican-election-rules-hand-count/index.html

Here is the vote.

https://rumble.com/v5fpl6d-georgia-must-hand-count-all-paper-ballots-on-election-day-to-line-up-result.html
Georgia will take weeks to be called.
How long did it take Arizona and Pennsylvania last time?

All ballots used to be counted by hands and we had a winner on election night back in the day. With the machines you can put in as many ballots as you want and mess with the numbers. Can't do that if they have to hand count.
Arizona was called at 2:51 am on the 4th, which was election night and Pennsylvania was called on the 7th.

https://blog.ap.org/behind-the-news/calling-the-2020-presidential-race-state-by-state

No not when was it called. When did they finish counting votes. Calling Arizona early was part of the steal.
Being an N. C. State fan builds great character!
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Civilized
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In reply to Ground_Chuck • 5:19p, 9/20/24
Ground_Chuck said:
This is the passage from the short story. This is it.

Quote:
It was not the summer you fell in love with your cousin Dozie because that happened a few summers before, when you both wiggled into the tiny space behind Grandmama's garage and he tried to fit what you both called his banana into what you both called your tomato but neither of you was sure which was the right hole. It was, however, the summer you got lice, and you and Dozie dug through your thick hair to find the tiny black insects and squash them against your fingernails and laugh at the tart sound of their blood-filled bellies bursting. It was the summer you discovered that the strongest of your emotions developed in direct proportion to one another: that your hate for your brother Nonso grew so much you felt it squeezing your nostrils while your love for your cousin Dozie ballooned and wrapped around your skin.

This is a run-of-the-mill coming of age piece of literature it sounds like.

I think it's hilarious how putting words to situations that teenagers actually go through as they figure out the world around them, including relationships and their bodies, offends the pearl clutchers. Did any of these people that are offended by this have to read Siddhartha or Clan of the Cave Bear? Did those books irreparably harm their psyche?

Let's burn all the books that reference anything sexual, go back to teaching abstinence in schools, and see if we are better off!

Amanchukwu definitely gives off repressed Mark Robinson vibes.
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Werewolf
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7:10p, 9/20/24
The integrity of our election system is in shambles across the board. Red State Oklahoma, for example.

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Bas2020
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7:17p, 9/20/24


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Bas2020
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7:19p, 9/20/24
Arizona

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Oldsouljer
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In reply to Ground_Chuck • 8:01p, 9/20/24
Ground_Chuck said:
DrummerboyWolf said:
Georgia Election Board voted today to hand count all ballots. This will bring out the lawsuits, but hopefully it stands.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/20/politics/georgia-republican-election-rules-hand-count/index.html

Here is the vote.

https://rumble.com/v5fpl6d-georgia-must-hand-count-all-paper-ballots-on-election-day-to-line-up-result.html
Georgia will take weeks to be called.
Odd. Hand counting ballots used to be done and could report results by midnight on Election night. Maybe our education standards have slipped to the point where people just can't count or read good anymore.

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Werewolf
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8:14p, 9/20/24
#daSieve's boat is sinking, LOL. He keeps buying the BS the polls are selling.

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Werewolf
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8:20p, 9/20/24
What ya think #Sieve re Kamala's detailed response to the question?
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SexualChocolate
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9:33a, 9/23/24
Presidential betting odds as of 9/23

Bet 365

Kamala Harris: -125
Donald Trump: EVEN
via Covers.com

Bovada

Kamala Harris: -130
Donald Trump: +110
BetOnline

Kamala Harris: -130
Donald Trump: +110
Oddschecker

Kamala Harris: -114
Donald Trump: +122

Slight bump to Harris.
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Civilized
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In reply to SexualChocolate • 10:05a, 9/23/24
SexualChocolate said:
Presidential betting odds as of 9/23

Bet 365

Kamala Harris: -125
Donald Trump: EVEN
via Covers.com

Bovada

Kamala Harris: -130
Donald Trump: +110
BetOnline

Kamala Harris: -130
Donald Trump: +110
Oddschecker

Kamala Harris: -114
Donald Trump: +122

Slight bump to Harris.

Seems like this is mostly driven by the uptick of her polling in PA?
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DrummerboyWolf
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1:17p, 9/23/24
More evidence of fraud from Michigan. Gretchen Whitmer sending out absentee ballots to people who have not lived in that spot for decades. Who knew?

https://truthsocial.com/@truethevote/posts/113187427929706803

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SmaptyWolf
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In reply to Civilized • 2:00p, 9/23/24
Civilized said:
SexualChocolate said:
Presidential betting odds as of 9/23

Bet 365

Kamala Harris: -125
Donald Trump: EVEN
via Covers.com

Bovada

Kamala Harris: -130
Donald Trump: +110
BetOnline

Kamala Harris: -130
Donald Trump: +110
Oddschecker

Kamala Harris: -114
Donald Trump: +122

Slight bump to Harris.

Seems like this is mostly driven by the uptick of her polling in PA?

I love how some bookie in Europe is somehow the trusted oracle of American presidential politics.
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Civilized
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In reply to SmaptyWolf • 4:19p, 9/23/24
SmaptyWolf said:
Civilized said:
SexualChocolate said:
Presidential betting odds as of 9/23

Bet 365

Kamala Harris: -125
Donald Trump: EVEN
via Covers.com

Bovada

Kamala Harris: -130
Donald Trump: +110
BetOnline

Kamala Harris: -130
Donald Trump: +110
Oddschecker

Kamala Harris: -114
Donald Trump: +122

Slight bump to Harris.

Seems like this is mostly driven by the uptick of her polling in PA?

I love how some bookie in Europe is somehow the trusted oracle of American presidential politics.

Prediction markets/crowd-sourced forecasting isn't the end-all, be-all but it is a data point.

I like that the incentives are much different than in polling. Putting your money on what you truly believe will happen cuts through a lot of the BS/posturing/what you think or want to happen.
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Civilized
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5:03p, 9/23/24
Nebraska Republican Rep Rejects Late State Election Law Change

Good on him, right call.

An 11th-hour change to a 30-year precedent in the way the state elects the president just because the 2nd district is leaning blue is dirty pool.
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Civilized
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In reply to SmaptyWolf • 5:05p, 9/23/24
SmaptyWolf said:
Civilized said:
SexualChocolate said:
Presidential betting odds as of 9/23

Bet 365

Kamala Harris: -125
Donald Trump: EVEN
via Covers.com

Bovada

Kamala Harris: -130
Donald Trump: +110
BetOnline

Kamala Harris: -130
Donald Trump: +110
Oddschecker

Kamala Harris: -114
Donald Trump: +122

Slight bump to Harris.

Seems like this is mostly driven by the uptick of her polling in PA?

I love how some bookie in Europe is somehow the trusted oracle of American presidential politics.

Prediction markets are useful tools just like polling and prediction models based on polling.

Crowd-sourcing forecasts just has a different set of benefits and limitations.

I like them because people get real when their money is on the line. All the bull**** goes out the window and you start to get a sense of what people actually think is going to happen, not what they want to happen or hope will happen.
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Werewolf
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5:53p, 9/23/24
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