How many wins do people think are need out of Final 15 games?

Ive got 10-5 or 11-4 might do it.

Started out 1-0 with a win vs ECU.

Edit : now 4-0 after Redford sweep

I think it'll be really hard for State to host. They really needed to win the Louisville series. Warren Nolan predicts a 12-3 finish with a projected rpi of 25.

engineercoach said:

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I think it'll be really hard for State to host. They really needed to win the Louisville series. Warren Nolan predicts a 12-3 finish with a projected rpi of 25.

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Weird since RPI is #29 tonight per D1Baseball . Going 12-3 and only moving up 4 spots makes no sense .

12-3 should have us with RPI around 18-20 which puts us firmly in the discussion .

Let's go make a run !

Bas2020 said:

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engineercoach said:

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I think it'll be really hard for State to host. They really needed to win the Louisville series. Warren Nolan predicts a 12-3 finish with a projected rpi of 25.

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Weird since RPI is #29 tonight per D1Baseball . Going 12-3 and only moving up 4 spots makes no sense .

12-3 should have us with RPI around 18-20 which puts us firmly in the discussion .

Let's go make a run !

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The issue is even if we sweep Radford this weekend our RPI is most likely going to drop a couple spots since Radford's current RPI is 268. And if we lose a game we're going to plummet. Really not sure why we scheduled this series, it truly can only hurt us.

We always schedule a non conf game during exams.

kmb717 said:

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Bas2020 said:

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engineercoach said:

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I think it'll be really hard for State to host. They really needed to win the Louisville series. Warren Nolan predicts a 12-3 finish with a projected rpi of 25.

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Weird since RPI is #29 tonight per D1Baseball . Going 12-3 and only moving up 4 spots makes no sense .

12-3 should have us with RPI around 18-20 which puts us firmly in the discussion .

Let's go make a run !

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The issue is even if we sweep Radford this weekend our RPI is most likely going to drop a couple spots since Radford's current RPI is 268. And if we lose a game we're going to plummet. Really not sure why we scheduled this series, it truly can only hurt us.

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good site to follow

Boyd's World
look at RPI Needs Report
http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/rpi/rpineeds.html

looks at each team's remaining schedule and what record is needed for
Top 8 Regional and Super Regional host
Top 16 Regional host
Top 32 #2 Regional seed
Top 45 wild card in NCAAT

This report lists the various scenarios for each team to finish higher than the team currently in the shown key RPI positions, those that correspond to the various seeding or at large thresholds, assuming that all other teams maintain their current winning percentage. It's highly speculative, since those RPI levels will move up or down, and the committee is highly unlikely to just take the top 8 in RPI for the national seeds, for example, but it can be useful as a rough guide. The report is updated daily around 8:30 AM CDT.
The levels listed here are thresholds, so anything above the threshold will also get the team to a given level. For example, if a team is listed as needing to win 2 home games and 3 road games to get to the top 8, they'll obviously also get there if they win 2 home games and 4 road games.
ROWP is the average remaining opponent's winning percentage, weighted by games against remaining.

North Carolina State

Remaining: 10 home, 4 road, 0 neutral
Current RPI: 26
ROWP: 0.470

Top 45:
6 home wins, 4 road wins
7 home wins, 3 road wins
8 home wins, 1 road wins
9 home wins, 0 road wins

Top 32:
8 home wins, 4 road wins
9 home wins, 3 road wins
10 home wins, 1 road wins

Top 16:
10 home wins, 4 road wins

Top 8:
No way to reach the threshold.

We need help from other folks to have any shot (aside from winning about everything left on our schedule).

Need teams like Clemson, BC, GT who we won a series against - heck, even ECU who we were 2-0 against - we need those teams to do really well to help us.

Otherwise, there aren't a ton of folks left on our schedule that will help our RPI (until the ACC tourney).

ETA: got some help last night. Up to #24 in RPI

Boyds' World Needs Report


North Carolina State

Remaining: 9 home, 4 road, 0 neutral
Current RPI: 24
ROWP: 0.484

Top 45:
5 home wins, 3 road wins
6 home wins, 2 road wins
7 home wins, 1 road wins
8 home wins, 0 road wins

Top 32:
6 home wins, 4 road wins
7 home wins, 3 road wins
8 home wins, 2 road wins
9 home wins, 1 road wins

Top 16:
9 home wins, 3 road wins

Top 8:
9 home wins, 4 road wins

http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/rpi/rpineeds.html

North Carolina State

Remaining: 7 home, 4 road, 0 neutral
Current RPI: 23
ROWP: 0.527

Top 45:

2 home wins, 4 road wins
3 home wins, 3 road wins
4 home wins, 2 road wins
5 home wins, 0 road wins

Top 32:

3 home wins, 4 road wins
4 home wins, 3 road wins
5 home wins, 2 road wins
6 home wins, 1 road wins
7 home wins, 0 road wins

Top 16:

6 home wins, 3 road wins
7 home wins, 2 road wins

Top 8:

7 home wins, 4 road wins

http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/rpi/rpineeds.html

Water under the bridge now, but being swept at home by #162 Northeastern earlier in the year was not ideal.

EthanBarry said:

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Agree. Don't think the RPI is in a good enough spot to think it's realistic at this point. Win the division or tourney and then you can think about it. Still probably need more help though

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All in on a tourney win this year

North Carolina State

Remaining: 7 home, 4 road, 0 neutral
Current RPI: 23
ROWP: 0.527

Top 45:

2 home wins, 4 road wins
3 home wins, 3 road wins
4 home wins, 2 road wins
5 home wins, 0 road wins

Top 32:

3 home wins, 4 road wins
4 home wins, 3 road wins
5 home wins, 2 road wins
6 home wins, 1 road wins
7 home wins, 0 road wins

Top 16:

6 home wins, 3 road wins
7 home wins, 2 road wins

Top 8:

7 home wins, 4 road wins

http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/rpi/rpineeds.html

Wolfer79 said:

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North Carolina State

Remaining: 7 home, 4 road, 0 neutral
Current RPI: 23
ROWP: 0.527

Top 45:

2 home wins, 4 road wins
3 home wins, 3 road wins
4 home wins, 2 road wins
5 home wins, 0 road wins

Top 32:

3 home wins, 4 road wins
4 home wins, 3 road wins
5 home wins, 2 road wins
6 home wins, 1 road wins
7 home wins, 0 road wins

Top 16:

6 home wins, 3 road wins
7 home wins, 2 road wins

Top 8:

7 home wins, 4 road wins

http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/rpi/rpineeds.html

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so basically what this means is that we (1) have to sweep either Wake, Duke, or UNC AND win both of the other two series, (2) not lose any midweek games. Oh, and (3) make the ACC tourney final. Not likely given erratic defense and Tommy injury, but not exactly fanciful either.

89_Grad said:

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Wolfer79 said:

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North Carolina State

Remaining: 7 home, 4 road, 0 neutral
Current RPI: 23
ROWP: 0.527

Top 45:

2 home wins, 4 road wins
3 home wins, 3 road wins
4 home wins, 2 road wins
5 home wins, 0 road wins

Top 32:

3 home wins, 4 road wins
4 home wins, 3 road wins
5 home wins, 2 road wins
6 home wins, 1 road wins
7 home wins, 0 road wins

Top 16:

6 home wins, 3 road wins
7 home wins, 2 road wins

Top 8:

7 home wins, 4 road wins

http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/rpi/rpineeds.html

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so basically what this means is that we (1) have to sweep either Wake, Duke, or UNC AND win both of the other two series, (2) not lose any midweek games. Oh, and (3) make the ACC tourney final. Not likely given erratic defense and Tommy injury, but not exactly fanciful either.

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no
this just covers regular season
it will updated when ACCT brackets are announced at end of regular season

It's certainly doable. Might need some help along the way, but I actually think how everything ended last year might help us of we're right on the edge. Our story made us really visible and got us a lot of fans across college baseball. Add in to that an exciting player like Tommy, it could offset some of our metrics that may not be the as good as they should be. Of course we could just run the table and remove all doubt.

Last updated: Wed May 4 04:37:20 2022

North Carolina State

Remaining: 7 home, 4 road, 0 neutral
Current RPI: 23
ROWP: 0.527

Top 45:
2 home wins, 4 road wins
3 home wins, 3 road wins
4 home wins, 2 road wins
5 home wins, 0 road wins

Top 32:
3 home wins, 4 road wins
4 home wins, 3 road wins
5 home wins, 2 road wins
6 home wins, 1 road wins
7 home wins, 0 road wins

Top 16:
6 home wins, 3 road wins
7 home wins, 2 road wins

Top 8:
7 home wins, 4 road wins

http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/rpi/rpineeds.html

North Carolina State

Remaining: 4 home, 4 road, 0 neutral
Current RPI: 31
ROWP: 0.512

Top 45:
0 home wins, 4 road wins
1 home wins, 3 road wins
2 home wins, 2 road wins
3 home wins, 1 road wins
4 home wins, 0 road wins

Top 32:
2 home wins, 4 road wins
3 home wins, 3 road wins
4 home wins, 1 road wins

Top 16:
4 home wins, 4 road wins

Top 8:
No way to reach the threshold.

http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/rpi/rpineeds.html

threshold.


North Carolina State

Remaining: 4 home, 2 road, 0 neutral
Current RPI: 30
ROWP: 0.528

Top 45:

0 home wins, 2 road wins
1 home wins, 1 road wins
2 home wins, 0 road wins

Top 32:

2 home wins, 2 road wins
3 home wins, 1 road wins
4 home wins, 0 road wins

Top 16:

4 home wins, 2 road wins

Top 8:

No way to reach the threshold.

http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/rpi/rpineeds.html

North Carolina State

Remaining: 4 home, 0 road, 0 neutral
Current RPI: 33
ROWP: 0.609

Top 45:

No more wins needed.

Top 32:

3 home wins, 0 road wins

Top 16:

No way to reach the threshold.

Top 8:

No way to reach the threshold

http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/rpi/rpineeds.html

Whomp.

This update hurt a little more each time

Probably the only way we'd host is going 4-0 this week and going 4-0 in Charlotte next week.

If we go undefeated in Charlotte, I don't care where we play after that.

I feel like this team can go toe to toe with anyone outside maybe Tennessee. Now that Cozart has figured out how to hit, we are as dangerous as anyone offensively. The ACC is the best league this year, all we need is decent fielding and decent pitching and any game can be ours.

we won't host even if we sweep the ACC tourney.

We will be lucky to not be a 3 seed

North Carolina State

Remaining: 1 home, 0 road, 0 neutral
Current RPI: 40
ROWP: 0.687

Top 45:

No more wins needed.

Top 32:

No way to reach the threshold.

Top 16:

No way to reach the threshold.

Top 8:

No way to reach the threshold.