https://www.nationalreview.com/2023/01/blms-bloody-bill-comes-due/

Quote:

Less than a decade back, Black Lives Matter arrived on the national scene with a two-part message: A near-genocidal campaign is being waged against black Americans, and virtually all contemporary problems in the black community are the fault of white people.

Now, the receipts for the effect of this movement are in. And what they show is the remarkably complete failure of a Narrative. As crime-data resources like Disaster Center and the FBI Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) program make clear, murders in the United States increased from a low of 14,164 in 2014 the year Black Lives Matter truly kicked off to at least 22,900 in 2021, just seven years later.

This surge can be directly tied to the BLM-linked "Ferguson Effect" and "Floyd Effect." In 2021, University of Massachusetts researcher Travis Campbell found that cities that experienced Black Lives Matter protests and riots and surely often attempted to accommodate the demands of the marchers did see some decrease in police homicides . . . but also experienced "a huge overall increase in murders."

Using more prosaic but equally effective methods, Jason Johnson of the Law Enforcement Legal Defense Fund found exactly the same thing: a direct and statistically significant correlation between declines in the kind of proactive policing hated by BLM and surges in homicide. In New York City, arrests of criminal suspects dropped by 38 percent while murders rose by 58 percent increasing by more than 100. In my hometown of Chicago, arrests declined by 53 percent, while the corresponding surge in homicides was 65 percent. In the metroplex city of my new Kentucky home, Louisville, arrests plunged by 42 percent and stops overall by 35 percent; murders rose by a staggering 87 percent.

Per easily available FBI data, the black homicide rate increased by roughly 50 percent in just the few years since the death of George Floyd. This is, notably, a purely "culturalist" result that has nothing to do with genetics or racism. It is, also, one of the most significant legacies of BLM.

In 2023, contemporary racism is simply not the main barrier holding back black folks, or any other groups of Americans whether Chinese, Italians, Jews, Mexicans, Indians, Nigerians, or anything else.

But it empirically is harder to achieve financial or social success if you start out poor. And owing to past conflict and race war and oppression, many more black kids, proportionately, are poor than is the case for white kids.

But here's the thing: That's also accurate almost verbatim for immigrants from Ukraine or Bosnia, or gero Mexicans, or plain Appalachian folks (trust me!) and the actual non-secret path to achieving success is identical for all of these countrymen. It's easy to mock the hokey old Success Sequence that almost every single '80s or '70s kid heard from a coach or priest/rabbi or (coughs) their father, but it really is true that you have a 12 percent chance of ever ending up poor if you do just four things at the start of life.

Those are: Take any job and work until you get a better one, wait until marriage (or age 25, for the cynics) to have children, avoid getting convicted of a felony, and graduate high school with any marks that make that possible. It's also literally true that the biggest group-level predictor of success in school again, contra both racialists and hereditarians, and per the Brookings Institution, of all places seems to simply be how much kids study for class. Who knew?