FlossyDFlynt said:
SexualChocolate said:
Presidential election odds as of August 11
Bet 365
Kamala Harris: -125
Donald Trump: EVEN
via Covers.com
Betfair Exchange
Kamala Harris: -105
Donald Trump: +120
Bovada
Kamala Harris: -105
Donald Trump: +120
BetOnline
Kamala Harris: -125
Donald Trump: +105
Oddschecker
Kamala Harris: -104
Donald Trump: +115
Trump losing ground on the betting market. He needs to do something extraordinary to turn it around. If I was him, I'd dump Vance and pick somebody else to create a buzz. Elon trying to help him with the interview and the constant Ads on Twitter is a step. Let's check back next week.
Im pretty much discounting odds/polls until Harris does something unscripted on camera, which probably wont happen until the debate.
That being said, Trump needs to get his act together. They are currently dying on the dumbest hills possible that no one cares about
This thing may shift back and forth some, but the debates could help her, not hurt her, and if history holds she'll also get a bump from the DNC.
Either way, I'll be surprised if this thing isn't a relative tossup going into election day.
Agree regarding his hills being colossally dumb. He needs to stay away from crowd size and crazy talk about Biden and just focus on issues.
Him taking this in a culture/crowd/vibes direction is a loser for him. Harris and Walz are cornering the market on that front. Their weaknesses are those issues on which Biden was seen as electorally susceptible.
I'll be fascinated to see how she handles his torrent of complete fabrications during the debate. She better be prepping a lot better than Biden did for that certainty.
Related aside, I so wish they'd real-time fact-check debaters and immediately after the debate let the announcers break down the veracity of their claims and statements. It would be illustrative, and disincentivize participants from making obviously false statements.